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Company NameCORE16 Inc.
CEODavid Cho
Business Registration Number762-81-03235
Address83, Uisadang-daero, Yeongdeungpo-gu, Seoul, 07325, Republic of KOREA
CJ
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user
SellSmartR
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18 hours ago
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When Nvidia Rises 4%, This AI Big Tech Gains 8%?
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Neutral
Neutral
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding ADR Representing 8
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SellSmartR
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18 hours ago
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When Nvidia Rises 4%, This AI Big Tech Gains 8%?
Yesterday (15th), the S&P 500 and Dow Jones declined, but the Nasdaq reached a record high. The gain was largely driven by Nvidia, which rose 4% after the U.S. government approved resumed chip sales to China, boosting the broader tech sector. Interestingly, as Nvidia gained 4%, one Big Tech company jumped even higher—8%.One-Week Snapshot: China's AI GiantsAlibaba ADR (BABA) rose approximately 8.1% yesterday (15th). It wasn't alone—other U.S.-listed Chinese tech giants, including Tencent (TCEHY) and Baidu (BIDU), joined the surge. The common denominator? AI. At SellSmart, we're focused specifically on Alibaba. Why Alibaba? Globally recognized for e-commerce platforms like Taobao and AliExpress, Alibaba’s primary growth drivers—often overlooked by investors—are AI and cloud computing. Alibaba recently announced plans to invest approximately 380 billion yuan (around $53 billion) into cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years, strategically expanding beyond e-commerce into logistics and fintech. In March, Alibaba released its open-source chatbot "QwQ-32B," followed in June by "Qwen VLo," a multimodal AI model enabling image generation—clear signals of aggressive moves into AI innovation.Year-to-Date Returns for China’s Big Tech AI TrioThe standout from Alibaba's Q1 2025 earnings was its rapidly growing Cloud Intelligence segment. Revenue jumped 18% year-over-year to 30.13 billion yuan, surpassing market expectations (29.9 billion yuan). Most notably, AI-driven revenue maintained triple-digit growth for the seventh consecutive quarter, underscoring Alibaba’s accelerating competitiveness in AI infrastructure and solutions. While overall revenue slightly missed forecasts—totaling 236.45 billion yuan versus 239.7 billion expected—adjusted EBITA came in strong at 32.62 billion yuan, exceeding market consensus (31.85 billion yuan). Momentum: Expanding AI ecosystem through collaboration with AppleApple needs AI capabilities to remain competitive in China but can only integrate AI approved by Chinese regulators into its "Apple Intelligence" ecosystem. On June 16, just four months after announcing their partnership, Alibaba released its Qwen-3 model optimized for Apple’s MLX machine learning framework. This positions Alibaba’s Qwen-3 to expand its AI footprint across China’s entire Apple ecosystem—including iPhones, iPads, and MacBooks. What is Qwen-3?Qwen-3, announced on April 29 this year, is Alibaba’s latest large language model (LLM).Its largest variant, Qwen-3-235B, outperformed models such as OpenAI’s o1, o3-mini-medium, DeepSeek R1, and Grok 3-Thinking in benchmark tests.The smaller Qwen-3 30B-A3B model demonstrated benchmark performance surpassing Gemma3, Deepseek-v3, and GPT-4o.Trained on roughly 36 trillion tokens and supporting 119 languages, Qwen-3 leverages a hybrid thinking mode—carefully processing complex tasks for greater accuracy, and rapidly responding to simpler queries, significantly boosting efficiency. Expanding Cloud InfrastructureChina's cloud infrastructure services are dominated by Alibaba, Huawei, and Tencent, holding market shares of 33%, 18%, and 10%, respectively. Alibaba’s cloud-related revenues grew by 15% year-over-year, while Tencent faced stagnation due to GPU supply constraints and internal prioritization of AI chips. Alibaba is expanding its regional infrastructure, opening its third data center in Malaysia in early July, with plans to launch a second data center in the Philippines by October—addressing growing AI demand across Southeast Asia. Wrapping UpThe resumed exports of Nvidia’s H20 chips to China present a pivotal momentum boost for Alibaba, which is strategically centering its growth around AI and cloud infrastructure. With Qwen-3 now integrated into Apple's ecosystem, Alibaba is positioned to gain significant ground in China's AI leadership race. In an environment marked by technological regulation and geopolitical tension, Alibaba’s dual focus on strong financial results and global partnerships makes it a company to watch closely.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Neutral
