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셀스마트 판다
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3 days ago
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K-Demon Hunters Goes Global — The Surprise Beneficiary? Nongshim
There is a song trending on Spotify right nowThe OST tracks “Your Idol” and “Golden” from K-pop Demon Hunters are gaining serious attention.These songs ranked number 1 and 2 on Spotify’s US Daily Top Songs chartGolden entered the Billboard Hot 100 at number 23and the soundtrack album reached number 3 on the Billboard 200With this much buzz around the OST, it is natural for attention to turn to entertainment stocksBut the stock we are highlighting today is not HYBE or YGIt is the unexpected beneficiary—Nongshim HoldingsA global sensation that started with zero expectationsK-pop Demon Hunters, or KDHH, is an original animation produced by Sony Pictures. It follows the story of Huntress, a K-pop girl group trio—Lumi, Mira, and Joy—who moonlight as demon hunters behind the stage.Expectations were low before its release. In fact, close to zero.The premise—a Korean idol group created by a Japanese studio under American financing—reminded many of past Western attempts to mash up East Asian culture, often ending in failure.But once the film was released, the response was overwhelming.·        Charming character designs inspired by jakhodo art·        Detailed depictions of Korean food culture like ramen, gimbap, and hotteok·        An OST that captured the full spirit of K-pop·        Small cultural touches, like using tissue paper as a chopstick rest at restaurantsEven the subtlest details, instantly recognizable to Korean viewers, were faithfully portrayed.The result? Global fans praised it as “authentically Korean.”And the numbers followed:·        Ranked No. 1 globally in Netflix’s film category during its first week·        Hit No. 1 in 41 countries, including the US, Germany, and Thailand·        Dance moves from the film’s fictional idol group became real K-pop dance challengesThis led to a second wave of content spreading across platforms.Netflix and Sony were caught off guard by the success and scrambled to produce official merchandiseMeanwhile, a jakhodo-inspired badge from the National Museum of Korea sold out as an unofficial “fan good.”Nongshim Keeps Popping Up in K-Demon HuntersAs you watch the film, certain elements start to stand out.The spicy chips that lead character Joy eats look strikingly similar to Shrimp Crackers.The cup ramen eaten by Huntress members is branded “Dongshim” and features a large red character “Shin,” clearly reminiscent of Shin Ramyun. Even the instructions—“pour hot water and wait three minutes”—match the real product.Ahead of the film’s release, Netflix held a promotional event in New York City, handing out instant ramen to passersby.What makes this even more interesting is that Nongshim had no official PPL or sponsorship deal with K-pop Demon Hunters.The film’s global success has unintentionally delivered Nongshim a wave of free international exposure.K-Content? The Formula That Drives Real-World SalesThere have been past cases where K-content led directly to consumer spending.The 2020 Oscar-winning film Parasite is a prime example of K-content driving global consumption.The appearance of “Chapaguri” in the film caught international audiences by surprise. In the month following the film’s release, Nongshim’s overseas sales of Chapagetti more than doubled year over year, reaching approximately 1.5 million dollars.In March, BLACKPINK’s Jennie mentioned Banana Kick and Shrimp Crackers as her favorite snacks on The Jennifer Hudson Show. Just four days later, Nongshim’s market cap jumped by 260 billion KRW—an example of the “five-second magic” effect in action.This isn’t new. K-content has repeatedly influenced real consumer behavior abroad, translating into tangible gains in both revenue and stock price.K-pop Demon Hunters also features recurring elements that closely resemble Nongshim products, suggesting a similar ripple effect in global consumer markets may follow.Nongshim vs. Nongshim Holdings — Why the Real Play Is the Holding Company(This is Nongshim’s Instagram post from today, the 11th. Could it be hinting at a K-Demon Hunters collaboration?)Then why not just buy Nongshim directly? Why bother with Nongshim Holdings?Here’s why it matters.Recent momentum in the Korean stock market, fueled by this year’s amendment to the Commercial Act and the upcoming expansion of separate dividend taxation, has sparked a revaluation of low-PBR stocks. Holding companies have been leading that move.As the holding company of Nongshim, Nongshim Holdings reflects:·        The earnings and brand exposure benefits of Nongshim·        A currently low PBR·        A relatively high dividend yield·        And direct upside from policies aimed at improving holding company structuresThis is not just a case of “moving with the group.”Nongshim Holdings is a rare combination of undervaluation, dividend strength, and structure that aligns perfectly with what today’s market is rewarding most.In ClosingNetflix’s K-pop Demon Hunters delivered an unexpected global hit.Korean food products—especially Nongshim’s ramen and Shrimp Crackers—were naturally embedded in the content, building emotional familiarity and triggering consumer interest among international viewers.From Parasite in 2020, to Squid Game in 2021, and now K-pop Demon Hunters in 2025,K-content driving real-world consumption and stock price momentum is no longer a coincidence—it is a repeatable pattern.If you can’t invest in the content itself, why not ride the consumption trend it creates?Now is the time to take a closer look at Nongshim Holdings, the unexpected beneficiary.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Neutral
Neutral
072710
Nongshim Holdings
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셀스마트 판다
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2 weeks ago
0
0
What Happened After Constellation Brands Missed Earnings?
