Sellsmart | Every Sell-Side Idea

The New Front in AI: Compute Gigafactories and the Invisible Winners

Neutral

NEE

NextEra Energy

셀스마트 YUN

The New Front in AI: Compute Gigafactories and the Invisible Winners

The New Front in AI: Compute Gigafactories and the Infrastructure Behind the RacexAI’s Colossus, now under construction in Memphis, is more than just another data center. Dubbed a “gigafactory of compute,” the facility represents a turning point: the AI industry’s shift toward full-stack physical control.But xAI isn’t alone. Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Google, and Nvidia are all rapidly building their own AI supercomputing hubs. The reason? Winning in AI now depends less on having the best model—and more on owning the infrastructure to train it.Training frontier models like GPT-5 or Claude 3 requires not just GPUs, but vast arrays of stable power, advanced cooling, and high-throughput networking. Software alone no longer wins. Compute scale, speed, and control are becoming the true moat.Unexpected Winners: Servers and Power ProvidersThis infrastructure race is lifting companies that most AI investors overlook.Super Micro (SMCI) is emerging as the dominant builder of AI server systems. Already producing most H100 and B100-based configurations for Nvidia, it’s the go-to for large-scale, liquid-cooled GPU clusters. Projects like xAI’s Colossus and Saudi’s DataVolt have made it the de facto standard for AI server design.Arista Networks, Vertiv, Broadcom are also benefiting from exploding demand in networking switches, power equipment, and thermal management.But compute is meaningless without energy.NextEra Energy (NEE) is betting big on this. As the largest renewable energy provider in the U.S., it’s aggressively expanding AI-focused power purchase agreements (PPAs), backed by solar, wind, and nuclear. It already manages over 31GW and plans to add 36–46GW by 2030.Schneider Electric and Eaton are essential players behind the scenes, ensuring energy stability and power quality—critical in high-density AI compute environments. But There’s Friction AheadProjects like Colossus are drawing backlash over emissions and local impact. xAI’s use of temporary methane generators has already sparked environmental concern. As these facilities scale, resistance from regulators and communities will grow.That’s why infrastructure firms with green energy credentials and efficient cooling tech are becoming preferred partners in this new ecosystem. Conclusion: Big Tech’s Energy War Has BegunThe AI race is entering its next phase: compute dominance. This battle won’t be won by algorithms alone—but by those who can deliver power, cooling, and scale.In the next decade, the real winners of AI may not be chipmakers—but the companies that keep the chips running.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

NEE

NextEra Energy

셀스마트 YUN

Meta’s Scale AI Bet Just Sparked the Data War—Here Come the Winners

Neutral

META

Meta Platforms

AI-Driven Rally? Analysts See Up to 73% Upside in Key AI Stocks (May 11, 2025)

Neutral

AAPL

Apple

AI-Driven Rally? Analysts See Up to 73% Upside in Key AI Stocks (May 11, 2025)

The Big Picture: AI as the Fourth Industrial RevolutionAI has been dubbed the Fourth Industrial Revolution, expected to impact society as deeply as steam engines, electricity, and the internet once did.Daniel Ives, Senior Equity Analyst at Wedbush Securities, sees AI as the biggest tech shift in four decades. He estimates the global AI market will reach $407 billion by 2027 and $1.81 trillion by 2030, with a 36% CAGR.While AI isn't entirely new, the mainstream adoption of tools like ChatGPT sparked a wave of public and corporate interest. The development cycle of AI now includes infrastructure buildout (data centers, power systems), training on hyperscaler cloud platforms, cybersecurity, and finally, delivery to end users via software and apps.Wedbush's AI Winners: Sector Breakdown1. Semiconductors & HardwareThese companies build the computing infrastructure that supports AI data centers.Nvidia leads in supplying GPUs for both gaming and data centers, and is a key player in autonomous vehicles.AMD provides CPUs for gaming and computing and is another critical supplier.2. HyperscalersThese cloud giants provide the backbone for AI development and deployment.Microsoft: Its Office suite is integrating AI tools, while Azure is a favorite among enterprise clients.Alphabet (Google): Despite facing competition in AI search and advertising, its growing cloud segment remains under scrutiny from investors.3. Consumer InternetThese firms monetize AI through tools, automation, search optimization, and AI integration in hardware.Apple is building “Apple Intelligence” with a focus on privacy and ecosystem loyalty, though tariff concerns have weighed on its stock.Meta Platforms is improving ad targeting and developing large language models to rival ChatGPT and Gemini.4. CybersecurityCyberattacks are expected to cost companies $23 trillion by 2027.Palo Alto Networks is a prime beneficiary, with a unified platform that Wedbush sees as a key to growing market share.5. SoftwareSoftware bridges AI technology and business adoption.Palantir combines AI and big data analytics for enterprise and government clients. After a strong April, it's trading above consensus target prices.Salesforce is favored for its Agentforce platform enabling autonomous enterprise tools.IBM continues heavy AI investment to drive productivity improvements.6. Autonomous & RoboticsAI is transforming robotics and self-driving vehicles from fiction to reality.Tesla remains a high-profile name in autonomy through its Optimus robot and self-driving systems. However, its near-term EV sales outlook is weak.ConclusionAI is powering a multi-industry transformation, and leading companies are strategically positioned across the value chain—from chips and cloud to software and security. While the long-term growth potential remains massive, investors should be mindful that near-term price surges in certain names reflect high expectations. Selective, fundamentals-based exposure is essential in navigating the next phase of the AI revolution.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

AAPL

Apple

셀스마트 앤지

The Cloud Wars: OpenAI May Be the Key Battlefield

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

셀스마트 앤지

The Cloud Wars: OpenAI May Be the Key Battlefield

Q1 2025 Cloud Earnings SnapshotAI fuels Azure’s momentumMicrosoft, AWS, and Google Cloud have all reported robust cloud earnings for Q1 2025. While AWS remains the market leader, Microsoft and Google Cloud posted stronger growth rates, suggesting shifting dynamics in the cloud infrastructure war.1. Global Cloud Market Overview – Q1 2025Total enterprise cloud infrastructure spending hit $94 billion, up 23% YoYSynergy Research’s John Dinsdale: “We’re seeing a clear acceleration in growth across the top cloud providers”Combined market share of the top 3 (AWS, Microsoft, Google): 63%2. Individual Provider Performance – Q1 2025*Note: Microsoft does not report Azure revenue separately; figures are from its Intelligent Cloud segment.AWS: Market leader but losing share (31% in Q1 2024). CEO Andy Jassy emphasized custom silicon (Trainium2) and Bedrock’s flexibility to reduce AI deployment costs.Microsoft: Azure revenue growth 33%, outperforming peers. CEO Satya Nadella highlighted innovation across the stack—from AI infrastructure to applications.Google Cloud: Grew fastest among the top three (28%), buoyed by Gemini 2.5 model rollout. CEO Sundar Pichai stressed Alphabet’s “full-stack AI approach.”3. Why Azure is Outpacing Its RivalsAzure’s 33% growth outpaced AWS and GCP, according to UBSOpenAI may be a key contributor to Azure’s surge, based on a long-term Azure usage deal worth up to $25 billionMicrosoft reportedly powers OpenAI services like Cosmos DB, and UBS suggests OpenAI could now be a major native Azure consumerUncertain macro outlook: UBS warns that AWS and GCP’s slower growth could reflect early signs of a cloud spending slowdown, triggering downward revisions in growth forecasts4. Other Cloud PlayersAlibaba: 4%Oracle: 3%Salesforce, IBM, Tencent, Huawei: 2% eachConclusionThe Q1 2025 cloud market shows continued momentum overall. AWS still leads, but Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud are closing the gap with faster growth. Among them, Microsoft Azure has emerged as the fastest-growing platform, likely driven by its deepening relationship with OpenAI, a major AI infrastructure consumer.Still, looming macroeconomic concerns—such as enterprise IT budget constraints—could temper future growth across the sector. For now, Azure's AI-driven momentum makes it a standout in the cloud arena.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Microsoft Shows Strength in Cloud, Office, and Windows with Blowout Earnings

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Microsoft Shows Strength in Cloud, Office, and Windows with Blowout Earnings

Microsoft shares jumped 9.16%, a much-needed win for a company that had lagged most mega-cap tech peers over the past year. Following the Q1 report, the stock surged 7% in after-hours trading, as all major business segments exceeded expectations, led by Azure’s outperformance.This strong showing made Microsoft the only “Magnificent Seven” stock to have recovered its year-to-date losses.Even more impressively, Microsoft provided an upbeat forecast for the upcoming quarter ending in June. This exceeded analysts’ expectations and helped ease investor concerns over a potential slowdown in cloud growth and the burden of heavy AI spending.CEO Satya Nadella highlighted Microsoft’s continued demand momentum into April. CFO Amy Hood added that demand signals had remained consistent across business lines throughout the month.This suggests that large enterprises—Microsoft’s core customers—are not yet cutting their tech budgets. Nadella emphasized that software remains a vital tool to combat “inflationary pressure and growth expectations under constrained resources.”Microsoft now projects Q4 revenue of $73.7 billion, 2% above consensus.For the quarter ended March, Microsoft posted 13% YoY revenue growth, reaching roughly $70 billion. Operating income rose to $32 billion, beating consensus by 6%. Azure revenue alone climbed 35%, surpassing the expected 31% growth.Net income hit $25.8 billion, or $3.46 per diluted share, well above the forecasted $3.22.CapEx came in at $21.4 billion, about $1 billion lower than analysts expected. AI and cloud computing demand remain key drivers of that spending.Nadella reaffirmed that Microsoft is benefiting from strong demand for AI and cloud computing, as customers look for scalable, intelligent infrastructure solutions.CapEx is a closely watched metric among major tech firms investing heavily in AI. Meta Platforms, for example, raised its 2024 CapEx outlook by 11% to $72 billion.Hood noted that Microsoft’s CapEx would continue to rise next fiscal year, but at a slower pace than the 57% YoY increase expected for the current year ending in June.All major Microsoft divisions outperformed guidance. The Productivity and Business Processes segment—including Microsoft 365—generated $29.9 billion in revenue, a 10% YoY increase and above internal projections of up to $29.7 billion.Personal computing revenue rose 6% YoY to $13.4 billion, above the company’s forecast range of $12.4–$12.8 billion. Microsoft cited elevated PC inventory levels due to trade uncertainty, which it expects to start unwinding in the current quarter. While tariffs pose a long-term risk to PC demand, today’s Microsoft boasts a much more resilient and diversified business mix.Despite global policy uncertainty, Microsoft is proving that its strategic bets on AI and cloud are delivering results—and strengthening its position among top-tier tech names.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Goldman Sachs Report: Magnificent 7 Decline and 2025 S&P 500 Target Cut (Mar 11, 2025)

Neutral

AAPL

Apple

Goldman Sachs Report: Magnificent 7 Decline and 2025 S&P 500 Target Cut (Mar 11, 2025)

Goldman Sachs has revised its 2025 S&P 500 target downward, citing weakness in the Magnificent 7 (Mag 7), economic uncertainty, and policy risks.1. Magnificent 7: From Dominance to Decline?Past Performance (2023):Mag 7 contributed to over half of the S&P 500’s 25% annual return, driving market gains.Current Crisis (March 2025):Mag 7 plunged 14% in three weeks, triggering a broader S&P 500 decline.Some analysts have started calling them the "Maleficent 7."Key Factors Behind the Decline:Policy Uncertainty: Potential tariff hikes are dampening investor confidence.Economic Slowdown Concerns: Growth forecasts are weakening, adding to investor anxiety.Hedge Fund Unwinding: Heavy long positions in Mag 7 are being liquidated, accelerating the sell-off.Market Implications:A market heavily reliant on a few large-cap tech stocks is vulnerable to volatility.Investors may need to diversify away from Mag 7 to reduce risk exposure.2. S&P 500 2025 Target CutGoldman Sachs now targets 6,200 for year-end 2025, down from 6,500 (-4%).Reasons for the Revision:Lower P/E Ratio Assumption:Cut from 21.5x to 20.6x amid heightened risk.Reduced EPS Growth Forecast:2025 EPS growth outlook cut from 9% to 7% (2026 remains at 7%).Macroeconomic Backdrop:U.S. GDP Growth Slowing: Goldman’s economic team revised growth projections downward.Tariff Increases Expected: Rising tariffs could erode corporate earnings.Higher Uncertainty: Political and economic risks are raising the equity risk premium.Supporting Data:Despite the cut, the new target still suggests an 11% upside from current levels.Goldman now forecasts 2025 EPS at $262 and 2026 EPS at $280, below consensus estimates.3. Additional ConsiderationsImpact of Tariffs:A 5% tariff increase could reduce S&P 500 EPS by 1-2%, assuming firms pass most costs to consumers.Market Risk Indicators:The Economic Policy Uncertainty Index has surged.The spread between S&P 500 earnings yield and real 10-year Treasury yield has widened.ConclusionThe decline of Mag 7 and the S&P 500 target cut reflect Goldman Sachs' cautious stance on U.S. equities.Rising policy risks, slowing growth, and increased volatility signal a more uncertain market environment.Investors should focus on risk management and portfolio diversification in response to these shifts.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