Neutral
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding ADR Representing 8
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셀스마트 판다
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4 days ago
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K-Demon Hunters Goes Global — The Surprise Beneficiary? Nongshim
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Neutral
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072710
Nongshim Holdings
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셀스마트 판다
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4 days ago
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K-Demon Hunters Goes Global — The Surprise Beneficiary? Nongshim
There is a song trending on Spotify right nowThe OST tracks “Your Idol” and “Golden” from K-pop Demon Hunters are gaining serious attention.These songs ranked number 1 and 2 on Spotify’s US Daily Top Songs chartGolden entered the Billboard Hot 100 at number 23and the soundtrack album reached number 3 on the Billboard 200With this much buzz around the OST, it is natural for attention to turn to entertainment stocksBut the stock we are highlighting today is not HYBE or YGIt is the unexpected beneficiary—Nongshim HoldingsA global sensation that started with zero expectationsK-pop Demon Hunters, or KDHH, is an original animation produced by Sony Pictures. It follows the story of Huntress, a K-pop girl group trio—Lumi, Mira, and Joy—who moonlight as demon hunters behind the stage.Expectations were low before its release. In fact, close to zero.The premise—a Korean idol group created by a Japanese studio under American financing—reminded many of past Western attempts to mash up East Asian culture, often ending in failure.But once the film was released, the response was overwhelming.·        Charming character designs inspired by jakhodo art·        Detailed depictions of Korean food culture like ramen, gimbap, and hotteok·        An OST that captured the full spirit of K-pop·        Small cultural touches, like using tissue paper as a chopstick rest at restaurantsEven the subtlest details, instantly recognizable to Korean viewers, were faithfully portrayed.The result? Global fans praised it as “authentically Korean.”And the numbers followed:·        Ranked No. 1 globally in Netflix’s film category during its first week·        Hit No. 1 in 41 countries, including the US, Germany, and Thailand·        Dance moves from the film’s fictional idol group became real K-pop dance challengesThis led to a second wave of content spreading across platforms.Netflix and Sony were caught off guard by the success and scrambled to produce official merchandiseMeanwhile, a jakhodo-inspired badge from the National Museum of Korea sold out as an unofficial “fan good.”Nongshim Keeps Popping Up in K-Demon HuntersAs you watch the film, certain elements start to stand out.The spicy chips that lead character Joy eats look strikingly similar to Shrimp Crackers.The cup ramen eaten by Huntress members is branded “Dongshim” and features a large red character “Shin,” clearly reminiscent of Shin Ramyun. Even the instructions—“pour hot water and wait three minutes”—match the real product.Ahead of the film’s release, Netflix held a promotional event in New York City, handing out instant ramen to passersby.What makes this even more interesting is that Nongshim had no official PPL or sponsorship deal with K-pop Demon Hunters.The film’s global success has unintentionally delivered Nongshim a wave of free international exposure.K-Content? The Formula That Drives Real-World SalesThere have been past cases where K-content led directly to consumer spending.The 2020 Oscar-winning film Parasite is a prime example of K-content driving global consumption.The appearance of “Chapaguri” in the film caught international audiences by surprise. In the month following the film’s release, Nongshim’s overseas sales of Chapagetti more than doubled year over year, reaching approximately 1.5 million dollars.In March, BLACKPINK’s Jennie mentioned Banana Kick and Shrimp Crackers as her favorite snacks on The Jennifer Hudson Show. Just four days later, Nongshim’s market cap jumped by 260 billion KRW—an example of the “five-second magic” effect in action.This isn’t new. K-content has repeatedly influenced real consumer behavior abroad, translating into tangible gains in both revenue and stock price.K-pop Demon Hunters also features recurring elements that closely resemble Nongshim products, suggesting a similar ripple effect in global consumer markets may follow.Nongshim vs. Nongshim Holdings — Why the Real Play Is the