
What Happened After Constellation Brands Missed Earnings?
created At: 7/2/2025

Buy
This analysis was written from a neutral perspective. We advise you to always make careful and well-informed investment decisions.
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Fact
Constellation Brands missed earnings estimates for Q1 (ending May):
-Revenue: $2.52B (vs. expected $2.55B)
-EPS: $3.22 (vs. expected $3.31)
Beer sales fell 2% YoY due to a 3.3% drop in shipment volume.
Wine and spirits revenue plunged 28% amid restructuring and weaker demand.
Stock dipped 0.7% in after-hours and is down over 26% YTD, nearly 40% below its March 2024 peak.
Despite the miss, the 10-day average return is +0.13%, and 20-day average return post-miss is +1.30%.
Opinion
While the earnings miss sparked concerns over declining alcohol demand, the downside appears muted thanks to brand strength, a loyal customer base, and institutional support. Historical data suggests moderate rebound potential, especially when the miss isn't severe.
Core Sell Point
Even with disappointing earnings, STZ tends to stabilize quickly—underscoring investor confidence in its long-term fundamentals.
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