AAPL

Apple

Samsung, Are You Listening? “AI Is Booming, but It’s Ultimately in Taiwan’s Hands?” (Oct 31, 2024)

Neutral

TSM

TSMC

Samsung, Are You Listening? “AI Is Booming, but It’s Ultimately in Taiwan’s Hands?” (Oct 31, 2024)

At 35, Harvard graduate Jung Yoon-seok had his pick of locations across Asia—including his home country of South Korea—to manufacture AI chips for his startup, Rebellions. Yet, he chose Taiwan. “Taiwan is small, and Taipei is even smaller, but everything moves incredibly fast there,” he says.And Jung is not alone. AI leaders like NVIDIA, Microsoft, and OpenAI are all focusing on Taiwan. They rely on Taiwanese firms to manufacture AI chips, build servers, and develop cooling systems. As a result, Taiwan’s stock market has been the hottest in Asia over the past year, led by TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) and Hon Hai (Foxconn).Some investors believe this $400 billion rally is just the beginning. Optimists argue that Taiwan has become the ChatGPT era’s core manufacturing hub, making it a key beneficiary of the AI boom.Former U.S. Commerce Department official Sean King puts it bluntly: “Taiwan is the engine that drives AI.”However, this success comes with risks. For the first time in decades, the global tech supply chain is shifting away from China—and instead, towards its smaller neighbor. As U.S.-China tensions escalate, many AI companies are reluctant to manufacture in China, giving Taiwan a strategic advantage. However, as Taiwan’s global significance grows, so does Beijing’s interest in reclaiming what it sees as “separated territory.”TSMC: The King of AI Chip ManufacturingTSMC is at the heart of Taiwan’s success story. As competitors Intel and Samsung struggle, TSMC has tightened its grip on the semiconductor industry, dominating the production of the world’s most advanced chips. Even NVIDIA’s CEO, Jensen Huang, acknowledges that only TSMC can manufacture its AI accelerators.But Taiwan’s AI dominance isn’t limited to TSMC. Several hidden champions play crucial roles in AI development:Quanta Computer – A key server manufacturerDelta Electronics – A leading power equipment providerAsia Vital Components (AVC) – A pioneer in computer cooling systemsThese companies are expected to thrive in the AI market, which is projected to reach $1.3 trillion by 2032.Edward Chen, chairman of First Capital Management, believes Taiwan’s AI boom will last longer than previous tech cycles. With TSMC playing a key role in choosing partners for firms like NVIDIA, he argues that Taiwan’s technology sector is reaching an entirely new level.Taiwan’s stock market performance reflects this shift. The Taiex Index has soared over 40% in the past year, far outpacing China, Hong Kong, India, and Japan.How Taiwan Became the AI Manufacturing HubTaiwan’s rise as a tech powerhouse dates back to the 1980s, when Japanese firms began outsourcing low-cost plastic toy manufacturing to Taiwan. As the economy grew, Taiwanese companies evolved into high-tech manufacturers. While some firms set up factories in China, they always kept their most advanced technologies at home.Meanwhile, U.S. trade restrictions on China have forced companies to seek alternatives, effectively pushing China out of key supply chains. In less than two years, China’s AI hardware industry has been virtually crippled.The numbers tell the story: In the first nine months of 2024, Taiwan exported more than twice the number of AI servers and GPUs as China—an unimaginable shift from just a few years ago.Why Tech Giants Are Rushing to Taiwan"Look at today’s cloud giants," says a tech analyst. "Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google are all racing to catch up with ChatGPT, and they all rely on Taiwanese firms to build their servers."Market research firm IDC predicts that global spending on AI systems and services will more than double to $632 billion by 2028.Liu Fei-chen, a researcher at the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research, describes Taiwan as a “one-stop shop” for AI hardware. Companies can source everything they need without leaving the island.Put simply, Taiwan is the gateway to the AI-driven future—where global IT firms’ dreams become reality through Taiwanese technology.The Secrets of Taiwan’s SuccessWhat makes Taiwan’s tech firms so attractive to global giants like Amazon, NVIDIA, and Apple?Customer-First MentalityDuring the pandemic, TSMC had the perfect opportunity to raise chip prices but instead chose to minimize price hikes to maintain trust with customers.This “strategic, not opportunistic” approach solidified its reputation as a reliable partner.Adaptability & Quick TransformationFoxconn (Hon Hai) and Quanta were once known for assembling iPhones and MacBooks.Today, they prioritize AI server orders, proving their ability to shift with market trends.Aggressive Investment in the FutureCompanies like AVC, Delta, and Quanta allocate nearly half of their operating expenses to R&D.They are also expanding beyond Taiwan, with AVC investing $450 million in a new Vietnamese plant.Taiwan’s three-pillar strategy—customer trust, adaptability, and aggressive investment—has created an unstoppable AI powerhouse.AI’s Explosive Growth & Taiwan’s RoleAI demand is skyrocketing, but so are the challenges. NVIDIA’s latest AI server, the NVL72, costs a staggering $3 million per unit and generates extreme heat—a major technical challenge.Companies like Delta and AVC are now scrambling to develop cooling systems that can handle this unprecedented power consumption.Rodrigo Liang, CEO of Silicon Valley-based AI chip startup SambaNova Systems, highlights Taiwan’s geographic advantage:“If a startup founder flies to Taiwan looking for a manufacturing partner, they can meet Delta, AVC, and Quanta all in a single afternoon. The high-speed rail gets you from Taipei to Kaohsiung in just 1.5 hours.”This tight-knit ecosystem fosters fierce competition and rapid innovation—critical factors for Taiwan’s continued AI dominance.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

TSM

TSMC

Conflicting Views on Samsung: What’s Next for Investors? (Aug 9, 2024)

Sell

005930

Samsung Electronics

Conflicting Views on Samsung: What’s Next for Investors? (Aug 9, 2024)

Analysts remain deeply divided on Samsung Electronics, with some raising target prices to ₩130,000, while others cut them below ₩100,000.The key debate centers around Samsung’s position in the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market. While some see a turnaround with HBM3E mass production, others fear oversupply risks.For now, the market leans bullish, citing rising CAPEX guidance from Big Tech companies as a key tailwind for AI infrastructure investments.Brokerage Target Price RevisionsBullish: KB Securities (₩120,000 → ₩130,000)Justification: HBM3E supply ramp-up.Kim Dong-won (Head of Research, KB Securities):"Samsung is entering a phase where concerns are rapidly turning into optimism.""With HBM3E mass production expected in Q4, we see Samsung as the top KOSPI pick for H2."Samsung lags SK Hynix in HBM3E adoption:SK Hynix began HBM3E 8-layer supply to NVIDIA in March and will start HBM3E 12-layer shipments in Q4.Samsung is still undergoing NVIDIA’s quality testing and plans Q3 mass production for HBM3E 8-layer, with HBM3E 12-layer shipments later this year.Bearish: iM Securities (formerly Hi Investment & Securities) (₩101,000 → ₩97,000)Concerns:HBM oversupply risk in 2025.Samsung’s HBM3E supply ramp-up may intensify competition, leading to pricing pressure.AI investment bubble concerns.Song Myung-seop (iM Securities):"This year, HBM demand is expected to reach 880 million GB, but production plans total 1.38 billion GB.""If NVIDIA begins purchasing Samsung’s HBM3E, we could see oversupply and margin compression in the HBM sector."Additionally, NVIDIA’s Blackwell AI accelerator delay could further impact Samsung’s HBM3E adoption.The Information (U.S. tech media):Blackwell production was postponed from late 2024 to Q1 2025.Since HBM3E is a core component of Blackwell, delays could push back Samsung’s shipments.However, KB Securities argues this could work in Samsung’s favor, allowing it more time for mass production preparation.Big Tech CAPEX: The AI Investment Cycle ContinuesDespite AI bubble concerns, Big Tech companies continue to raise AI-related infrastructure spending.Meta increased 2024 CAPEX guidance from $35B → $37B.H1 CAPEX: $15.2BH2 projected CAPEX: $21.8BMicrosoft and Amazon have also signaled higher H2 spending.Shin Ji-hyun (Shinhan Investment & Securities):"Meta’s CAPEX revision reaffirms strong confidence in AI investment."If quarter-over-quarter CAPEX increases, this could fuel further AI value chain growth, benefiting Samsung’s AI-related semiconductor sales.Legacy DRAM & NAND: Supply Shortages Emerging?While HBM faces supply concerns, legacy DRAM and NAND markets are tightening.Morgan Stanley:"The shift toward HBM has created investment gaps in traditional DRAM, leading to potential shortages."Predicts a 23% demand-supply gap in DRAM for 2024, driving price increases.DRAM Pricing:PC DRAM (DDR4 8Gb 1Gx8): $2.10 (as of July 31, stable for 3 months).Shinhan Investment:"Stronger-than-expected memory price growth could offset some of the bearish pressures on Samsung’s stock."Samsung plans to mass-produce QLC-based 64TB and 128TB eSSD products in H2 2024, aiming to capitalize on NAND pricing recovery.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Sell

005930

Samsung Electronics

Is Apple Stock (Nasdaq: AAPL) the Short of a Lifetime or the New Widow Maker?(March 27, 2012)

Sell

226490

Samsung KODEX KOSPI ETF

Is Apple Stock (Nasdaq: AAPL) the Short of a Lifetime or the New Widow Maker?(March 27, 2012)

I have a confession to make.I believe Apple stock (Nasdaq: AAPL) is going to be world's first trillion-dollar company yet I want to short the snot out of it.Am I being compulsive?...impulsive?....or foolish?Perhaps it is all three considering that Apple has risen more than 3,000% in the last ten years, turning almost any attempt to go against the grain into a "widow maker" trade.Trump boom awakens “silent” $2 stock [Sponsored by Timothy Sykes]I say almost because I am one of the lucky ones.A few weeks ago I recommended my Strike Force subscribers purchase put options on Apple, effectively shorting the stock. That resulted in a 47% profit in less than 24 hours for anyone who followed along, excluding fees and commissions.I'm not alone in my thinking.Why Buffett, Bezos, & Congress Are Piling Into This One Sector [Sponsored by Investorplace]Uber investor Doug Kass, general partner of Seabreeze Partners Long/Short LP and Seabreeze Partners Long/Short Offshore LP, tweeted recently that he had covered "half his short" on Apple following the announcement of their dividend and buyback plan.Given that the stock had run up to nearly $608 a share before the announcement, presumably Kass had banked some gains, too.7 Reasons to Short Apple Stock(Nasdaq: AAPL)I haven't spoken with Mr. Kass so I can't comment on his current thinking nor the specifics of his trade, but here are mine:The company has single-handedly repeated the bubble curve of the Nasdaq run up. That leaves a lot of empty space to the downside.Apple is a "fad" or a "hit" company, meaning that its price seems to correlate to new product launches rather than the sustainable development of key product lines. Companies that do that tend to fall back from orbit at some point - especially in the tech world. Palm and Research in Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM) are two that come to mind.When great leaders are gone, their legacies can struggle. While Apple has stood up so far following Steve Jobs' unfortunate death, I can only wonder, as many in the tech community are wondering, how deep and how far out his thinking will live on. Is it one product cycle, two cycles? Nobody knows. But we do know that Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) became a very different company after Bill Gates stepped aside. Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) also flatlined three or four cycles after Andy Grove's departure from day-to-day operations.Apple's short interest of only 9.8 million shares is very low considering the company's three-month average daily trading volume is 18.2 million shares and the company's float is 931.8 million shares.The analyst community is almost completely positive. That's usually a sign of two things: a) that they're soft peddling opposing trades from other parts of the "shops" they work for or b) that they want a run up to maximize profits from positions they already hold. Either way, many have been tremendously wrong in their sales projections in recent quarters, understating anticipated results by as much as 30%-40% - a factor also noted by Kass in his trade set up analysis. Therefore, I am skeptical that they are raising numbers again.Apple's profit margins are unbelievably high at a time when the rest of the economy lurches along. While that's not a bad thing in isolation, I have a hard time believing that Apple can remain so far out of line if for no other reason that what goes up must come down eventually. And, since the road higher is far more unlikely for the rest of the markets, it is logical that Apple likely heads lower in the short term.Apple's fundamentals may soften. There are lots of reasons to love Apple but there are just as many reasons things may not be what they seem. If the economy worsens just how many people are going to buy "gee-whiz" technology beyond the hard core Apple-heads? Is there an Apple-killer in somebody's garage right now? Anti-trust investigations and supply problems are also big what ifs at the moment. Even a carrier failure could rock Apple because it may be their subsidies that keep Apple's costs down and profits high.Add it all up and there is enough to make you go hmmm...Of course, there is no doubt I will incur the wrath of Apple fans everywhere and arm chair traders from here to Tibet.Trump’s Shocking Exec Order 001 [Sponsored by Bayan Hill]Get over it guys; please refrain from the snarky e-mails telling me I'm an idiot or out of touch or worse - I believe in Apple. I really do.What I am suggesting is simply the logic behind Apple as a trading opportunity for nimble, aggressive and like minded market mavens.Besides, if I am correct and Apple does trade lower in the weeks ahead, I'm going to be picking up shares as an investment.