Holding Company(This is Nongshim’s Instagram post from today, the 11th. Could it be hinting at a K-Demon Hunters collaboration?)Then why not just buy Nongshim directly? Why bother with Nongshim Holdings?Here’s why it matters.Recent momentum in the Korean stock market, fueled by this year’s amendment to the Commercial Act and the upcoming expansion of separate dividend taxation, has sparked a revaluation of low-PBR stocks. Holding companies have been leading that move.As the holding company of Nongshim, Nongshim Holdings reflects:·        The earnings and brand exposure benefits of Nongshim·        A currently low PBR·        A relatively high dividend yield·        And direct upside from policies aimed at improving holding company structuresThis is not just a case of “moving with the group.”Nongshim Holdings is a rare combination of undervaluation, dividend strength, and structure that aligns perfectly with what today’s market is rewarding most.In ClosingNetflix’s K-pop Demon Hunters delivered an unexpected global hit.Korean food products—especially Nongshim’s ramen and Shrimp Crackers—were naturally embedded in the content, building emotional familiarity and triggering consumer interest among international viewers.From Parasite in 2020, to Squid Game in 2021, and now K-pop Demon Hunters in 2025,K-content driving real-world consumption and stock price momentum is no longer a coincidence—it is a repeatable pattern.If you can’t invest in the content itself, why not ride the consumption trend it creates?Now is the time to take a closer look at Nongshim Holdings, the unexpected beneficiary.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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072710
Nongshim Holdings
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셀스마트 앤지
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1 week ago
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The Luxury Brand Gen Z Actually Buys—And It’s Not European
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TPR
Tapestry
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1 week ago
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The Luxury Brand Gen Z Actually Buys—And It’s Not European
Tapestry’s Rebrand Is Outperforming the Luxury GiantsTapestry (ticker: TPR), best known for its Coach brand, is rewriting the rules of luxury—quietly outpacing legacy European players like LVMH and Kering.Coach’s transformation from “mom’s bag” to “my first luxury” is paying off. The company’s stock has climbed 32% in 2025 so far, while LVMH has dropped 23%—a divergence fueled by Coach’s standout Q3 results. Revenues grew 6.9% YoY; EPS surged 58%. Coach led the way with $1.3B in sales (+15% YoY), offsetting declines in Kate Spade and Stuart Weitzman.Europe saw breakout growth at +35%, driven by viral hits like the Tabby and Brooklyn lines. These products—priced between €300–600—blend trendiness with practicality, helping Coach land in the Lyst Top 5 (ahead of Prada in brand preference among Gen Z).A Luxury Brand That Gets the InternetWhile traditional luxury brands remain cautious about digital exposure, Coach leans in. On TikTok and Instagram, its “It Bags” power user-generated short-form content that drives organic buzz. Behind the scenes, Coach runs an advanced CRM engine—tracking clicks, searches, and purchases across online/offline platforms to deliver personalized deals, rewards, and product recommendations in real time.The results? Online revenue has jumped from 12% to over 20% in three years, and digital repurchase rates now exceed 50%.Value Over VanityUnlike rivals banking on price and scarcity, Coach is expanding its appeal by offering attainable luxury with functional appeal. Its lower reliance on China (15–20% of sales) compared to LVMH (30–40%) also provides strategic diversification.And despite strong performance, Tapestry remains attractively priced. Its current P/E ratio of 22.8x trails competitors like LVMH (19.45x) and Kering (21.93x)—even after their stocks fell in 2025.The TakeawayTapestry is not chasing prestige. It’s building brand love—through access, data, and consistency. In a crowded luxury space, that may be the most modern strategy of all. [Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Tapestry
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2 weeks ago
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What Happened After Constellation Brands Missed Earnings?
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Buy
Buy
STZ
Constellation Brands Class A
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셀스마트 판다
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2 weeks ago
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What Happened After Constellation Brands Missed Earnings?