Constellation Brands reported weaker-than-expected earnings, fueling concerns over softening alcohol demand. For the quarter ending in May, the company posted $2.52 billion in organic net sales and $3.22 in earnings per share, both slightly below analyst expectations.The beer segment, which includes six of the top 15 beer brands by dollar share in the U.S., saw sales dip 2% due to a 3.3% decline in shipment volume. Still, the company expects beer revenue to grow by up to 3% this year.Its wine and spirits division suffered more, with revenue plunging 28% year-over-year due to both restructuring and weaker consumer demand. The company has cut guidance for the segment, citing sluggish sales and the divestiture of lower-end brands.Despite the downbeat numbers, STZ stock fell just 0.7% in after-hours trading. It’s already down over 26% this year, and nearly 40% from its March peak. But some institutional investors are seeing value. Berkshire Hathaway, for instance, more than doubled its holdings in Q1 2025, now owning 6.7% of the company.Historical trends show that even when Constellation misses estimates by up to 10%, the stock has tended to bounce back modestly. On average, it returned 1.3% over the next 20 days and 0.13% over 10 days—suggesting that while the short-term reaction can be negative, it often recovers relatively quickly.Mean: +0.13%25th percentile: -2.68%75th percentile: +2.82%Mean: +1.30%25th percentile: -4.15%75th percentile: +9.09%[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Buy
Buy
STZ
Constellation Brands Class A
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박재훈투영인
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4 months ago
0
0
Samsung, Are You Listening? “AI Is Booming, but It’s Ultimately in Taiwan’s Hands?” (Oct 31, 2024)
At 35, Harvard graduate Jung Yoon-seok had his pick of locations across Asia—including his home country of South Korea—to manufacture AI chips for his startup, Rebellions. Yet, he chose Taiwan. “Taiwan is small, and Taipei is even smaller, but everything moves incredibly fast there,” he says.And Jung is not alone. AI leaders like NVIDIA, Microsoft, and OpenAI are all focusing on Taiwan. They rely on Taiwanese firms to manufacture AI chips, build servers, and develop cooling systems. As a result, Taiwan’s stock market has been the hottest in Asia over the past year, led by TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) and Hon Hai (Foxconn).Some investors believe this $400 billion rally is just the beginning. Optimists argue that Taiwan has become the ChatGPT era’s core manufacturing hub, making it a key beneficiary of the AI boom.Former U.S. Commerce Department official Sean King puts it bluntly: “Taiwan is the engine that drives AI.”However, this success comes with risks. For the first time in decades, the global tech supply chain is shifting away from China—and instead, towards its smaller neighbor. As U.S.-China tensions escalate, many AI companies are reluctant to manufacture in China, giving Taiwan a strategic advantage. However, as Taiwan’s global significance grows, so does Beijing’s interest in reclaiming what it sees as “separated territory.”TSMC: The King of AI Chip ManufacturingTSMC is at the heart of Taiwan’s success story. As competitors Intel and Samsung struggle, TSMC has tightened its grip on the semiconductor industry, dominating the production of the world’s most advanced chips. Even NVIDIA’s CEO, Jensen Huang, acknowledges that only TSMC can manufacture its AI accelerators.But Taiwan’s AI dominance isn’t limited to TSMC. Several hidden champions play crucial roles in AI development:Quanta Computer – A key server manufacturerDelta Electronics – A leading power equipment providerAsia Vital Components (AVC) – A pioneer in computer cooling systemsThese companies are expected to thrive in the AI market, which is projected to reach $1.3 trillion by 2032.Edward Chen, chairman of First Capital Management, believes Taiwan’s AI boom will last longer than previous tech cycles. With TSMC playing a key role in choosing partners for firms like NVIDIA, he argues that Taiwan’s technology sector is reaching an entirely new level.Taiwan’s stock market performance reflects