Sell

226490

Samsung KODEX KOSPI ETF

Dow soars into history(March 16, 2000)

Strong Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Dow soars into history(March 16, 2000)

NEW YORK (CNNfn) - The Dow Jones industrial average rose a record 499.19 points Thursday, lifted as money poured into "old economy" stocks out-of-favor for much of the year. The blue-chip euphoria lifted the world's best-known index out of the hole that Wall Street considers a correction, handing the New York Stock Exchange its busiest trading day on record. Investors made heroes out of stocks such as American Express, J.P. Morgan and Minnesota Mining & Manufacturing - all down by double digits in the last three months. The gains came after a batch of tame inflation figures eased Wall Street's worst fears about sharply higher interest rates to come, boosting expectations for strong corporate profits ahead. "The rumors of the Dow's death has been much exaggerated," Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Jefferies & Co., told CNN's Street Sweep. Less than two weeks ago a surprise profit warning from Procter & Gamble knocked 375 points off the Dow. That seemed a distant memory Thursday, with the blue chip frenzy lifting 29 of the Dow's 30 stocks and spreading to the Nasdaq composite index, which broke a three-session losing streak. Only Dow member Microsoft, the world's most valuable company, failed to rise. "It's phenomenal," said Charles Payne, head analyst at Wall Street Strategies. "We're breaking all sorts of technical resistance levels like a hot knife through butter." But Goldman Sachs' Abby Joseph Cohen told CNNfn on Moneyline that investors should not look at this phenomenal rise as a trend for the year. (235K WAV or 235K AIFF) The Dow soared 499.19 points, or more than 4.9 percent, to 10,630.60. The gain shattered the previous record, a 380.53-point rise set Sept. 8, 1998. With the day's action, the index is now about 9.3 percent below its all-time high of 11,722 set Jan. 14, pushing it below the 10 percent dip Wall Street deems a correction. Lifted by data The Dow's rise began with the start of trading, when a tame rise in producer price data failed to confirm analysts' worst fears about climbing inflation. Analysts said the news suggests only modest interest rate hikes lie ahead. "I don't see (the economy) overheating," Wall Street Strategies' Payne said. "We've got strong growth and controlled growth. "There still isn't any clear-cut sign of inflation." The Nasdaq, meanwhile, reversed a 127-point loss earlier in the session, rising 134.66, or 2.9 percent, to 4,717.76. That broke three-sessions of double-digit losses.Charles Lemonides, chief investment officer at M&R capital, told CNNfn that the day's action could be the beginning of a broad market advance, countering the narrow gains seen only by the Nasdaq. The day's action supported that. The broader S&P 500 catapulted 64.66, or 4.7 percent, to 1,456.63. And more stocks rose than fell. Advancers on the New York Stock Exchange swamped decliners 2,414 to 410 as trading volume topped 1.48 billion shares, a record. Nasdaq winners beat losers 2,259 to 2,004 with more than 2 billion shares changing hands. In other markets, the dollar fell against the euro and was little changed versus the yen. Treasury securities rose. Dow flexes muscles The Dow's jump of more than 800 points in the last two sessions comes as investors fish for some of the cheapest of blue-chip stocks. Among the big drivers, American Express (AXP: Research, Estimates) rocketed 10-7/8 to 143-3/4, J.P. Morgan (JPM: Research, Estimates) surged 7-1/8 to 124-5/8 and Minnesota Mining & Manufacturing (MMM: Research, Estimates) catapulted 5-9/16 to 88-1/16. "A lot of these stocks were much higher a year ago than they are today," Ned Riley, chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors, told CNN's In the Money. "Clearly, the bottom-fishing issue is important and real." Still, Paul Rabbitt, president of Rabbitt Analytics, told CNNfn's Talking Stocks he sees the Nasdaq resuming its lead as investors chase the highest growth tech companies. (408K WAV) (408K AIFF). Even after the day's action, the Dow is still down 7.5 percent this year while the Nasdaq is up 15.9 percent in 2000. But on Thursday, Nasdaq leaders surged alongside old economy stalwarts. Oracle (ORCL: Research, Estimates) jumped 3-5/8 to 81-15/16, Intel (INTC: Research, Estimates) rose 4-7/8 to 125-1/16, and JDS Uniphase (JDSU: Research, Estimates) rocketed 10-11/16 to 129-7/16. But Microsoft (MSFT: Research, Estimates), failed to rise, ending unchanged at 95-3/8. Inflation-friendly data Blue-chip stocks found support after the latest batch of economic indicators suggested inflation remains tame enough to keep the Federal Reserve from aggressively tightening credit, boosting expectations for strong corporate profits. While producer prices posted their biggest monthly jump in more than nine years in February, the core rate, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, advanced at a more moderate pace of rose 0.3 percent. "Inflation appears to be muted," said Alan Ackerman, senior vice president at Fahnestock & Co. Separately, the Commerce Department reported that housing starts rose 1.3 percent to a 1.78 million-unit rate in February, suggesting the housing market remains strong, undeterred by the Fed's four rate hikes since June. Finally, the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to 262,000 for the week ended March 11, the Labor Department said.

Strong Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Nasdaq reaches new record high, 15 years after dotcom tech surge(Apr.23.2015)

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Nasdaq reaches new record high, 15 years after dotcom tech surge(Apr.23.2015)

The Nasdaq index reached a record high on Thursday, topping a record set 15 years ago during the height of the dotcom tech bubble.The index had risen as much as 25 points, or 0.5%, to 5,060.14 by early afternoon, topping its all-time closing high of 5,048.62 on March 10, 2000. It ended the day at 5,056.06, up 0.41%.The Dow Jones and S&P have recorded dozens of new highs since the end of the recession. While the Nasdaq has come close to topping its former levels until Thursday, it had always fallen short.The index was the world’s first electronic stock exchange and has become the traditional home of many of tech’s biggest companies. Amazon, Apple, Cisco, Facebook, Google, Intel and Microsoft are all traded on the Nasdaq.But in recent years it has diversified its portfolio of companies, and now includes high-flying biotech stocks including Amgen and Gilead Sciences. The shift may have broadened Nasdaq’s appeal, but it is still heavily weighted to the fortunes of the tech sector. Apple, the world’s most valuable company, is Nasdaq’s largest component, and its record-breaking share price run has helped propel Nasdaq’s rise.It has taken Nasdaq 15-years to recover from the last big technology crash. On March 10, 2000, the Nasdaq Composite index closed at a record of 5,048.62, up 24% since the beginning of the year, and capping an amazing decade in which it skyrocketed over 1,300%.Then the dotcom bubble burst. Nasdaq lost half its value in 2001 and reached an all-time low of 1,108.49 in October 2002.This time, it’s different. At least according to some. Brian Jacobsen, chief portfolio strategist at Wells Fargo, predicted last month that the Nasdaq would soon reach 6,000. “Valuations are just very reasonable,” he told CNBC. “I think the big thing that is going to drive the market higher is people buying into the idea that the market isn’t going to fall out from underneath them.”Others are less sure. Stephen Massocca, chief investment officer at Wedbush Equity Management, said the rise was being underpinned by monetary policy rather than fundamental value of the companies in the index. “Ultimately what’s driving this is low interest rates and easy money,” he said.Investors have also bid up social media companies to “1999-2000 level”, he said. Massocca said social media stocks were the “Inner Station” – home to the crazed ivory trader Mr Kurtz in Conrad’s Heart of Darkness – at the centre of the story of Nasdaq’s new rise.“I don’t know when it’s going to end but I know how,” said Massocca. He said that when investors start to believe the end is coming for the easy monetary policies in the US, Europe and Japan then there would be a “swift and violent” reaction in the stock markets.Worries about a tech bubble have been growing as a new generation of tech companies have attracted sky high valuations. Uber, the taxi app comp[any, is now valued at $41bn, Snapchat, the ephemeral messaging service, is valued at $15bn.Many industry leaders have raised concerns about a new asset bubble. Last month billionaire Mark Cuban, who made a fortune in the last tech boom, warned against the current appetite for tech.“If we thought it was stupid to invest in public internet websites that had no chance of succeeding back then, it’s worse today,” he wrote in a blogpost.

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

1999 Goes Into the Record Book on Wall Street(Jan. 1, 2000)

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

1999 Goes Into the Record Book on Wall Street(Jan. 1, 2000)

Wall Street ended the millennium with an appropriate flourish on Friday, as major stock indexes closed at record highs amid signs that the feared Y2K bug was a no-show.But investors worldwide had basically been saying as much for months: The spectacular 1999 gains in equity markets from New York to Athens to Singapore were a strong vote not only for a smooth transition to the new millennium, but also for a booming global economy in the new year.Technology stocks, of course, were the driving force in the U.S. market in ’99. Ravenous demand by large and small investors alike for shares of semiconductor, software, Internet and telecommunications issues drove the Nasdaq composite index up 85.6% for the year, the greatest calendar-year advance of any major stock index in U.S. history.The previous record: The Dow Jones industrial average’s 81.7% surge in 1915.In a shortened trading session on Friday, while both the Nasdaq index and the Dow ended at new highs, the 28-year-old Nasdaq again showed the 103-year-old Dow who’s in charge now: Nasdaq jumped 32.44 points, or 0.8%, to 4,069.31, while the Dow rose half as much in percentage terms, adding 44.26 points to 11,497.12.Still, the blue-chip Dow’s 1999 advance of 25.2% beat the broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index’s gain of 19.5%, thanks in part to Dow Jones & Co.’s decision to take a page out of Nasdaq’s book and add tech giants Intel Corp. and Microsoft Corp. to the 30-stock index on Nov. 1.Microsoft has since zoomed 26%; Intel has risen 8%.Many smaller technology stocks also have been red-hot in recent months, a factor in pushing the Russell 2,000 small-stock index this week to its first series of record closes since April 1998.On Friday, the Russell jumped 1.6% to a new high of 504.75.Some traders said that suggested bargain-hunters were snapping up depressed smaller stocks, hoping for a “January effect” bounce--a surge in shares that had been beaten down at year-end by tax-related selling.But that kind of bargain-hunting would have to be dramatic to bring many U.S. stocks into the bull market that tech stocks have enjoyed over the last year in particular.Indeed, a question raised over and over on Wall Street in 1999 was: Whose bull market is this, anyway?On Nasdaq, for example, nearly half of that market’s 5,000-some stocks actually declined in price in 1999, even as the Nasdaq composite index zoomed.A major problem for many stocks, though obviously not the tech sector, was the ongoing rise in interest rates. The Federal Reserve raised short-term rates three times during the year (in June, August and November), citing concerns that the U.S. economy’s tremendous growth rate might boost inflationary pressures.That made for sheer misery in the bond market: Bond values plummeted as the yield on the bellwether 30-year Treasury bond soared, closing 1999 at 6.48%, highest since late 1997 and up from 5.09% at the end of 1998.On a total return basis--counting interest earned, then subtracting the net loss in principal value--the Vanguard Long-Term Treasury bond mutual fund lost 8.1% for the year.Who could blame investors who gave up on bonds altogether and joined the tech-stock stampede?Interest rates also rose across Europe and in parts of East Asia as the global economic recovery gained steam.Higher rates, as expected, wreaked havoc with traditionally interest rate-sensitive stock groups, including banks, insurance companies, home builders and utilities.The Dow Jones utility stock index slumped 9.3% for the year. The Nasdaq bank stock index slid 8%.Assuming the Y2K computer bug remains only an annoyance, at worst, to the world economy, many experts believe the Fed is poised to tighten credit further in 2000, probably as early as February.But would that matter to the roaring tech and telecom sectors, even with stock price-to-earnings ratios at levels never before seen in the modern market?Though many investors may have already forgotten, the tech sector last summer demonstrated just how much downside there can be in richly valued stocks.Many Internet-related stocks, after peaking last spring, fell 50% or more by early August, wiping out billions in market value and panicking many investors into selling--at exactly the wrong time, in many cases.The Net sector then turned on a dime and roared again in late summer and into autumn. For the year, the Interactive Week Internet stock index soared 168.3%.With the heated action in many tech issues worldwide over the last two months, analysts have run out of superlatives to describe the phenomenon.The cult stocks of the end of one millennium--and the beginning of another--include wireless technology titan Qualcomm in the United States, consumer electronics giant Sony Corp. in Japan, cellular phone leader Nokia in Finland and Internet content company China.com in Hong Kong.The market’s bulls say there’s a fundamental basis for these stocks’ gains: technology is the future, after all; and many of these companies unquestionably boast the best growth prospects of any businesses on Earth.The market’s bears say this is like any other investment mania in history, only worse. It can only end in a crash of stock values, they say--at least for the tech sector, and possibly for the broader market.If that happens, it will be brought to the world in living color on the largest video screen in the world: Nasdaq’s newly opened MarketSite Tower in the heart of New York’s Times Square.