Constellation Brands reported weaker-than-expected earnings, fueling concerns over softening alcohol demand. For the quarter ending in May, the company posted $2.52 billion in organic net sales and $3.22 in earnings per share, both slightly below analyst expectations.The beer segment, which includes six of the top 15 beer brands by dollar share in the U.S., saw sales dip 2% due to a 3.3% decline in shipment volume. Still, the company expects beer revenue to grow by up to 3% this year.Its wine and spirits division suffered more, with revenue plunging 28% year-over-year due to both restructuring and weaker consumer demand. The company has cut guidance for the segment, citing sluggish sales and the divestiture of lower-end brands.Despite the downbeat numbers, STZ stock fell just 0.7% in after-hours trading. It’s already down over 26% this year, and nearly 40% from its March peak. But some institutional investors are seeing value. Berkshire Hathaway, for instance, more than doubled its holdings in Q1 2025, now owning 6.7% of the company.Historical trends show that even when Constellation misses estimates by up to 10%, the stock has tended to bounce back modestly. On average, it returned 1.3% over the next 20 days and 0.13% over 10 days—suggesting that while the short-term reaction can be negative, it often recovers relatively quickly.Mean: +0.13%25th percentile: -2.68%75th percentile: +2.82%Mean: +1.30%25th percentile: -4.15%75th percentile: +9.09%[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Buy
Buy
STZ
Constellation Brands Class A
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박재훈투영인
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4 months ago
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How to Play the Tesla Stock Price Today Following Earnings(Aug 5, 2015)
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TSLA
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4 months ago
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How to Play the Tesla Stock Price Today Following Earnings(Aug 5, 2015)
The Tesla stock price today is down 9% in after-hours trading even after the company reported a Q3 earnings beat.Tesla Motors Inc. (Nasdaq: TSLA) reported a Q3 earnings per share (EPS) loss of $0.48, which comfortably beat the consensus projection of a $0.60 loss. Despite the beat, investors were spooked by the quarterly loss.Revenue for the quarter was $1.2 billion. That beat estimates of $1.17 billion and was a 40% increase from last year.Tesla also reported its highest production and delivery totals in the company's history. In Q2, 11,532 vehicles were delivered while 12,807 were produced. Looking ahead, the company expects to produce and deliver over 12,000 vehicles in Q3 despite the fact that its main facility will be closed for one week.How to collect up to $5,000 per month tax-free [Sponsored by Retirement Watch]The company also said that deliveries for the Model X SUV will begin in September. This is a huge step for the company, which is solely producing Model S sedans right now. Company officials have already said the vehicle will have a 90-kilowatt-hour battery and falcon-wing door.CEO Elon Musk expects production and demand between 1,600 and 1,800 vehicles per week for both the Model S and Model X in 2016.Despite many of these optimistic earnings numbers and sales figures, the Tesla stock price today is falling.Here's how we recommend playing TSLA stock now after earnings...How to Play the Tesla Stock Price TodayRetirement in a box: From zero to $2,500 a month [Sponsored by Retirement Watch]We routinely tell Money Morning readers that TSLA stock is not a perfect fit for every investor. It is not a buy for risk-averse investors.The Tesla stock price is volatile and frequently sees wide price swings. Today's 9% drop after hours is the perfect example. The company beat on both earnings and revenue, yet the stock is still down dramatically.But for investors who can buy and hold the stock for several years, the long-term potential is undeniable."I believe Tesla is one of the best long-term investments an investor can make at the moment," Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald said. "If there is ever a case to buy a few shares and tuck them away, this is it."One reason we're bullish is Tesla's home battery system.Earlier this year, Tesla announced a new line of home units built using the same lithium-ion batteries used in Tesla cars. Different models store either 7 kWh or 10 kWh of solar power. It's a major shift for Tesla, making it more than just a car company."I think Musk is the most innovative CEO on the planet and that he sees value others don't yet recognize," Fitz-Gerald said. "Cars, batteries, innovative business models - nobody knows where it will go but ultimately if you're along for the ride, I think it'd be very hard to go wrong over time."Money Morning Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors has spoken of the home battery's importance since early 2015.This new currency is making some Texans rich [Sponsored by Stansberry Research]"In everyday use, the unit is expected to allow homeowners to store solar-generated power for use during high-cost periods, giving them the flexibility to use the conventional grid for cheaper, off-peak electricity," Moors said in February.Another reason to be bullish is Tesla's new Gigafactory.Currently under construction in Nevada, the Gigafactory will be the world's largest lithium-ion battery plant upon completion.The factory is expected to take a total of $5 billion to complete. By the time it reaches full production in 2020, it should produce enough batteries to power 500,000 vehicles annually."The Gigafactory is expected to have a dramatic effect on the energy storage market, helping to bring battery costs down by as much as half by 2020," Moors said.The Bottom Line: Tesla beat on earnings and revenue in Q2, but the Tesla stock price today is still down 9% in after-hours trading. Tesla stock is always volatile when news is released, and today is the perfect example. For long-term investors, today's dip is an excellent buying opportunity. This stock has plenty of long-term potential and is great for investors who can take on some short-term risk.
