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박재훈투영인 프로필 사진박재훈투영인
Dow closes down 260 points at session low as megacap tech stocks turn negative(May 18, 2021)
created At: 2/25/2025
Sell
Sell
This analysis includes a sell recommendation. Please carefully review all mentioned risk before proceeding.
133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
226490
Samsung KODEX KOSPI ETF
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Fact
Economic data: Housing starts: -9.5% to 1.569M (below 1.7M forecast) Earnings highlights: Walmart: +2% on strong grocery sales Home Depot: -1% despite beating estimates 86% of S&P 500 companies reported positive EPS surprises (highest since 2008)
Opinion
The market's intraday reversal from gains to losses, particularly in tech stocks, suggests growing concerns about inflation's impact on growth-oriented equities. The significant housing starts miss adds to the narrative of economic growth potentially peaking. The disconnect between strong earnings results and negative stock reactions indicates investors are more focused on forward guidance and macroeconomic factors than historical performance.
Core Sell Point
Despite record-breaking earnings season performance, markets closed lower as investors continue to wrestle with inflation concerns and signs of slowing economic momentum, particularly affecting growth stocks sensitive to potential monetary policy tightening.

Major U.S. stock indexes wiped out earlier gains and closed at their session lows on Tuesday as Big Tech stocks reversed lower, while data showing housing starts dropped sharply last month also weighed on sentiment.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the session 267.13 points, or 0.8%, to 34,060.66. The S&P 500 fell 0.9% to 4,127.83. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite erased a 0.8% gain and slid 0.6% to 13,303.64 as Apple, Amazon, Facebook and Alphabet all rolled over and fell more than 1% on the day

Housing starts tumbled 9.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.569 million units last month, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday. Economists polled by Dow Jones had forecast starts falling to a rate of 1.7 million units in April.

Investors also digested better-than-expected earnings from big retailers. Walmart shares jumped more than 2% after reporting strong grocery sales and e-commerce growth for the quarter. Macy’s posted a surprise profit and hiked its full-year outlook, but its shares erased earlier gains and dipped 0.4%.

Home Depot reported earnings of $3.86 a share for the previous quarter, much higher than the $3.08 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. Net sales surged 32.7%, more than expected. The stock ended the session 1% lower.

Growth-heavy stocks have remained under pressure in recent sessions as investors fret over whether a pop in inflation will entrench or blow over as the Federal Reserve expects. Inflation above the Fed’s 2% target for a sustained period could prompt the central bank to tighten monetary policy and dampen stocks that outperform the market when interest rates are low.

″Growth may be peaking, but it’s not a bull-market breaker yet,” said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments. “Data can’t stay at peak levels forever, and tailwinds from fiscal stimulus are likely to wind down. This can complicate the environment for investors; history suggests that when the economy starts to slow, market returns tend to slow with it.”

Investors blamed that angst for the S&P 500′s dismal performance last week, which saw the broad market index fall 4% through midweek amid heightened inflation fears. The broad equity benchmark eventually rebounded and ended the week down 1.4%. All three benchmarks posted their worst week since February 26.

The Fed’s minutes from its last meeting, which will be released Wednesday, could offer some clues on policymakers’ thinking on inflation.

Elsewhere, the first-quarter earnings season is wrapping up with more than 90% of the S&P 500 companies having reported their results. So far, 86% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive EPS surprise, which would mark the highest percentage of positive earnings surprises since 2008 when FactSet began tracking this metric.

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