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Tech Stocks Extend Slide; Nasdaq Ends 3.7% Lower(Sept. 18, 2001)

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Tech Stocks Extend Slide; Nasdaq Ends 3.7% Lower(Sept. 18, 2001)

Technology stocks extended their losses Thursday as investors continued to assess the economic fallout from last week's terrorist attacks.The Nasdaq Composite fell 56.87, or 3.7%, to finish at 1470.93, after losing 1.8% Wednesday. Morgan Stanley's High Tech Index shed 16.57 to 369.01 and the Dow Jones Internet Index lost 2.43 to 40.71.On Capitol Hill, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan told Congress the terrorist attacks had disrupted the business activity in a number of ways, including a drop in consumer spending and travel and the stock market's four-day shutdown last week (see article). But Mr. Greenspan also said, "I am confident that we will recover and prosper as we have in the past."Software stocks continued to tumble as investors worried that the terrorist attacks would hamper companies ability to close sales in the final weeks of the September quarter."All software is down. The sector is definitely under pressure," John Rizzuto, software analyst at Credit Suisse First Boston Corp., said.PeopleSoft slipped 75 cents to $19.99, Siebel Systems shares lost $1.01 to $14, and CheckPoint Software fell $1.52 to $25.41, all on the Nasdaq Stock Market.Cadence Design Systems dropped 69 cents to $16.23 on the New York Stock Exchange. John O. Barr, an analyst with Robertson Stephens cut his earnings and revenue estimates for the integrated-circuit design software provider amid continued weakness in information-technology spending. Mr. Barr now expects third-quarter earnings of 19 cents a share on revenue of $347.4 million, below his previous estimates.SAP fell 50 cents to $23 on the Big Board. The German software giant said Thursday it will meet its earnings expectations for the first nine months of 2001, calming investors' jitters, but the German software giant left the door open to revise its full-year targets (see article).EMC added 10 cents to $12.70 on the Big Board. The data-storage giant said Thursday it has acquired closely held Luminate Software for about $50 million in cash. Luminate develops performance-monitoring software for storage-intensive applications and operating environments.Microsoft slid $3.11 to $50.76 on Nasdaq. The software giant called the remedies sought by the Justice Department in its antitrust case "improper" in its latest court filing, as the company prepares for a meeting next week with the new judge in the case (see article).Meanwhile, Applied Materials and 3Com joined the list of companies announcing job cuts this week. Applied Materials fell $1.63 to $29.49, while 3Com gained 10 cents to $3.79, both on Nasdaq.Chip maker Applied Materials said Thursday it plans to reduce its work force by about 2,000 positions, or 10%. It said it will take an undisclosed restructuring charge in the fiscal fourth quarter ending Oct. 28 (see article).Networking-gear maker 3Com late Wednesday reported a wider-than-expected quarterly loss on a steep slide in revenue. The company also announced it will cut 1,000 more jobs than previously planned (see article).Elsewhere, Leap Wireless International climbed $1.06 to $14.01 on Nasdaq after the wireless Internet company gained some flexibility in its financing agreements with vendors Telefon AB L.M. Ericsson, Lucent Technologies and Nortel Networks by amending covenants relating to capital expenditures and gross revenue.Priceline.com rose 26 cents to $2.29 on Nasdaq. Cheung Kong and Hutchison Whampoa, two shareholders with a total stake of 27% in the Internet travel service, withdrew their request to file a shelf registration, which would have let them sell Priceline shares.

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Nasdaq Sinks 3.4% As Market Staggers To Dismal Year End(Jan. 1, 2001)

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Nasdaq Sinks 3.4% As Market Staggers To Dismal Year End(Jan. 1, 2001)

Technology stocks retreated Friday, dragging the Nasdaq Composite Index down 3.4% and cementing 2000 as its worst year on record. Blue chips failed to extend a five-day run of gains, leaving the Dow Jones Industrial Average with its poorest one-year performance since 1981.The Nasdaq composite dropped 87.24 to 2470.52, ending the year down 39%. It was the index's worst year since the market measure was created in 1971, surpassing its 1974 drop of 35%.Meanwhile, the industrial average sank 81.91, or 0.8%, to 10786.85, closing down 6.2% for the year -- its first annual loss since 1990.Other major indexes finished lower. The Standard & Poor's 500-stock index fell 13.94, or 1%, to 1320.28. The New York Stock Exchange Composite Index sank 3.03 to 656.87, and the Russell 2000 Index of small-capitalization stocks fell 10.50, or 2.1%, to 483.53.Hopes that the market would finish 2000 on a positive note were dashed. The main indexes showed some early strength, but the Nasdaq composite retreated amid declines by the year's hard-hit tech bellwethers, including Cisco Systems , Microsoft , Intel , Yahoo and Dell Computer . The industrial average exhibited a lack of direction for most of the day before sinking in late trading.Internet stocks led the Nasdaq composite lower, with the Dow Jones Composite Internet Index dropping 6.5%. Most other tech shares were weak. The transportation sector got a boost from airline stocks, and retailers also advanced. The S&P retail index rose 1.1% as Dow components Home Depot and Wal-Mart Stores rose.Many on Wall Street are happy to put this year behind them. Technology stocks have been the biggest losers, dragging down Nasdaq composite in contrast with 1999's record surge of nearly 86%. The industrial average rose 25% last year."You have to remember that in 1999 the Nasdaq went into a manic phase," said Larry Wachtel, market strategist at Prudential Securities. "In the year 2000, we unraveled that manic phase. I have a hard time getting out the crying towels. ... We're back to sobriety here."Financial markets are closed Monday, giving investors another three-day weekend to catch their breath.The bond market closed early Friday ahead of the New Year's holiday, with bonds ending mixed . Bond prices posted solid gains in 2000, mostly due to a late-year rally as it became increasingly evident that the U.S. economy was slowing. Government securities are seen as a safe-haven investment during times of economic uncertainty or a stock-market slump. The 10-year note's yield fell more than a full percentage point in 2000 to 5.11% Friday, from 6.43% a year ago.The dollar was lower Friday. It made sharp gains against the yen this year, and also climbed against the euro. The U.S. currency rose 12% against the yen, while the euro dipped 6.4% against the dollar in 2000.Fears that the economy is slowing too quickly, hurting corporate profits as a result, have driven the market's performance in recent months. The tech sector felt little but pain for most of the year as the Internet bubble burst and investors adopted a more cautious stance. Defensive issues, including tobacco, energy, and health-care and pharmaceutical stocks, outperformed the broader market in 2000 amid the uncertainty.Dow component Philip Morris rose 91% this year. The S&P pharmaceutical index jumped 35% in 2000, and Merck gained 38%. Microsoft finished the year down 63%, and fellow tech bellwether Intel lost 28% this year. AT&T dropped 66%, and Internet stocks took a beating, with Yahoo! down 86%.The Dow Jones Composite Internet Index sank 66% for the year and is off 73% from its high. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index lost 18% and is off 58% from its high.The Nasdaq composite closed Friday off 51% from its March 10 high, while the industrial average lost a milder 8% from its high point on Jan. 14. The S&P 500 finished off 10% for the year and down 14% from its high March 24, but the NYSE Composite managed to finish up 1% for the year and off 3.1% from its record close Sept. 1.Alan Ackerman, executive vice president and market strategist at Fahnestock, said investors are weary after the tumultuous year on Wall Street. He said all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve to pull the economy -- and the stock market -- out of its slump. Hopes that the Fed would cut rates in December weren't realized, sending stocks sliding earlier in the month."The future of the market clearly depends on whether the Fed is going to be friendly to the economy," Mr. Ackerman said. "My outlook is cautiously optimistic until we know what the Fed is going to do. The world is in the midst of an economic slowdown, and it needs a catalyst. That catalyst may be the Fed lowering rates one or more times in the next year."Ricky Harrington, a technical analyst a Wachovia Securities, said the prospect that the Fed may cut rates in January, coupled with a bounce from the tech sector's heavy losses, could lift the market early next year. On Dec. 20, the Nasdaq composite hit its lowest close since March 1999 of 2332.78. But the cloudy economic outlook will continue to loom over the market."As for January and the early part of the year, I think there is likely to be a further recovery in the Nasdaq and many of these depressed areas," Mr. Harrington said. "But the year 2001 I think will still be a second bear market year for the Nasdaq. Stocks are still overvalued, and the economy is clearly heading into a slowdown or something worse."Outside the U.S., European markets closed mixed Friday, with Frankfurt's key index rising 1%. In the Asian-Pacific region, markets finished mixed as Tokyo stocks ended down 27% for the year. Year-end window dressing offered some support in the region.

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Why this Time the Tech Bubble is Different(May 4, 2022)

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Why this Time the Tech Bubble is Different(May 4, 2022)

We are in a stock market carnage. Pandemic darling stocks Zoom, Peloton, Carvana, and many other NASDAQ stocks have tumbled from their highs. FAANG + Microsoft stocks have lost close to $1.4 trillion of value due to the market meltdown in April. We are in a “tech bubble” but this time the bubble is different.Going back to 2001The 2000 and 2001 tech bubble was different than what we are seeing now. The early 2000s tech stock bubble happened mainly due to tech stock speculation mania. This was the time when the internet was created. Many visionaries rightfully saw the internet as the most important innovation since the industrial revolution (similar to how Bitcoin is now). Private (venture capital) and public market money poured into these internet companies. Investment banks paid analysts bonuses for pumping up buy ratings of worthless doc com businesses to get more business from these companies. In 2000, at the height of the tech stock boom, NASDAQ IPOs raised $54 billion. This was an all-time high. Between 1995 and 2001, 439 dot-com businesses went public. During the 4th quarter of 1999, an average of $160 million was invested in private tech companies per day. Of course, all good things must come to an end. As you can see below, the speculation mania ended as the NASDAQ reached new highs on March 10th, 2002 (reaching 5048.62 points). The NASDAQ hits its low on October 9th, 2002. This decimated valuations of so many tech companies and bankrupted so many dot com businesses. But of course, from the crash came some of the most valuable companies in the world like Amazon, Alphabet (Google), and Meta (formerly Facebook), which happen to be technology companies.Now Let’s Come Back to 2022If the early 2000s tech bubble was an investor led mania, the 2010s and early 2020s stock market boom is a monetary policy created mania. Zero % interest rates, cheap money, and money printing has been a boon for assets. Just see below growth of financial asset value relative to US GDP (courtesy: St. Louis Fed FRED).Also, shown below is Federal Reserve M2 Money Printing correlated to the US stock market growth (courtesy: Man Yin To | Seeking Alpha Contributor).Easy money and record low interest rates (while the average joe pay high credit card and student loan interest rates) has inflated asset values. Cheap money and low interest rates have made investors searching high return returns. This has led money to flow into commercial real estate, single family homes, tech startups, mortgage backed securities, commercial mortgage backed securities, and the stock market. Also, the rise of passive investing and ETFs (like Vanguard) have made money from individual investors and retirement accounts to flow into blue chip US stocks.Overall, the Fed is stuck in a rock and a hard place. Years of low interest rates and money printing has created the greatest asset bubble in history. Now the world is seeing unpresented inflation. If the Fed raise rates 8–9 times as the Fed has planned, expect a recession and financial markets to collapse. This was probably tolerable in the 70s, early 2000s, and even 2008. But now the US is heavily financialized. So many retirement accounts are going to lose value by almost half. Wall Street does not want the music to stop and the Fed knows this fact. But the Fed also does not want inflation to run amuck. This is also a crucial year for the US given that the country is having its Midterm elections. Majority of Americans disapprove or President Biden’s actions, which signals bad news for the Democratic Party, which holds majority in both the US House of Representatives and Senate. On a recent podcast, Morgan Creek’s capital Mark Yusko mentioned that the we’ll be lucky to have 3 fed rate hikes. I echo Mark’s sentiment. The fed wants to fight inflation while not rocking the boat. In this case, the Fed is going to tread very carefully.Overall, the decade of the 2010s is going to be mainly defied by money printing and the rise of Web 2.0. But we are already seeing the cracks. Tech stocks, including the FAANGs, are in free fall. One of the most respected tech investors, Chase Coleman of Tiger Global, has lost 44% YTD. Cathie Wood’s signature Ark Invest ETF is down nearly 40% YTD. But the worst is yet to come. Food inflation is at an all-time high. We are also seeing many sovereign nations lose faith in the US Dollar and de-dollarization is accelerating. With more rate hikes by the Fed to control inflation expect a harsher reaction from financial markets. I do not have a crystal ball to predict what will happen in the future. But what is known for sure is that global uncertainty and risk will only increase. We are still in for some pain.But with pain comes opportunity. Now is the time to go bargain hunting on some really good investments (as we have mentioned here, here, here, here, and here). After the tech bubble burst, some of the most valuable and important companies like Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, and Google came from the tech space. This is while useless “dot-com” companies with no sales went bust. Also similar to the last tech bubble, we are witnessing the birth of the new technology and asset class: Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin and crypto are going to create the next wave of finance and decentralized applications. As investors are seeking places to allocate their capital, expect more money to go into crypto. Same can be true for commodities, climate change technology, and emerging market equities. Useless companies that went up thanks to money printing are just going to collapse and go bankrupt. Strong emerging tech companies are going to be the next billion- and trillion-dollar companies. As this “everything bubble” bursts, expect some gems to rise up from the ashes.

Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

‘Price bubble’ in A.I. stocks will wreck rally, economist David Rosenberg predicts(May 25 2023)

Neutral

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

‘Price bubble’ in A.I. stocks will wreck rally, economist David Rosenberg predicts(May 25 2023)

Investors piling into stocks with artificial intelligence exposure may pay a hefty price.Economist David Rosenberg, a bear known for his contrarian views, believes enthusiasm surrounding AI has become a major distraction from recession risks.“No question that we have a price bubble,” the Rosenberg Research president told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Thursday.According to Rosenberg, the AI surge has striking similarities to the late 1990s dot-com boom —particularly when it comes to the Nasdaq 100 breakout over the past six months.″[This] looks very weird,” said Rosenberg, who served as Merrill Lynch’s chief North American economist from 2002 to 2009. “It’s way overextended.”This week, Nvidia’s blowout quarter helped drive AI excitement to new levels. The chipmaker boosted its yearly forecast after delivering a strong quarterly earnings beat after Wednesday’s market close. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang cited booming demand for its AI chips.Nvidia stock gained more than 24% after the report and is now up 133% over the last six months. AI competitors Alphabet, Microsoft and Palantir are also seeing a stock surge.In a recent note to clients, Rosenberg warned the rally is on borrowed time.“There are breadth measures for the S&P 500 that are the worst since 1999. Just seven mega-caps have accounted for 90% of this year’s price performance,” Rosenberg wrote. “You look at the tech weighting in the S&P 500 and it is up to 27%, where it was heading into 2000 as the dotcom bubble was peaking out and soon to roll over in spectacular fashion.”While mega cap tech outperforms, Rosenberg sees ominous trading activity in banks, consumer discretionary stocks and transports.“They have the highest torque to GDP. They’re down more than 30% from the cycle highs,” Rosenberg said. “They’re actually behaving in the exact same pattern they have going into the past four recessions.”

Neutral

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Event

How did MSFT perform after ISM Manufacturing Employment Fell Below Expectations?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after ISM Manufacturing Employment Fell Below Expectations?

Impact of ISM Manufacturing Employment Fell Below Expectations on MSFT's stock price Macroeconomic indicators play a vital role in determining the direction of financial markets and individual stocks. Events such as ISM Manufacturing Employment Fell Below Expectations can significantly influence market sentiment and price movements. Rate hikes, rising CPI, or weakening consumer sentiment → Potential for increased market volatility Rate cuts, easing CPI, or improving sentiment → Possible stabilization or stock market rally This analysis reviews MSFT's stock performance following the ISM Manufacturing Employment Fell Below Expectations event over the past 10 years. The event occurred 18 times. The most recent instances were: 2025-07-032025-04-032024-12-04 Approximately 70.6% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.9% Top 25% return: 7.4% Bottom 25% return: -1.2% Historically, after the ISM Manufacturing Employment Fell Below Expectations event, MSFT showed an upward trend over the next 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations?

Impact of Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations on MSFT's stock price Macroeconomic indicators play a vital role in determining the direction of financial markets and individual stocks. Events such as Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations can significantly influence market sentiment and price movements. Rate hikes, rising CPI, or weakening consumer sentiment → Potential for increased market volatility Rate cuts, easing CPI, or improving sentiment → Possible stabilization or stock market rally This analysis reviews MSFT's stock performance following the Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations event over the past 10 years. The event occurred 279 times. The most recent instances were: 2025-07-032025-06-262025-06-18 Approximately 65.6% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.0% Top 25% return: 5.3% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% Historically, after the Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations event, MSFT showed an upward trend over the next 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT CCI Signal: What happened 20 days after CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT CCI Signal: What happened 20 days after CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100?

The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator for MSFT entered a CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100 state in the past 10 years. CCI measures price deviation from its average and is often used to detect overbought or oversold market conditions. This specific event occurred 396 times in the last 10 years. Recent instances include: 2025-07-032025-07-022025-07-01 Approximately 63.4% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after signal: Average return: 0.9% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -2.4% Historically, this CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100 event on MSFT's CCI indicator led to an upward trend 20 days later. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1715 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-07-032025-07-022025-07-01 Approximately 65.4% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.7% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.4% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT CCI Signal: What happened 20 days after CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT CCI Signal: What happened 20 days after CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100?

The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator for MSFT entered a CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100 state in the past 10 years. CCI measures price deviation from its average and is often used to detect overbought or oversold market conditions. This specific event occurred 395 times in the last 10 years. Recent instances include: 2025-07-022025-07-012025-05-30 Approximately 63.4% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after signal: Average return: 0.9% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -2.4% Historically, this CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100 event on MSFT's CCI indicator led to an upward trend 20 days later. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1714 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-07-022025-07-012025-06-30 Approximately 65.3% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.7% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.4% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT Aroon event (Aroon(14) Crossed Below 50) – what followed after 20 days?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT Aroon event (Aroon(14) Crossed Below 50) – what followed after 20 days?

MSFT's Aroon(14) indicator has triggered a Aroon(14) Crossed Below 50 condition in the past 10 years. The Aroon indicator measures the time since the highest high and lowest low over a period (typically 14 days), capturing how quickly new highs or lows are being made. This momentum indicator helps determine whether an asset is in a strong upward or downward trend. Crossing certain threshold levels in the Aroon Oscillator can indicate a potential shift in market direction. MSFT has experienced the Aroon(14) Crossed Below 50 pattern 127 times in the past 10 years. Most recent occurrences: 2025-07-022025-03-312025-02-03 Approximately 64.3% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these Aroon signals: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.2% Bottom 25% return: -1.9% In summary, when MSFT's Aroon(14) triggered a Aroon(14) Crossed Below 50 condition over the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after ISM Manufacturing Index Exceeded Expectations?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after ISM Manufacturing Index Exceeded Expectations?

Impact of ISM Manufacturing Index Exceeded Expectations on MSFT's stock price Macroeconomic indicators play a vital role in determining the direction of financial markets and individual stocks. Events such as ISM Manufacturing Index Exceeded Expectations can significantly influence market sentiment and price movements. Rate hikes, rising CPI, or weakening consumer sentiment → Potential for increased market volatility Rate cuts, easing CPI, or improving sentiment → Possible stabilization or stock market rally This analysis reviews MSFT's stock performance following the ISM Manufacturing Index Exceeded Expectations event over the past 10 years. The event occurred 62 times. The most recent instances were: 2025-07-012025-05-012025-02-03 Approximately 60.7% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.1% Top 25% return: 6.9% Bottom 25% return: -2.6% Historically, after the ISM Manufacturing Index Exceeded Expectations event, MSFT showed an upward trend over the next 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT CCI Signal: What happened 20 days after CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT CCI Signal: What happened 20 days after CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100?

The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator for MSFT entered a CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100 state in the past 10 years. CCI measures price deviation from its average and is often used to detect overbought or oversold market conditions. This specific event occurred 394 times in the last 10 years. Recent instances include: 2025-07-012025-05-302025-05-29 Approximately 63.4% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after signal: Average return: 0.9% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -2.4% Historically, this CCI(14) short < 100 & CCI(14) long > 100 event on MSFT's CCI indicator led to an upward trend 20 days later. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1713 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-07-012025-06-302025-06-27 Approximately 65.3% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.7% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.4% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Chande Momentum Oscillator event (Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Below 50) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Chande Momentum Oscillator event (Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Below 50) - MSFT

MSFT's Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) has entered a Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Below 50 state over the past 10 years. The Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) measures momentum by comparing the strength of up days to down days over a certain period. Typically, values above 50 indicate overbought conditions, while values below -50 indicate oversold conditions. This event occurred 75 times in the last 10 years. The most recent dates were: 2025-07-012025-06-202025-05-28 Approximately 63.0% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such signals: Average return: 0.7% Top 25% return: 4.8% Bottom 25% return: -1.8% In conclusion, when MSFT's CMO(14) entered a Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Below 50 state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to experience an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Williams Oscillator event (Williams(14) Crossed Below -20) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Williams Oscillator event (Williams(14) Crossed Below -20) - MSFT

MSFT's Williams %R(14) signal entered a Williams(14) Crossed Below -20 state in the past 10 years. The Williams %R oscillator is a momentum indicator showing the level of the closing price relative to the high-low range over a specified period, primarily used to detect overbought and oversold conditions. Values above -20 generally indicate an overbought condition, while values below -80 indicate an oversold condition. Crossing above -80 may signal a rebound from oversold levels, whereas crossing below -20 may suggest a shift from overbought territory toward a decline. This event has occurred 232 times in the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-07-012025-06-202025-06-13 Approximately 62.0% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after the event: Average return: 1.7% Top 25% return: 5.5% Bottom 25% return: -1.7% Historically, Williams %R(14) Williams(14) Crossed Below -20 events for MSFT have often been followed by an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1712 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-302025-06-272025-06-26 Approximately 65.3% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.7% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.4% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Loss(15%) in the past 2 years'?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Loss(15%) in the past 2 years'?

The 'Some investors saw Loss(15%) in the past 2 years' pattern has occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. This pattern indicates that among investors who bought and held MSFT over the past 2 years, there were investors whose cumulative loss exceeded 15%. This may indicate weakening sentiment or increasing downside risk. It occurred 168 times in this period. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-272025-06-202025-06-13 Approximately 64.6% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Performance 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.2% Top 25% return: 6.6% Bottom 25% return: -2.1% Historically, MSFT showed an upward trend over the 20-day period following this pattern. [Compliance Note] All posts by CORE16 are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. CORE16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Gain(18%) in the past 2 years'?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Gain(18%) in the past 2 years'?

The 'Some investors saw Gain(18%) in the past 2 years' pattern has occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. This pattern indicates that among investors who bought and held MSFT over the past 2 years, there were investors whose cumulative profit exceeded 18%. This may reflect growing investor confidence and upside potential. It occurred 493 times in this period. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-272025-06-202025-06-13 Approximately 67.8% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Performance 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.2% Top 25% return: 5.3% Bottom 25% return: -1.2% Historically, MSFT showed an upward trend over the 20-day period following this pattern. [Compliance Note] All posts by CORE16 are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. CORE16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after Michigan Consumer Sentiment Exceeded Expectations?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after Michigan Consumer Sentiment Exceeded Expectations?

Impact of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Exceeded Expectations on MSFT's stock price Macroeconomic indicators play a vital role in determining the direction of financial markets and individual stocks. Events such as Michigan Consumer Sentiment Exceeded Expectations can significantly influence market sentiment and price movements. Rate hikes, rising CPI, or weakening consumer sentiment → Potential for increased market volatility Rate cuts, easing CPI, or improving sentiment → Possible stabilization or stock market rally This analysis reviews MSFT's stock performance following the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Exceeded Expectations event over the past 10 years. The event occurred 120 times. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-272025-06-132025-05-30 Approximately 68.4% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.0% Top 25% return: 5.3% Bottom 25% return: -1.4% Historically, after the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Exceeded Expectations event, MSFT showed an upward trend over the next 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1711 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-272025-06-262025-06-25 Approximately 65.3% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Bollinger Band event (Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Bollinger Band event (Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band) - MSFT

MSFT's Bollinger Band(20,2) signal entered a Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band state over the past 10 years. Bollinger Bands are technical indicators that reflect price volatility by placing upper and lower bands around a moving average. Price touching or breaching the bands may indicate overbought or oversold conditions. Typically, an upper band breakout implies an overbought signal; a lower band breakout suggests an oversold condition, often followed by a reversal or consolidation. The event occurred 93 times in the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-272025-06-252025-06-13 Approximately 62.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such events: Average return: 1.2% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% Historically, Bollinger Band Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band events for MSFT have often been followed by an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations?

Impact of Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations on MSFT's stock price Macroeconomic indicators play a vital role in determining the direction of financial markets and individual stocks. Events such as Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations can significantly influence market sentiment and price movements. Rate hikes, rising CPI, or weakening consumer sentiment → Potential for increased market volatility Rate cuts, easing CPI, or improving sentiment → Possible stabilization or stock market rally This analysis reviews MSFT's stock performance following the Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations event over the past 10 years. The event occurred 278 times. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-262025-06-182025-05-22 Approximately 65.6% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.0% Top 25% return: 5.3% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% Historically, after the Initial Jobless Claims Fell Below Expectations event, MSFT showed an upward trend over the next 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1710 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-262025-06-252025-06-24 Approximately 65.3% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT MACD crossover: MACD(12,26) Bullish Crossover with Signal(9) – What happened after 20 days?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

MSFT MACD crossover: MACD(12,26) Bullish Crossover with Signal(9) – What happened after 20 days?