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TSLA
Tesla
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박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
0
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Is Apple Stock (Nasdaq: AAPL) the Short of a Lifetime or the New Widow Maker?(March 27, 2012)
article
Sell
Sell
226490
Samsung KODEX KOSPI ETF
+2
user
박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
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Is Apple Stock (Nasdaq: AAPL) the Short of a Lifetime or the New Widow Maker?(March 27, 2012)
I have a confession to make.I believe Apple stock (Nasdaq: AAPL) is going to be world's first trillion-dollar company yet I want to short the snot out of it.Am I being compulsive?...impulsive?....or foolish?Perhaps it is all three considering that Apple has risen more than 3,000% in the last ten years, turning almost any attempt to go against the grain into a "widow maker" trade.Trump boom awakens “silent” $2 stock [Sponsored by Timothy Sykes]I say almost because I am one of the lucky ones.A few weeks ago I recommended my Strike Force subscribers purchase put options on Apple, effectively shorting the stock. That resulted in a 47% profit in less than 24 hours for anyone who followed along, excluding fees and commissions.I'm not alone in my thinking.Why Buffett, Bezos, & Congress Are Piling Into This One Sector [Sponsored by Investorplace]Uber investor Doug Kass, general partner of Seabreeze Partners Long/Short LP and Seabreeze Partners Long/Short Offshore LP, tweeted recently that he had covered "half his short" on Apple following the announcement of their dividend and buyback plan.Given that the stock had run up to nearly $608 a share before the announcement, presumably Kass had banked some gains, too.7 Reasons to Short Apple Stock(Nasdaq: AAPL)I haven't spoken with Mr. Kass so I can't comment on his current thinking nor the specifics of his trade, but here are mine:The company has single-handedly repeated the bubble curve of the Nasdaq run up. That leaves a lot of empty space to the downside.Apple is a "fad" or a "hit" company, meaning that its price seems to correlate to new product launches rather than the sustainable development of key product lines. Companies that do that tend to fall back from orbit at some point - especially in the tech world. Palm and Research in Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM) are two that come to mind.When great leaders are gone, their legacies can struggle. While Apple has stood up so far following Steve Jobs' unfortunate death, I can only wonder, as many in the tech community are wondering, how deep and how far out his thinking will live on. Is it one product cycle, two cycles? Nobody knows. But we do know that Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) became a very different company after Bill Gates stepped aside. Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) also flatlined three or four cycles after Andy Grove's departure from day-to-day operations.Apple's short interest of only 9.8 million shares is very low considering the company's three-month average daily trading volume is 18.2 million shares and the company's float is 931.8 million shares.The analyst community is almost completely positive. That's usually a sign of two things: a) that they're soft peddling opposing trades from other parts of the "shops" they work for or b) that they want a run up to maximize profits from positions they already hold. Either way, many have been tremendously wrong in their sales projections in recent quarters, understating anticipated results by as much as 30%-40% - a factor also noted by Kass in his trade set up analysis. Therefore, I am skeptical that they are raising numbers again.Apple's profit margins are unbelievably high at a time when the rest of the economy lurches along. While that's not a bad thing in isolation, I have a hard time believing that Apple can remain so far out of line if for no other reason that what goes up must come down eventually. And, since the road higher is far more unlikely for the rest of the markets, it is logical that Apple likely heads lower in the short term.Apple's fundamentals may soften. There are lots of reasons to love Apple but there are just as many reasons things may not be what they seem. If the economy worsens just how many people are going to buy "gee-whiz" technology beyond the hard core Apple-heads? Is there an Apple-killer in somebody's garage right now? Anti-trust investigations and supply problems are also big what ifs at the moment. Even a carrier failure could rock Apple because it may be their subsidies that keep Apple's costs down and profits high.Add it all up and there is enough to make you go hmmm...Of course, there is no doubt I will incur the wrath of Apple fans everywhere and arm chair traders from here to Tibet.Trump’s Shocking Exec Order 001 [Sponsored by Bayan Hill]Get over it guys; please refrain from the snarky e-mails telling me I'm an idiot or out of touch or worse - I believe in Apple. I really do.What I am suggesting is simply the logic behind Apple as a trading opportunity for nimble, aggressive and like minded market mavens.Besides, if I am correct and Apple does trade lower in the weeks ahead, I'm going to be picking up shares as an investment.