this shift. The Taiex Index has soared over 40% in the past year, far outpacing China, Hong Kong, India, and Japan.How Taiwan Became the AI Manufacturing HubTaiwan’s rise as a tech powerhouse dates back to the 1980s, when Japanese firms began outsourcing low-cost plastic toy manufacturing to Taiwan. As the economy grew, Taiwanese companies evolved into high-tech manufacturers. While some firms set up factories in China, they always kept their most advanced technologies at home.Meanwhile, U.S. trade restrictions on China have forced companies to seek alternatives, effectively pushing China out of key supply chains. In less than two years, China’s AI hardware industry has been virtually crippled.The numbers tell the story: In the first nine months of 2024, Taiwan exported more than twice the number of AI servers and GPUs as China—an unimaginable shift from just a few years ago.Why Tech Giants Are Rushing to Taiwan"Look at today’s cloud giants," says a tech analyst. "Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google are all racing to catch up with ChatGPT, and they all rely on Taiwanese firms to build their servers."Market research firm IDC predicts that global spending on AI systems and services will more than double to $632 billion by 2028.Liu Fei-chen, a researcher at the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research, describes Taiwan as a “one-stop shop” for AI hardware. Companies can source everything they need without leaving the island.Put simply, Taiwan is the gateway to the AI-driven future—where global IT firms’ dreams become reality through Taiwanese technology.The Secrets of Taiwan’s SuccessWhat makes Taiwan’s tech firms so attractive to global giants like Amazon, NVIDIA, and Apple?Customer-First MentalityDuring the pandemic, TSMC had the perfect opportunity to raise chip prices but instead chose to minimize price hikes to maintain trust with customers.This “strategic, not opportunistic” approach solidified its reputation as a reliable partner.Adaptability & Quick TransformationFoxconn (Hon Hai) and Quanta were once known for assembling iPhones and MacBooks.Today, they prioritize AI server orders, proving their ability to shift with market trends.Aggressive Investment in the FutureCompanies like AVC, Delta, and Quanta allocate nearly half of their operating expenses to R&D.They are also expanding beyond Taiwan, with AVC investing $450 million in a new Vietnamese plant.Taiwan’s three-pillar strategy—customer trust, adaptability, and aggressive investment—has created an unstoppable AI powerhouse.AI’s Explosive Growth & Taiwan’s RoleAI demand is skyrocketing, but so are the challenges. NVIDIA’s latest AI server, the NVL72, costs a staggering $3 million per unit and generates extreme heat—a major technical challenge.Companies like Delta and AVC are now scrambling to develop cooling systems that can handle this unprecedented power consumption.Rodrigo Liang, CEO of Silicon Valley-based AI chip startup SambaNova Systems, highlights Taiwan’s geographic advantage:“If a startup founder flies to Taiwan looking for a manufacturing partner, they can meet Delta, AVC, and Quanta all in a single afternoon. The high-speed rail gets you from Taipei to Kaohsiung in just 1.5 hours.”This tight-knit ecosystem fosters fierce competition and rapid innovation—critical factors for Taiwan’s continued AI dominance.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Neutral
Neutral
TSM
TSMC
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박재훈투영인
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4 months ago
0
0
Where Is Lee Jae-yong's Leadership? The Reality of Samsung’s Crisis (Oct 22, 2024)