MSFT's MACD(12,26) and Signal(9) indicators entered the MACD(12,26) Bullish Crossover with Signal(9) condition during the past 10 years. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a momentum indicator that analyzes trend direction and strength based on the difference between a 12-day and 26-day EMA. When the MACD line crosses the signal line (9-day EMA), it often signals a trend reversal—bullish when crossing above, bearish when crossing below. MSFT experienced the MACD(12,26) Bullish Crossover with Signal(9) event 108 times over the past 10 years. The most recent events were: 2025-06-262025-04-242025-04-10 Approximately 72.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average stock performance after 20 days from these MACD crossover events: Average return: 2.7% Top 25% return: 6.2% Bottom 25% return: -0.2% In conclusion, when MSFT's MACD(12,26) crossed the signal line (MACD(12,26) Bullish Crossover with Signal(9)) over the past 10 years, it often led to an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

The Three White Soldiers pattern occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. The 'Three White Soldiers' is a bullish candlestick pattern consisting of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that open within the previous candle's real body and close higher. It signals strong buying momentum. This pattern suggests continued upward momentum and is considered a potential bullish reversal or continuation indicator. This pattern was identified 180 times in the past 10 years. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-252025-06-182025-06-09 Approximately 61.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Stock performance 20 days after the pattern: Average return: 1.4% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -3.1% Historically, when this pattern appeared for MSFT, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

The 3 Consecutive Up Days event occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. 3 Consecutive Up Days refers to a consecutive series of days where the stock price moved in the same direction (either up or down). Such serial movements may reflect short-term trend continuation or potential exhaustion, followed by a price reversal. This pattern occurred 178 times in the past 10 years. The most recent events include: 2025-06-252025-06-022025-05-16 Approximately 62.5% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Performance 20 days after the event: Average return: 1.5% Top 25% return: 5.0% Bottom 25% return: -3.1% Overall, when the 3 Consecutive Up Days pattern occurred for MSFT, the stock tended to show an upward trend 20 days later. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1709 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-252025-06-242025-06-23 Approximately 65.2% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Bollinger Band event (Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Bollinger Band event (Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band) - MSFT

MSFT's Bollinger Band(20,2) signal entered a Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band state over the past 10 years. Bollinger Bands are technical indicators that reflect price volatility by placing upper and lower bands around a moving average. Price touching or breaching the bands may indicate overbought or oversold conditions. Typically, an upper band breakout implies an overbought signal; a lower band breakout suggests an oversold condition, often followed by a reversal or consolidation. The event occurred 92 times in the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-252025-06-132025-06-10 Approximately 62.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such events: Average return: 1.2% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% Historically, Bollinger Band Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band events for MSFT have often been followed by an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after CB Consumer Confidence Fell Below Expectations?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after CB Consumer Confidence Fell Below Expectations?

Impact of CB Consumer Confidence Fell Below Expectations on MSFT's stock price Macroeconomic indicators play a vital role in determining the direction of financial markets and individual stocks. Events such as CB Consumer Confidence Fell Below Expectations can significantly influence market sentiment and price movements. Rate hikes, rising CPI, or weakening consumer sentiment → Potential for increased market volatility Rate cuts, easing CPI, or improving sentiment → Possible stabilization or stock market rally This analysis reviews MSFT's stock performance following the CB Consumer Confidence Fell Below Expectations event over the past 10 years. The event occurred 60 times. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-242025-04-292025-03-25 Approximately 66.1% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.0% Top 25% return: 6.2% Bottom 25% return: -1.2% Historically, after the CB Consumer Confidence Fell Below Expectations event, MSFT showed an upward trend over the next 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1708 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-242025-06-232025-06-20 Approximately 65.2% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Demarker event (Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Demarker event (Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7) - MSFT

MSFT's Demarker(14) indicator entered a 'Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7' state over the past 10 years. The Demarker indicator evaluates buying and selling pressure by comparing the recent highs and lows over a given period. Typically, Demarker values above 0.7 indicate overbought conditions, while values below 0.3 indicate oversold territory. Crossing above 0.7 may imply overextension on the upside, while falling below 0.3 may indicate a reversal opportunity from excessive selling. The 'Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7' event has occurred 218 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-242025-06-022025-04-25 Approximately 65.3% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such signals: Average return: 1.9% Top 25% return: 5.2% Bottom 25% return: -1.2% Historically, when Demarker(14) triggered the 'Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7' condition for MSFT, prices tended to show an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Chande Momentum Oscillator event (Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Above 50) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Chande Momentum Oscillator event (Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Above 50) - MSFT

MSFT's Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) has entered a Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Above 50 state over the past 10 years. The Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) measures momentum by comparing the strength of up days to down days over a certain period. Typically, values above 50 indicate overbought conditions, while values below -50 indicate oversold conditions. This event occurred 75 times in the last 10 years. The most recent dates were: 2025-06-232025-06-112025-05-27 Approximately 54.2% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such signals: Average return: -0.0% Top 25% return: 3.8% Bottom 25% return: -2.7% In conclusion, when MSFT's CMO(14) entered a Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Above 50 state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to experience a neutral trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Donchian Channel Event (Close Price Crossed Above Donchian(20)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Donchian Channel Event (Close Price Crossed Above Donchian(20)) - MSFT

MSFT's Donchian(20) indicator entered a Close Price Crossed Above Donchian(20) state over the past 10 years. The Donchian Channel is a technical indicator that plots the highest high and the lowest low over the past N periods, typically used to identify breakout points or trend strength. A breakout above the upper band indicates a potential bullish momentum, while a breakdown below the lower band may signal bearish strength. The signal appeared 180 times in the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-232025-06-122025-06-05 Approximately 61.1% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after such events: Average return: 1.2% Top 25% return: 4.4% Bottom 25% return: -2.2% Historically, Donchian(20) Close Price Crossed Above Donchian(20) signals for MSFT were followed by an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the ATR(14) Breakout Above 1.5 event?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the ATR(14) Breakout Above 1.5 event?

MSFT's ATR(14) indicator has entered the ATR(14) Breakout Above 1.5 condition based on the last 10 years. The Average True Range (ATR) is a technical indicator that measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of an asset price for a given period. ATR is typically calculated using the last 14 days of price data. A high ATR indicates large price movements, while a low ATR indicates quiet or sideways markets. Therefore, a rising ATR may suggest strong market activity, while a declining ATR could imply reduced trading activity or stability. MSFT has experienced the ATR(14) Breakout Above 1.5 event 61 times over the past 10 years. The most recent occurrences are: 2025-06-232025-05-272025-05-01 Approximately 57.6% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. The average stock return 20 days after these ATR signals is as follows: Average return: 0.8% Top 25% return: 3.4% Bottom 25% return: -2.3% In conclusion, when MSFT's ATR(14) entered the ATR(14) Breakout Above 1.5 condition in the past 10 years, it often led to an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Loss(15%) in the past 2 years'?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Loss(15%) in the past 2 years'?

The 'Some investors saw Loss(15%) in the past 2 years' pattern has occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. This pattern indicates that among investors who bought and held MSFT over the past 2 years, there were investors whose cumulative loss exceeded 15%. This may indicate weakening sentiment or increasing downside risk. It occurred 168 times in this period. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-202025-06-132025-05-30 Approximately 64.8% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Performance 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.2% Top 25% return: 6.5% Bottom 25% return: -2.1% Historically, MSFT showed an upward trend over the 20-day period following this pattern. [Compliance Note] All posts by CORE16 are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. CORE16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Gain(18%) in the past 2 years'?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Gain(18%) in the past 2 years'?

The 'Some investors saw Gain(18%) in the past 2 years' pattern has occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. This pattern indicates that among investors who bought and held MSFT over the past 2 years, there were investors whose cumulative profit exceeded 18%. This may reflect growing investor confidence and upside potential. It occurred 493 times in this period. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-202025-06-132025-06-06 Approximately 67.8% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Performance 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.2% Top 25% return: 5.2% Bottom 25% return: -1.2% Historically, MSFT showed an upward trend over the 20-day period following this pattern. [Compliance Note] All posts by CORE16 are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. CORE16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1706 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-202025-06-182025-06-17 Approximately 65.2% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Chande Momentum Oscillator event (Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Below 50) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Chande Momentum Oscillator event (Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Below 50) - MSFT

MSFT's Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) has entered a Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Below 50 state over the past 10 years. The Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) measures momentum by comparing the strength of up days to down days over a certain period. Typically, values above 50 indicate overbought conditions, while values below -50 indicate oversold conditions. This event occurred 74 times in the last 10 years. The most recent dates were: 2025-06-202025-05-282025-05-23 Approximately 62.0% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such signals: Average return: 0.4% Top 25% return: 4.3% Bottom 25% return: -1.9% In conclusion, when MSFT's CMO(14) entered a Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Below 50 state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to experience an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Psychological Line event (Psychological Line(12) Crossed Below 75) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Psychological Line event (Psychological Line(12) Crossed Below 75) - MSFT

MSFT's Psychological Line(12) has entered a Psychological Line(12) Crossed Below 75 state over the past 10 years. The Psychological Line (Psy Line) is a technical indicator that measures the percentage of days the price increased during a set period, typically reflecting investor sentiment. If the indicator crosses above 75, it indicates an overheated buying sentiment; below 25 suggests an oversold condition and possible rebound. This event occurred 63 times over the past 10 years. The most recent dates: 2025-06-202025-05-232025-05-21 Approximately 55.7% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return after 20 days from this event: Mean return: 0.7% Top 25% return: 5.0% Bottom 25% return: -2.0% Historically, MSFT showed an upward trend after 20 days when this event occurred. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Williams Oscillator event (Williams(14) Crossed Below -20) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Williams Oscillator event (Williams(14) Crossed Below -20) - MSFT

MSFT's Williams %R(14) signal entered a Williams(14) Crossed Below -20 state in the past 10 years. The Williams %R oscillator is a momentum indicator showing the level of the closing price relative to the high-low range over a specified period, primarily used to detect overbought and oversold conditions. Values above -20 generally indicate an overbought condition, while values below -80 indicate an oversold condition. Crossing above -80 may signal a rebound from oversold levels, whereas crossing below -20 may suggest a shift from overbought territory toward a decline. This event has occurred 231 times in the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-202025-06-132025-05-23 Approximately 61.8% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after the event: Average return: 1.7% Top 25% return: 5.5% Bottom 25% return: -1.7% Historically, Williams %R(14) Williams(14) Crossed Below -20 events for MSFT have often been followed by an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

4 weeks ago

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

4 weeks ago

The Three White Soldiers pattern occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. The 'Three White Soldiers' is a bullish candlestick pattern consisting of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that open within the previous candle's real body and close higher. It signals strong buying momentum. This pattern suggests continued upward momentum and is considered a potential bullish reversal or continuation indicator. This pattern was identified 179 times in the past 10 years. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-182025-06-092025-06-03 Approximately 61.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Stock performance 20 days after the pattern: Average return: 1.4% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -3.1% Historically, when this pattern appeared for MSFT, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Williams Oscillator event (Williams(14) Crossed Below -20) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Williams Oscillator event (Williams(14) Crossed Below -20) - MSFT

MSFT's Williams %R(14) signal entered a Williams(14) Crossed Below -20 state in the past 10 years. The Williams %R oscillator is a momentum indicator showing the level of the closing price relative to the high-low range over a specified period, primarily used to detect overbought and oversold conditions. Values above -20 generally indicate an overbought condition, while values below -80 indicate an oversold condition. Crossing above -80 may signal a rebound from oversold levels, whereas crossing below -20 may suggest a shift from overbought territory toward a decline. This event has occurred 230 times in the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-132025-05-232025-05-21 Approximately 61.7% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after the event: Average return: 1.7% Top 25% return: 5.5% Bottom 25% return: -1.7% Historically, Williams %R(14) Williams(14) Crossed Below -20 events for MSFT have often been followed by an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Bollinger Band event (Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Bollinger Band event (Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band) - MSFT

MSFT's Bollinger Band(20,2) signal entered a Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band state over the past 10 years. Bollinger Bands are technical indicators that reflect price volatility by placing upper and lower bands around a moving average. Price touching or breaching the bands may indicate overbought or oversold conditions. Typically, an upper band breakout implies an overbought signal; a lower band breakout suggests an oversold condition, often followed by a reversal or consolidation. The event occurred 91 times in the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-132025-06-102025-05-06 Approximately 62.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such events: Average return: 1.2% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% Historically, Bollinger Band Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band events for MSFT have often been followed by an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1701 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-122025-06-112025-06-10 Approximately 65.1% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Donchian Channel Event (Close Price Crossed Above Donchian(20)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Donchian Channel Event (Close Price Crossed Above Donchian(20)) - MSFT

MSFT's Donchian(20) indicator entered a Close Price Crossed Above Donchian(20) state over the past 10 years. The Donchian Channel is a technical indicator that plots the highest high and the lowest low over the past N periods, typically used to identify breakout points or trend strength. A breakout above the upper band indicates a potential bullish momentum, while a breakdown below the lower band may signal bearish strength. The signal appeared 179 times in the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-122025-06-052025-06-03 Approximately 60.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after such events: Average return: 1.2% Top 25% return: 4.4% Bottom 25% return: -2.2% Historically, Donchian(20) Close Price Crossed Above Donchian(20) signals for MSFT were followed by an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after CPI YoY Fell Below Expectations?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after CPI YoY Fell Below Expectations?