article
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226490
Samsung KODEX KOSPI ETF
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Economy & Strategy
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셀스마트 판다
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2 weeks ago
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How Does the S&P 500 React After the ISM Services PMI Release?
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셀스마트 판다
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2 weeks ago
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How Does the S&P 500 React After the ISM Services PMI Release?
The U.S. ISM Services PMI for June is scheduled for release on July 3 at 10 a.m. ET. Market consensus expects a slight rebound to 50.5, up from 49.9 in May — a return above the neutral 50 threshold would indicate an expansion in the services sector.In May, the index dipped below 50 for the first time since June 2024, reflecting contraction. New orders fell sharply to 46.4, signaling weak demand. However, the prices index surged to 68.7, suggesting ongoing inflationary pressure, while employment barely held expansion at 50.7.The upcoming data will likely influence both Fed policy expectations and market sentiment. A reading above expectations may signal resilience in services, while a downside surprise could revive concerns about economic slowdown and shift investor preference toward defensive assets.S&P 500 Performance After ISM Surprises (2008–present)After an upside surprise (92 events)+0.50% average return over 2 weeks+0.55% average return over 1 monthAfter a downside surprise (113 events):+0.12% average return over 2 weeks+0.63% average return over 1 monthHistorical data suggests that ISM Services PMI surprises have limited short-term impact on equity returns. While direct correlation remains weak, there is potential for indirect effects via shifts in interest rate outlooks and investor sentiment over a one-month horizon.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Neutral
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SPX
S&P500
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셀스마트 SIK
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2 weeks ago
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S&P 500 Rallies in May and June — What Comes Next?
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Buy
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SPX
S&P500
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셀스마트 SIK
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2 weeks ago
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S&P 500 Rallies in May and June — What Comes Next?
A back-to-back rally in May and June has historically been a strong setup for the S&P 500.Since 1988, this pattern has occurred 16 times. In 15 of those years (93.8%), the market continued to climb over the next six months. The average return was +8.8%, with even the bottom quartile posting a solid +5.9%. Top quartile returns reached +11.45%.<6-month return distribution after May–June rallies (1988–2024)>Mean: 8.81%25th percentile: 5.90%75th percentile: 11.45%There are rare exceptions. In 2018, despite early strength, the index fell 7.8% in the second half—reminding us that outside shocks or policy shifts can break momentum.Still, history leans bullish.  Unless macro risks intervene, a strong May–June tends to set the tone for a strong finish.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Buy
Buy
SPX
S&P500
Nowcast
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SellSmartR
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3 days ago
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CORE16 Model Forecasts June CPI at 2.6 Percent
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No Relevant Stock
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SellSmartR
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3 days ago
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CORE16 Model Forecasts June CPI at 2.6 Percent
You can check out CORE16’s proprietary CPI forecasting model at the link below.👉 https://core16-cpi-nowcast.streamlit.app/CORE16 CPI model predicted June CPI (to be announced in July) at 2.6 percent.What is CPI, and Why Does It Need to Be PredictedThe Consumer Price Index (CPI) is not just a basic inflation number.CPI is one of the most important economic indicators that moves interest rates, bonds, and equity markets.The Federal Reserve, in particular, uses CPI as a core reference when setting monetary policy.In that sense, understanding CPI is essentially predicting the direction of the market.But CPI is released with a lag—each month’s figure is reported in the following month.Before the official number comes out, the market has no choice but to rely on speculation, and that gap in visibility has long created differences in investor timing. To address this gap, the Cleveland Fed developed a CPI nowcasting model.By incorporating high-frequency data such as oil prices, food costs, and gasoline prices,the model provides real-time CPI estimates even before official releases.It is structurally simple, but its speed and interpretability have earned it a strong reputation as a practical tool for market insight.Inspired by the Cleveland Fed, CORE16 built its own CPI forecasting model tailored for domestic investors.Rather than focusing on complex algorithms, the goal was clear:deliver the fastest and most reasonable estimate based on the latest available data. The CORE16 model updates daily in real time.Between 2024 and March 2025, it reduced forecast error by approximately 20 percent compared to existing methods.Looking ahead, CORE16 plans to expand beyond CPI to cover employment data, retail sales, corporate earnings outlooks, and more.Our mission is to help investors see the market more clearly and respond faster—through data-driven insight and proactive decision-making.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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No Relevant Stock
Politics
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셀스마트 판다
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3 days ago
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Korean Relief Payments Are Coming — Who Benefits Most?
