Nvidia Flashes Three Simultaneous Bullish Signals
A $4T milestone backed by a rare technical convergence
On July 9, 2025, Nvidia (NVDA) sent a clear message to markets: not only did it become the most valuable public company in the world—it also triggered three major technical signals on the same day:
• Demarker(14) broke above 0.7
• Donchian(20) closed above the 20-day high
• CMO (Chande Momentum Oscillator) crossed above 50
Each of these indicators alone suggests upside potential. But when they fire together, the story shifts: we’re not just seeing a short-term rally—we may be watching a new trend take hold.
From Deepseek Fears to Global No.1
Just months ago, Nvidia’s stock was under pressure. Fears of reduced AI capex (sparked by Deepseek) and renewed U.S.-China trade tensions weighed heavily. Now, Nvidia has touched an unprecedented $4 trillion in market cap—becoming the first to do so in history.
While headlines focused on Nvidia overtaking Apple and Microsoft, what’s equally notable is the technical picture forming beneath that surge.
Demarker(14) > 0.7
Entering the overbought zone
This indicator measures buying pressure by comparing recent highs and lows. While a reading above 0.7 is traditionally seen as “overbought,” Nvidia’s recent price behavior suggests strength, not fragility.
Recent triggers: July 9, June 24, June 17
Avg. return 1 month after trigger: +6.3%
Top 25% outcomes: +13.5%
Bottom 25%: -2.9%
Win rate: 69.9%
Donchian(20) Breakout
Breaking the one-month high
This trend-following indicator signals when price closes above the highest point of the past 20 days. It often marks the point where even conservative, late-entry traders begin participating.
• Recent triggers: July 9, July 3, June 24
• Avg. return 1 month after trigger: +5.3%
• Top 25%: +11.9%
• Bottom 25%: -1.7%
• Win rate: 68.1%
CMO > 50
Momentum turning bullish
CMO compares the strength of up days versus down days. A break above 50 typically suggests a shift toward upward momentum.
• Recent triggers: July 9, July 7, June 26
• Avg. return 1 month after trigger: +4.0%
• Top 25%: +10.7%
• Bottom 25%: -4.0%
• Win rate: 61.4%
A Triple Convergence That Matters
Each signal comes from a different angle:
• Demarker = market sentiment
• Donchian = price trend
• CMO = momentum strength
When all three align on the same day, it’s not random—it’s a signal that the underlying market dynamics are synchronizing.
Over the past decade, Demarker(14) > 0.7 has occurred 212 times. Its track record holds. Combine that with Donchian breakouts and momentum confirmation from CMO, and this isn’t just noise—it’s structure.
Bottom Line: A Setup, Not a Spike
This isn’t necessarily a “buy now or miss out” moment. But it may be the beginning of a new mid-term bullish cycle for Nvidia.
Three signals. Three mechanisms. One direction.
Technical analysis doesn’t predict the future. But when signals align, it gives you better odds—and better timing—for when to pay attention.
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