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A SELL signal has been triggered by the Market Strength Indicator (MSI)

The MSI evaluates the profit/loss distribution among investors. When a majority are in profit, it signals potential market recovery (BUY). Conversely, when most are incurring losses, it reflects a weakening market and triggers a SELL signal.

A SELL signal has been triggered by the Crash Indicator (CI)

The CI identifies steep short-term declines relative to the 6-month average. A sharp drop in weekly returns is interpreted as a crash warning, signaling elevated downside risk.

A SELL signal has been triggered by the Time Varying Parameter (TVP)

TVP utilizes a Bayesian time-series framework that integrates market, macroeconomic, and sentiment data to forecast price direction. The current model output indicates a structural downtrend.

A SELL signal has been triggered by the Volatility Index (VIX)

The VIX reflects investor sentiment through market volatility. A sudden spike signals fear-driven selling pressure. Current readings suggest a risk-off environment with heightened uncertainty.

A SELL signal has been triggered by the Gold-Silver Ratio

This signal tracks investor risk preference by comparing gold and silver prices. A rising ratio indicates increased demand for safe-haven assets, reflecting growing market anxiety.

A SELL signal has been triggered by the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII)

Based on weekly retail investor surveys, a notable rise in bearish sentiment has activated a sell signal, suggesting weakening confidence in equity markets.

A BUY signal has been triggered by the Real Rate Inversion

This signal detects a yield curve inversion in real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates, where 1-year real yields exceed 10-year real yields. Such inversions often precede recessions and have historically marked market bottoms.

A BUY signal has been triggered by the Fear & Greed Index

This composite indicator captures extremes in market sentiment. Current readings indicate a fear-dominated environment, typically associated with short-term buying opportunities from a contrarian perspective.