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097950
CJ CheilJedang
+3
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셀스마트 판다
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3 days ago
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Korean Relief Payments Are Coming — Who Benefits Most?
In July, the Korean Government Will Open Its Wallet AgainThis year’s Consumer Relief Coupon Program is aimed at stimulating spending to boost the economy, similar to the COVID-era stimulus payments.Who gets it·        All citizens, tiered by income levelTop 10 percent: 150,000 KRWGeneral population: 250,000 KRWLow-income and single-parent households: 400,000 KRWBasic welfare recipients: 500,000 KRWHow it works·        Issued as digital coupons, linked to credit and debit cards·        Not usable at large retailers or department stores·        Usable at traditional markets, convenience stores, neighborhood supermarkets, restaurantsUsage period·        Valid through November 30, 2025Distribution schedule·        1st round: July 21 to September 12, 2025·        2nd round: September 22 to October 31, 2025👉 The key detail: this is not cash, but purpose-driven spending.In the short term, this is expected to directly benefit local businesses and essential consumer sectors.How Will the Relief Payment Impact Consumer SentimentOver the past five years, including the latest round, the government has issued nationwide consumer relief payments three times. Out of the total 15.2 trillion KRW stimulus package, over 10.3 trillion is allocated to consumer relief coupons, accounting for more than half of the budget. An additional 5 trillion is aimed at supporting small businesses and stabilizing livelihoods.Shinhan Investment Corp. estimates that the impact on GDP growth will be limited, projecting a short-term lift of just 0.1 percent—suggesting this is not a structural solutionAccording to data from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety,mart and grocery purchases accounted for the largest share of spending from previous relief programs—27 percent in 2020 and 28.6 percent in 2021. This year’s relief coupons are also expected to concentrate spending in the same channels, likely benefiting the food and grocery sector most directly.Kyobo Securities highlighted that the Consumer Sentiment Index has remained above 100 points since May and reached 108.79 in June—its highest level in four years following the launch of the Lee Jae-myung administration. Based on this, they expect earnings recovery in the food and beverage sector in Q3.Interestingly, even though department stores were excluded from the list of eligible merchants during the 2020 relief payments, they still saw same-store sales rebound thanks to overall consumption recovery. Convenience stores also maintained growth, helped by increased tobacco sales. Key Beneficiaries by SectorPayment Infrastructure – NHN Payco (181710)·        Operates ZeroPay-based local voucher payment platforms·        Most direct payment infrastructure when using government coupons linked to local municipalitiesEssential Consumer Goods – BGF Retail (282330)·        Convenience stores are eligible for coupon use, unlike large retailers·        Strong exposure to basic goods like tobacco and foodRetail – Emart (139480)·        Not officially eligible, but some channels like Emart24 and Traders can accept coupons·        Focus on offline daily essentials positions it well for sentiment-driven recoveryDining – CJ CheilJedang (097950)·        Operates dining brands such as VIPS, Cheiljemyunso, and The Place·        Food service sector is coupon-eligibleBecause the use of relief coupons is restricted by merchant type, spending behavior is highly predictable.Where the Government Is Steering Consumer SpendingThe direction is clear:·        Away from large retail and toward essential everyday purchases·        Away from online and toward offline physical spending·        Away from discretionary spending and toward repeatable, basic consumptionThis structure creates a favorable environment in the short term for specific sectors like convenience stores, dining, essential goods, and payment infrastructure.Now is the time to focus not on general expectations, but on how policy is actually reshaping demand in real time.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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