Impact of CPI YoY Fell Below Expectations on MSFT's stock price Macroeconomic indicators play a vital role in determining the direction of financial markets and individual stocks. Events such as CPI YoY Fell Below Expectations can significantly influence market sentiment and price movements. Rate hikes, rising CPI, or weakening consumer sentiment → Potential for increased market volatility Rate cuts, easing CPI, or improving sentiment → Possible stabilization or stock market rally This analysis reviews MSFT's stock performance following the CPI YoY Fell Below Expectations event over the past 10 years. The event occurred 40 times. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-112025-05-132025-04-10 Approximately 74.4% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.3% Top 25% return: 5.3% Bottom 25% return: -0.0% Historically, after the CPI YoY Fell Below Expectations event, MSFT showed an upward trend over the next 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Chande Momentum Oscillator event (Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Above 50) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Chande Momentum Oscillator event (Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Above 50) - MSFT

MSFT's Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) has entered a Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Above 50 state over the past 10 years. The Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) measures momentum by comparing the strength of up days to down days over a certain period. Typically, values above 50 indicate overbought conditions, while values below -50 indicate oversold conditions. This event occurred 74 times in the last 10 years. The most recent dates were: 2025-06-112025-05-272025-05-07 Approximately 54.2% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such signals: Average return: -0.0% Top 25% return: 3.8% Bottom 25% return: -2.7% In conclusion, when MSFT's CMO(14) entered a Chande Momentum Oscillator(14) Crossed Above 50 state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to experience a neutral trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Bollinger Band event (Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Bollinger Band event (Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band) - MSFT

MSFT's Bollinger Band(20,2) signal entered a Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band state over the past 10 years. Bollinger Bands are technical indicators that reflect price volatility by placing upper and lower bands around a moving average. Price touching or breaching the bands may indicate overbought or oversold conditions. Typically, an upper band breakout implies an overbought signal; a lower band breakout suggests an oversold condition, often followed by a reversal or consolidation. The event occurred 90 times in the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-102025-05-062025-01-24 Approximately 62.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such events: Average return: 1.2% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% Historically, Bollinger Band Close Price Crossed Below Bollinger(20,2) Upper Band events for MSFT have often been followed by an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

The Three White Soldiers pattern occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. The 'Three White Soldiers' is a bullish candlestick pattern consisting of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that open within the previous candle's real body and close higher. It signals strong buying momentum. This pattern suggests continued upward momentum and is considered a potential bullish reversal or continuation indicator. This pattern was identified 179 times in the past 10 years. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-092025-06-032025-05-14 Approximately 61.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Stock performance 20 days after the pattern: Average return: 1.3% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -3.1% Historically, when this pattern appeared for MSFT, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Loss(12%) in the past 2 years'?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Loss(12%) in the past 2 years'?

The 'Some investors saw Loss(12%) in the past 2 years' pattern has occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. This pattern indicates that among investors who bought and held MSFT over the past 2 years, there were investors whose cumulative loss exceeded 12%. This may indicate weakening sentiment or increasing downside risk. It occurred 231 times in this period. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-062025-05-302025-05-23 Approximately 65.6% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Performance 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.5% Top 25% return: 6.4% Bottom 25% return: -1.8% Historically, MSFT showed an upward trend over the 20-day period following this pattern. [Compliance Note] All posts by CORE16 are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. CORE16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Gain(18%) in the past 2 years'?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

What happened to MSFT after the pattern 'Some investors saw Gain(18%) in the past 2 years'?

The 'Some investors saw Gain(18%) in the past 2 years' pattern has occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. This pattern indicates that among investors who bought and held MSFT over the past 2 years, there were investors whose cumulative profit exceeded 18%. This may reflect growing investor confidence and upside potential. It occurred 493 times in this period. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-062025-05-302025-05-23 Approximately 67.6% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Performance 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.1% Top 25% return: 5.2% Bottom 25% return: -1.2% Historically, MSFT showed an upward trend over the 20-day period following this pattern. [Compliance Note] All posts by CORE16 are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. CORE16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1698 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-062025-06-052025-06-04 Approximately 65.0% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1698 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-052025-06-042025-06-03 Approximately 64.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.1% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after ISM Services Index Fell Below Expectations?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How did MSFT perform after ISM Services Index Fell Below Expectations?

Impact of ISM Services Index Fell Below Expectations on MSFT's stock price Macroeconomic indicators play a vital role in determining the direction of financial markets and individual stocks. Events such as ISM Services Index Fell Below Expectations can significantly influence market sentiment and price movements. Rate hikes, rising CPI, or weakening consumer sentiment → Potential for increased market volatility Rate cuts, easing CPI, or improving sentiment → Possible stabilization or stock market rally This analysis reviews MSFT's stock performance following the ISM Services Index Fell Below Expectations event over the past 10 years. The event occurred 53 times. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-042025-04-032025-02-05 Approximately 67.3% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average return 20 days after the event: Average return: 2.1% Top 25% return: 5.0% Bottom 25% return: -1.0% Historically, after the ISM Services Index Fell Below Expectations event, MSFT showed an upward trend over the next 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1697 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-042025-06-032025-06-02 Approximately 64.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.0% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

The Three White Soldiers pattern occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. The 'Three White Soldiers' is a bullish candlestick pattern consisting of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that open within the previous candle's real body and close higher. It signals strong buying momentum. This pattern suggests continued upward momentum and is considered a potential bullish reversal or continuation indicator. This pattern was identified 178 times in the past 10 years. The most recent instances were: 2025-06-032025-05-142025-05-06 Approximately 61.7% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Stock performance 20 days after the pattern: Average return: 1.3% Top 25% return: 4.9% Bottom 25% return: -3.1% Historically, when this pattern appeared for MSFT, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Ichimoku indicator event (Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud)) - MSFT

The Ichimoku Indicator for MSFT has recently entered a Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state over the past 10 years. The Ichimoku Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to capture trend direction, momentum, and support/resistance levels at a glance. Specifically, the 'cloud' formed by Senkou Span A and B serves as a forward-looking support/resistance zone. Price above the cloud indicates an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend. When price breaks above the cloud, it may signal the beginning of an upward trend; a break below may indicate a bearish reversal. This event occurred 1696 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates include: 2025-06-032025-06-022025-05-30 Approximately 64.9% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average returns 20 days after these events: Average return: 1.6% Top 25% return: 5.0% Bottom 25% return: -1.5% In conclusion, when MSFT's Ichimoku Indicator entered the Ichimoku(9,26,52) Close > SenkouA & SenkouB (Above Cloud) state in the past 10 years, the stock tended to show an upward trend over the following 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How does Gold Hits All-Time High relate to MSFT's stock movement?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

How does Gold Hits All-Time High relate to MSFT's stock movement?

Gold Hits All-Time High observed in commodity prices - let's explore how MSFT's stock has reacted historically. Gold and other commodity prices are influenced by macroeconomic factors, central bank policies, and global risk sentiment. All-time highs in gold prices typically indicate rising demand for safe-haven assets. All-time lows suggest market optimism and increased preference for risk assets. We analyzed MSFT's stock performance after Gold Hits All-Time High events over the past 10 years. Total occurrences: 82. Most recent dates: 2025-06-022025-05-062025-04-21 Approximately 51.2% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Average stock returns 20 days after the events: Mean return: 1.3% Top 25% return: 4.4% Bottom 25% return: -3.4% Historically, MSFT tends to exhibit an upward trend after such events. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

The 3 Consecutive Up Days event occurred for MSFT over the past 10 years. 3 Consecutive Up Days refers to a consecutive series of days where the stock price moved in the same direction (either up or down). Such serial movements may reflect short-term trend continuation or potential exhaustion, followed by a price reversal. This pattern occurred 178 times in the past 10 years. The most recent events include: 2025-06-022025-05-162025-05-09 Approximately 61.7% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Performance 20 days after the event: Average return: 1.4% Top 25% return: 4.8% Bottom 25% return: -3.1% Overall, when the 3 Consecutive Up Days pattern occurred for MSFT, the stock tended to show an upward trend 20 days later. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Demarker event (Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7) - MSFT

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Demarker event (Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7) - MSFT

MSFT's Demarker(14) indicator entered a 'Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7' state over the past 10 years. The Demarker indicator evaluates buying and selling pressure by comparing the recent highs and lows over a given period. Typically, Demarker values above 0.7 indicate overbought conditions, while values below 0.3 indicate oversold territory. Crossing above 0.7 may imply overextension on the upside, while falling below 0.3 may indicate a reversal opportunity from excessive selling. The 'Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7' event has occurred 218 times over the past 10 years. Most recent dates: 2025-06-022025-04-252025-04-14 Approximately 65.4% of the events were followed by a price increase 20 days after the signal. Returns 20 days after such signals: Average return: 1.9% Top 25% return: 5.2% Bottom 25% return: -1.2% Historically, when Demarker(14) triggered the 'Demarker(14) Crossed Above 0.7' condition for MSFT, prices tended to show an upward trend after 20 days. [Compliance Note] All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk. The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor. Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Microsoft's Earnings Are Coming: Will the Stock Follow?

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Microsoft's Earnings Are Coming: Will the Stock Follow?

Microsoft’s Q1 Earnings Are Approaching — What’s at Stake?Microsoft (MSFT) is scheduled to report its first-quarter results on April 30, 2025.As earnings season approaches, investor attention naturally shifts toward the numbers — and for a market heavyweight like Microsoft, earnings results can have an outsized impact on short-term stock moves.This report analyzes how past earnings surprises — the degree to which actual results exceeded or missed Wall Street expectations — have influenced Microsoft’s stock returns, both immediately and over time.What Is the Earnings Surprise Ratio?The earnings surprise ratio measures the percentage difference between actual earnings and consensus estimates.The heatmap below visualizes how Microsoft's average returns have behaved after earnings, categorized by surprise size and holding period:Each group’s average returns were tracked over 5, 10, 20, and 60 trading days after earnings releases.The findings are clear:When Microsoft delivered an earnings surprise greater than 10% — particularly above 30% — the stock consistently generated positive returns over all periods.Notably, the average returns over 20 and 60 days hovered around 7–8%, demonstrating that a strong earnings beat can fuel not just short-term pops but also mid-term momentum.In contrast, smaller beats (0–10%) or slight misses (-10–0%) yielded flat or negative returns.A significant earnings miss (-10% or more) resulted in negative average returns across all holding periods, with notable drawdowns at the 20- and 60-day marks.Average Return by Surprise GroupThe bar chart below further breaks down the average returns across surprise categories and holding periods:Clearly, the bigger the earnings beat, the higher the average return over time.Conversely, earnings disappointments sharply dragged down performance.Probability of a Positive Return (Hit Ratio)How often does Microsoft's stock actually rise after an earnings report?The chart below displays the hit ratio — the percentage of times the stock posted positive returns — grouped by surprise magnitude:The results are striking:With >30% surprises, the 60-day holding period saw a 100% win rate.Even 10–30% surprises maintained a 70–80% positive return probability.Meanwhile, mild beats or misses hovered around a 20–50% win rate.A major earnings miss (<-10%) almost never resulted in positive returns.ConclusionThe phrase "earnings move markets" isn't just a saying — it’s backed by data.Tracking how far earnings deviate from expectations gives investors a crucial advantage.For Microsoft, the bigger the earnings surprise and the longer you hold the stock afterward, the better your chances — and the bigger your gains.Heading into Microsoft's April 30 earnings announcement, investors should focus less on the EPS number itself and more on how it stacks up against consensus estimates.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

MSFT

Microsoft

Economy & Strategy

The Survival Record of the S&P 500: Turning Crises into Opportunities

Neutral

SPX

S&P500

The Survival Record of the S&P 500: Turning Crises into Opportunities

Historically, the S&P 500 has endured numerous crises—yet time and again, it has demonstrated an ability to recover. At SellSmart, we analyzed major market crash episodes and their recovery paths to provide investors with key insights on how to navigate future downturns.<The 2002 Dot-Com Crash>From the peak in March 2000 to the bottom in October 2002, the S&P 500 fell approximately 49%. The collapse was driven by tech stock overvaluation, IPO mania, and accounting scandals involving Enron and WorldCom.In response, the Federal Reserve aggressively cut interest rates from 6.5% to 1.0% and introduced the Sarbanes-Oxley Act to improve corporate accountability. However, structural issues and a prolonged tech slump delayed recovery—it took about 7 years for the index to return to previous highs. During this time, value stocks led a slow but steady market upturn.<The 2008 Global Financial Crisis>From its peak in October 2007 to the trough in March 2009, the S&P 500 plummeted roughly 57%. The subprime mortgage meltdown, Lehman Brothers’ collapse, and a global credit freeze were at the heart of the crisis.The Federal Reserve and the U.S. government launched unprecedented stimulus efforts, including quantitative easing, TARP, and the Dodd-Frank Act. The market took approximately 5.5 years to recover its pre-crisis levels. A new bull run was led by tech giants like Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, and Microsoft (GAFAM), while ETFs saw a massive surge in popularity under a low-interest-rate environment.<The 2020 COVID Shock>From its peak in February 2020 to the bottom in March, the S&P 500 sank by about 34%. The global pandemic, economic lockdowns, and supply chain collapses triggered the selloff.The Federal Reserve launched unlimited QE and slashed interest rates to zero, while the government passed the CARES Act, providing direct fiscal support. Astonishingly, the market rebounded to pre-crisis levels in just five months, driven by tech platform companies and a surge in retail investor participation. The “stay-at-home” trade led the rapid recovery.<The 2025 Tariff Shock>The most recent crisis, the April 2025 “Tariff Shock,” began with the Trump administration’s announcement of tariffs up to 49% on select imports. The S&P 500 has since declined 17.41% from its February 19 peak. In retaliation, China plans to implement 34% tariffs on U.S. goods starting April 10, further intensifying global trade tensions.This tariff shock poses near-term risks to global economic growth and investor sentiment. As tariffs take effect, markets may fall further amid supply chain disruptions and corporate earnings pressures.However, history shows that markets eventually find a new equilibrium and recover.Conclusion:1. The Importance of Policy ResponseAs seen in past episodes (dot-com crash, financial crisis, COVID shock), swift and powerful actions from central banks and governments play a pivotal role in market recoveries. The same will likely apply in the current tariff-driven environment—rate cuts and fiscal stimulus will be critical.2. Long-Term Investment StrategyHistorically, market crashes have offered compelling buying opportunities for long-term investors. Legendary investors like Warren Buffett have generated exceptional returns by buying undervalued assets when fear peaks.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

