logo

HomeArticlesServicePriceAbout

EN

Menu

Home
Articles
Search
About
EN
logo
Price
logo

Company

AboutTerms of Service Privacy Policy

Social

LinkedIn Twitter Discord

Contact

contact@coresixteen.com coresixteen.com
Company NameCORE16 Inc.
CEODavid Cho
Business Registration Number762-81-03235
Address83, Uisadang-daero, Yeongdeungpo-gu, Seoul, 07325, Republic of KOREA
셀스마트 인디's profile picture

셀스마트 인디

dlselindi@naver.com

user
셀스마트 인디
·
2 months ago
3
0
Apple’s May 1 Earnings: What Is an “Event-Driven” Strategy?
What Is an Event-Driven Earnings Strategy?This strategy focuses on price action triggered by earnings announcements. When a company beats consensus estimates (earnings surprise), traders take a long position to capture the upside. If results fall short (earnings shock), a short or sell position is taken to profit from the drop.The charts above show average 5-day return distributions after earnings surprises (left) and earnings shocks (right). Post-surprise returns tend to be skewed positively, while shocks often result in sharp short-term declines.Event-Driven Strategy ProcessIdentify earnings dates and consensus estimates in advance.Anticipate large price moves if actual results deviate significantly from expectations.(Apple’s earnings will be announced May 1, 2025, 4:00 p.m. EDT, or May 2, 5:00 a.m. KST.)Based on the nature of the surprise or shock, establish a position immediately following the announcement.Implement risk controls like stop-losses to manage volatility.Strengths and WeaknessesThis strategy offers a rare opportunity to profit from clearly defined events, independent of broader market trends.This heatmap shows simulated trading results based on earnings surprises. The left chart shows average returns, and the right shows win rates, based on when investors bought before and sold after the earnings release.Notably, buying 6 days before and selling shortly after the earnings event yielded a 78.2% win rate across 55 earnings events.In contrast, during earnings shocks, pre-event short positions performed better, while post-announcement trades suffered notable losses. Win rates were also higher for pre-event sellers.This final heatmap generalizes event-driven strategies across all earnings events. While certain windows are effective, the consistency of outperformance is rare over the long term in upward-trending markets.Final ThoughtsEvent-driven strategies can yield powerful short-term returns, especially during earnings season. However, they require precision and experience. For most retail investors, a better long-term approach may be to hold fundamentally strong names like Apple and navigate short-term noise with patience and discipline.Apple’s May 1 earnings may offer a near-term opportunity — but investors must also weigh broader market risks, including macroeconomic uncertainty and U.S.–China trade tensions, before reacting.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
article
Neutral
Neutral
AAPL
Apple
user
셀스마트 인디
·
3 months ago
5
0
The Sweet Trap of Covered Call ETFs: Yield Comes with Hidden Taxes and Risks
Amid persistent market volatility and high interest rates, investors are flocking to covered call ETFs as an income-generating alternative. Some of these ETFs have reported distribution yields of up to 15% over the past year, drawing considerable interest. But behind these attractive numbers lie tax implications and structural risks that investors should not ignore.At its core, a covered call strategy is simple: the fund buys underlying assets (e.g., stocks or indices) and sells call options to collect premiums. For example, if an investor buys a stock at $100 and sells a one-month $150 call, they receive an upfront premium. If the stock does not rise significantly, the option expires worthless, and the premium becomes profit. However, if the stock soars above the strike, upside gains are capped, limiting total return potential.Example: Covered Call Payoff Structure – NVIDIAStructural Limitations and Tax SurprisesRecently, Korean asset managers have launched a wave of covered call ETFs, aggressively marketing them as tax-free yield solutions. However, many investors were caught off guard when distributions turned out to be taxable as dividend income, not the tax-exempt option premiums they expected.The issue stems from how Korean equity dividends are distributed. Since domestic dividends are mostly concentrated in March, the majority of ETF payouts during this period consist of taxable income, while non-taxable option premium income plays a smaller role. As a result, some investors faced unexpected tax bills, despite being promised “tax-advantaged” products.Investment ImplicationsIt’s important to understand that covered call ETFs sell upside potential in exchange for monthly income. The dividends received are not “free money” but compensation for giving up future gains.Investors should carefully review the fund’s distribution breakdown, tax treatment, and underlying strategy, rather than relying solely on headline yields or marketing claims. While covered call strategies can be effective in range-bound or volatile markets, they are not magic bullets for long-term growth.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
article
Sell
Sell
NONE
No Relevant Stock
user
셀스마트 인디
·
2 months ago
Apple’s May 1 Earnings: What Is an “Event-Driven” Strategy?
article
Neutral
Neutral
AAPL
Apple
user
셀스마트 인디
·
3 months ago
The Sweet Trap of Covered Call ETFs: Yield Comes with Hidden Taxes and Risks
article
Sell
Sell
NONE
No Relevant Stock