Concerns over Samsung Electronics Chairman Lee Jae-yong's leadership are growing both domestically and internationally. Critics argue that Samsung has failed to respond proactively in the semiconductor industry, while also facing internal inefficiencies that require urgent restructuring.Leadership Under ScrutinyLee Jae-yong marks his 2nd anniversary as chairman on October 27, but Samsung has no official plans for a statement.The company also approaches its 55th anniversary (Nov 1) and 50 years in semiconductors (Dec 6), raising speculation about future strategic directions.Despite his public appearances—such as the fourth anniversary of Samsung’s pediatric cancer support program on Oct 21—Lee has remained silent on the company's ongoing challenges.Samsung’s Mounting Crisis1. Semiconductor SetbacksFalling Behind in Foundry & Advanced Chips:TSMC dominates AI-driven demand, securing contracts with NVIDIA, Apple, AMD, and Qualcomm.Samsung’s foundry & system LSI division posted over ₩1 trillion in losses in Q3.In 2011, Samsung’s non-memory sales were 88% of TSMC’s; by 2023, this shrank to just 25%.Despite ₩15 trillion annual investments, the gap is widening.Taiwan’s Digitimes (Oct 15) stated that Samsung’s price competition strategy failed due to poor yield rates.HBM Missteps:SK Hynix leads the HBM market, securing early dominance in AI-driven memory.Samsung disbanded its HBM R&D team in 2019, now struggling to catch up.2. Stock Performance & Investor SentimentStock Price:October 21 closing price: ₩59,000 (-0.34%).Hit 52-week low amid continued foreign selling.Foreign investors dumped ₩12.6 trillion worth of Samsung shares over two months.Investor Confidence Eroding:Morgan Stanley's “Winter Looms” report forecasts a semiconductor downturn due to DRAM oversupply and HBM price declines.Macquarie downgraded Samsung to "Neutral" from "Buy".3. Inefficient Decision-Making StructureExcessive Influence of Samsung’s Business Support TF (Task Force):Led by Vice Chairman Chung Hyun-ho, this unit is criticized for slow, risk-averse decision-making.Compared to Intel’s past missteps, where middle management bottlenecks delayed crucial technology transitions.Internal Criticism & Employee Frustration:Employee forum discussions describe a rigid, top-heavy reporting structure stifling innovation and accountability.4. Lack of Bold Strategic MovesLeadership & Talent Strategy Issues:May 2024 appointment of new semiconductor chief Jeon Young-hyun was seen as too conservative.No major acquisitions or aggressive R&D initiatives have been pursued.Samsung’s Crisis = Korea’s Crisis?Samsung accounted for 18% of Korea’s total exports in 2023 (₩150 trillion out of ₩830 trillion).KDI research (2017) showed that shocks to Korea’s top 3 corporations explain 59% of macroeconomic volatility—highlighting Samsung’s systemic importance.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Sell
Sell
005930
Samsung Electronics
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박재훈투영인
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4 months ago
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Why Is ‘₩50,000 Samsung’ Struggling While Global Semiconductor Stocks Soar? (Oct 11, 2024)
Samsung Electronics' stock price has fallen below ₩60,000 for the first time in 17 months, despite the strong performance of U.S. semiconductor stocks. As South Korea’s largest market-cap stock struggles, the KOSPI index failed to break above 2,600, closing in the 2,500 range. Meanwhile, the U.S. stock market hit record highs, boosted by tech stock gains and falling oil prices.According to the Korea Exchange on October 10, Samsung Electronics closed at ₩58,900, down 2.32%, marking its lowest level since March 16, 2023 (₩59,900) and setting a new 52-week low. The ongoing impact of weak earnings has driven the stock down by over 11% in the past month. Analysts expect continued poor performance in Q4, leading to a wave of target price downgrades.Samsung’s decline also weighed on the broader market, limiting the KOSPI’s gains. While other semiconductor stocks like SK Hynix (+4.89%) and Hanmi Semiconductor (+3.07%) surged, the KOSPI managed only a 0.19% increase, closing at 2,599.16.The Korean stock market has remained sluggish since the global sell-off on August 5. According to the Bank of Korea’s latest international finance and foreign exchange report, foreign investors sold $5.57 billion worth of South Korean stocks in September, marking the largest outflow since May 2021 (-$8.23 billion). The sharp increase in stock outflows also turned South Korea’s overall securities investment (stocks + bonds) into net outflows for the first time since October 2023.U.S. Stocks Hit New Highs as Semiconductor Sector StrengthensIn contrast, the New York Stock Exchange set new record highs:Dow Jones: +1.03% to 42,512.00S&P 500: +0.71% to 5,792.04 (44th all-time high this year)Nasdaq: +0.60% to 18,291.62The semiconductor sector soared, fueled by TSMC’s stronger-than-expected September sales.ASML: +2.63%ARM: +3.36%Qualcomm: +2.33%Falling oil prices also boosted market sentiment. WTI crude oil for November delivery fell 0.45% to $73.24 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.Meanwhile, the release of the September U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes introduced some uncertainty regarding future interest rate cuts, but the market largely shrugged it off. The minutes revealed that several Fed officials supported a ‘small cut’ (0.25 percentage points), contradicting earlier reports that only one official, Michelle Bowman, had backed a cut.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
article
Sell
Sell
005930
Samsung Electronics
Economy & Strategy
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셀스마트 판다
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2 weeks ago
0
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How Does the S&P 500 React After the ISM Services PMI Release?
The U.S. ISM Services PMI for June is scheduled for release on July 3 at 10 a.m. ET. Market consensus expects a slight rebound to 50.5, up from 49.9 in May — a return above the neutral 50 threshold would indicate an expansion in the services sector.In May, the index dipped below 50 for the first time since June 2024, reflecting contraction. New orders fell sharply to 46.4, signaling weak demand. However, the prices index surged to 68.7, suggesting ongoing inflationary pressure, while employment barely held expansion at 50.7.The upcoming data will likely influence both Fed policy expectations and market sentiment. A reading above expectations may signal resilience in services, while a downside surprise could revive concerns about economic slowdown and shift investor preference toward defensive assets.S&P 500 Performance After ISM Surprises (2008–present)After an upside surprise (92 events)+0.50% average return over 2 weeks+0.55% average return over 1 monthAfter a downside surprise (113 events):+0.12% average return over 2 weeks+0.63% average return over 1 monthHistorical data suggests that ISM Services PMI surprises have limited short-term impact on equity returns. While direct correlation remains weak, there is potential for indirect effects via shifts in interest rate outlooks and investor sentiment over a one-month horizon.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Neutral
Neutral
SPX
S&P500
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셀스마트 판다
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3 months ago
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Trump Reverses Course — Smartphones and Semiconductors Exempt from Tariffs (Apr 13, 2025)
The Trump administration has announced a tariff exemption on roughly 20 key tech-related products, including smartphones, laptops, and semiconductors. On April 11, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), under the Department of Homeland Security, officially declared that both the base 10% tariffs and additional surcharges would not apply to these items.The decision appears to be driven by growing domestic pressure over rising consumer costs and the need to protect U.S. tech companies from collateral damage in the trade war.Following the announcement, Apple (AAPL) gained +4.06%, and Nvidia (NVDA) rose +3.12%, reflecting a sharp rebound in investor sentiment. Apple, whose production relies heavily on China, had been seen as vulnerable to tariff risks. Nvidia, which sources chips from TSMC in Taiwan, also benefited as the exemption covers core components in its supply chain.Samsung Electronics and TSMC are expected to benefit indirectly. For Samsung, export channels into the U.S. face reduced strain. TSMC gains by securing shipment stability for major clients like Nvidia now protected from tariff risks. However, tariff policy volatility remains high, and future reversals cannot be ruled out.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
article
Neutral
Neutral
AAPL
Apple
+1