SPX

S&P500

Should We Sell Tech Stocks Exposed to Tariffs? (Apr 4, 2025)

Sell

AAPL

Apple

Should We Sell Tech Stocks Exposed to Tariffs? (Apr 4, 2025)

Since President Trump's tariff announcement on April 2, tech stocks have struggled to find their footing. But some companies are clearly in deeper trouble than others.In particular, hardware-focused tech firms with globally distributed supply chains are scrambling to assess the impact. While some tariffs may eventually be reduced through negotiation, the worst-case scenario would see elevated import duties remain in place — potentially triggering retaliatory tariffs from other countries.Current tariff rates include:China: 54% (including pre-existing 20%)Vietnam: 46%India: 26%Taiwan: 32%Malaysia: 24%These countries are key manufacturing hubs for smartphone components, according to Morningstar equity analyst Phelix Lee.Gil Luria, Head of Tech Research at D.A. Davidson, said:“This is the most significant shift in economic outlook since the onset of COVID-19.”As investors assess how tariffs could impact valuations, risk tolerance is becoming a decisive factor. Those unable to stomach volatility or navigate prolonged uncertainty may shy away from hardware-heavy tech names.For those choosing to stay in the game, it’s worth closely watching companies exposed to imported hardware.According to J.P. Morgan's April 3 report, PCs are expected to face the largest price hikes, followed by servers and networking equipment.While the administration says chips will be excluded from the latest tariffs, many semiconductors are embedded in finished goods like PCs and servers — meaning indirect exposure is still significant.J.P. Morgan analysts noted that many tech companies had already begun adjusting supply chains and fine-tuning pricing models in anticipation of tariffs. However, the unexpectedly steep increases may force firms to accelerate reshoring efforts, which come at a high cost. Executives must now weigh whether these tariffs are a negotiation tactic or a long-term policy.Luria observed:“There was a lot of knee-jerk selling — you could see that in real time. But there’s also paralysis. If I like a company like Apple for the long term — if I believe people will continue buying iPhones and using more services — then I still want to own it. I don’t believe this is permanent.”Pinpointing the exact impact is difficult, as it depends on a company’s sourcing geography — and that information isn’t always disclosed to the market.J.P. Morgan estimates that, for hardware-centric firms, the blended effective tariff rate is around 30%, which could cut gross margins by 10% unless prices are raised.Company-Specific Estimates:Apple Inc.~80% of revenue from hardwareWould need to raise prices 6% globally to offset the impactDell Technologies Inc.75% hardware revenueWould require a 11% global price hike to maintain marginsCisco Systems Inc.34% hardware exposureEstimated 6% price increase neededSuper Micro Computer Inc.100% hardware revenueNeeds just 4% global price hike due to supply chain structureHewlett Packard Enterprise Co.62% hardware revenueEstimated 6% price increaseQualcomm Inc.Only 3% of hardware revenue affectedNo price increase requiredBig tech firms building out massive data centers — like Microsoft, Meta, Google, and Amazon — may also scale back capex as hardware costs surge.Luria noted:“These companies were building AI infrastructure far ahead of demand, made possible by strong core businesses and healthy cash flow. In a weaker economy, with declining demand for goods and services, they’ll likely pull back on those investments.”[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Sell

AAPL

Apple

셀스마트 대니

S&P 493: A More Stable Investment Than the Magnificent 7 Amid Trade Risks? (Mar 24, 2025)

Neutral

AAPL

Apple

셀스마트 대니

S&P 493: A More Stable Investment Than the Magnificent 7 Amid Trade Risks? (Mar 24, 2025)

Trade Policy Uncertainty and Its Impact on U.S. EquitiesAs trade policy risks continue to escalate, concerns are rising that the Magnificent 7 (Mag. 7) tech giants could be more vulnerable to global economic slowdown and trade barriers. Meanwhile, the remaining S&P 493 stocks—those outside the Mag. 7—may offer relative stability, given their lower dependence on foreign revenue.Lower Foreign Revenue Exposure in S&P 493According to Goldman Sachs, Mag. 7 companies generate 49% of their revenue from international markets, while Nasdaq 100 (NDX) firms have a similarly high exposure of 46%.In contrast,S&P 493 derives only 26% of its revenue from foreign markets, whileS&P 500 (SPX) overall sits at 28%.Russell 2000 (RUT) and S&P MidCap 400 (MID) have even lower foreign revenue exposure at 21% and 25%, respectively—highlighting their more domestic-focused nature.Mag. 7’s Exposure to Global Trade RisksTech giants such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Tesla, and NVIDIA have significant exposure to international markets, particularly in Asia and Europe. This makes them highly susceptible to any U.S. trade protectionism or geopolitical tensions.On the other hand, S&P 493 companies are more insulated from trade volatility, as they derive a larger share of their revenue from the domestic U.S. economy.Investment ImplicationsWith trade policy shifts potentially driving short-term market volatility, investors should carefully assess the risks associated with high foreign revenue dependence and consider strategic portfolio adjustments toward domestic-focused companies.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

AAPL

Apple

Nasdaq 100 Index Overview (Feb 18, 2025)

Neutral

NONE

No Relevant Stock

Nasdaq 100 Index Overview (Feb 18, 2025)

History & EvolutionThe Nasdaq 100 Index, introduced in 1985, tracks the performance of the top 100 non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. As the first electronic stock market in 1971, Nasdaq became a hub for technological innovation, and the Nasdaq 100 has since served as a benchmark for large-cap growth companies.Technology Sector DominanceAs of 2025, the technology sector makes up 62.25% of the Nasdaq 100, led by Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA. Companies like Amazon and Tesla, though categorized in different sectors, operate technology-driven businesses, further solidifying Nasdaq’s tech-heavy nature. The ongoing AI and digital transformation boom continues to drive the index, making sector concentration risk and rebalancing impact key factors for investors.Nasdaq’s Competitive Edge in IPOsNasdaq has outperformed NYSE in IPO listings for six consecutive years through 2024. Over 160 companies raised $22 billion on Nasdaq in 11 months of 2024, reflecting growing preference among tech-driven firms. AI-related firms' rapid expansion has further fueled Nasdaq’s dominance in public listings.Inclusion & Exclusion CriteriaCompanies must be exclusively listed on the Nasdaq Global Select Market, maintain high liquidity, and have a minimum 3-month trading history.Financial firms & REITs are excluded.Annual index rebalancing adjusts the composition, removing underperforming stocks.In 2024, Super Micro Computer, Illumina, and Moderna were removed from the index.Nasdaq 100 vs. S&P 500QQQ ETF tracks Nasdaq 100, with a 62.25% tech weighting, making it more volatile.S&P 500 covers 500 companies, offering a more diversified portfolio with lower volatility.Market Performance & Growth TrendsNasdaq 100 experienced major events such as the dot-com bubble (2000), the financial crisis (2008), and AI-driven expansion (2024).After an 800% rise from 1995-2000, the dot-com crash led to a 76.81% decline.The index only recovered its 2000 peak in 2015, but today’s AI-driven rally differs due to companies' strong profitability & financial stability.Innovation & Economic ImpactNasdaq defines innovation as a driver of economic value, knowledge integration, and real-world impact. R&D spending and patent filings serve as key indicators, expanding beyond technology to include healthcare, consumer goods, and other industries.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

Neutral

NONE

No Relevant Stock

Nasdaq plummets. Index posts 7th largest point loss; strong retail sales data fuels rate hike fears(Dec 14, 1997)

Strong Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Nasdaq plummets. Index posts 7th largest point loss; strong retail sales data fuels rate hike fears(Dec 14, 1997)

U.S. stocks ended lower Tuesday, with the Nasdaq composite plunging late in the session. The index, along with the broader market, languished in negative territory throughout the day after a stronger-than-expected retail sales report ignited interest rate fears. In addition, sharp losses in the bond market weighed on stocks. "When the bond market sold off, it caused a drastic reaction in the tech sector and the Nasdaq. There is no company news to account for the big drop,� said Alan Skrainka, chief market strategist at Edward Jones. The Nasdaq composite index tumbled 86.51 points, or 2.36 percent, to 3,571.66. The drop was the seventh largest point loss in the history of the index. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 32.42 to 11,160.17, and the S&P 500 index retreated 12.05 to 1,403.17. Breadth was negative on the New York Stock Exchange with losers widely beating gainers 2,024 to 1,069. Trading volume reached a heavy 1 billion shares. Treasury prices plunged following the retail sales report, with the benchmark 30-year bond losing more than a point, raising its yield to 6.29 percent from 6.19 percent late Monday. In currency markets, the dollar rose against both the yen and the euro. Investors digest key economic news Market participants digested conflicting data on the U.S. economy. The strong retail sales report sparked some interest-rate worries despite a separate report pointing to tame inflation. Analysts said inflation was holding steady following the Consumer Price Index release. The CPI, a measure of inflation at the retail level, rose 0.1 percent in November, the Labor Department said. The number was less than analysts� expectations of a 0.2 percent gain. The core rate, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2 percent, in line with expectations. But retail sales data were more troublesome. Retail sales advanced at a 0.9 percent pace in November, well above economists� expectations of a 0.5 percent increase, fueling some concerns about rate hikes. Gary Schlossberg, senior economist at Wells Capital Management, said retail sales were the real surprise. "The retail sales number implies consumer spending is running well above its long-term average,� he said. The two reports are significant, analysts noted, since they are the last key economic releases that Federal Reserve policy makers will have to consider in determining interest rates at their Dec. 21 meeting. The economic news particularly weighed on financial stocks. The sector is highly sensitive to interest rates due to the stronger probability of borrowers defaulting on their loans when interest rates rise, therefore hurting corporate earnings. Among the Dow components, American Express (AXP) fell 5-13/16 to 160-1/2, Citigroup (C) retreated 1-13/16 to 53-1/2 and J.P. Morgan (JPM) declined 3-5/16 to 131-1/4. Nasdaq tumbles In a late selloff, the Nasdaq plunged after languishing in negative territory throughout the session. Analysts noted a lack of leadership weighed on the market, particularly in the usually strong technology sector. "All the sizzling hot stocks are taking a breather. Investors are reluctant to look elsewhere when the hot stocks are down,� said Charles Payne, head analyst at Wall Street Strategies. The weakness in technology followed the Nasdaq�s 52nd record close of the year Monday. Analysts said many participants were willing to stay on the sidelines. However, many strategists were unconcerned by Tuesday�s market performance. Michael Carty, stock market strategist at New Millennium Advisors, a New York investment firm, said the losses would not be long lasting. "The economy is very strong and interest rates are likely to remain stable. There are many stocks out there with strong potential earnings,� he said. Among the top Nasdaq gainers, 3Com Corp. (COMS), the world's second-largest maker of computer networking products, surged 5-13/16, or nearly 13 percent, to 50-5/8 after the company filed an initial public offering for its Palm Computing unit. Palm makes the No. 1 electronic organizer. But 3Com rivals suffered. Cisco Systems (CSCO) retreated 3-1/4 to 97-15/16, and Lucent Technologies (LU) dipped 2-1/2 to 77-1/4. Internet issues were in the red despite reports of some potential partnerships with major retailers. Yahoo! (YHOO) and the nation�s No. 3 retailer Kmart (KM) are expected to unveil an alliance to offer co-branded Internet access, according to the Wall Street Journal. Yahoo! fell 17-15/16 to 333-1/8, while Kmart rose 9/16 to 12-1/16. The report follows speculation of a potential marketing alliance between America Online (AOL) and Wal-Mart Stores (WMT), the world's No. 1 retailer. AOL slumped 5-3/4 to 88-1/4 and Wal-Mart, a component of the Dow industrials, inched down 15/16 to 67-1/16. The blue chips benefited from gains to Dow component Microsoft (MSFT). Its stock advanced 2-1/16 to 98-11/16 amid rumors that the world's No. 1 software company may be near a settlement of the U.S. government�s landmark antitrust case. However, a Justice Department spokeswoman told CNNfn the rumors were unfounded.��

Strong Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF

Dollar Bill On Floor Sends Wall Street Into Frenzy(October 22, 2008)

Strong Sell

133690

Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF