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셀스마트 YUN
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1 week ago
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The New Front in AI: Compute Gigafactories and the Invisible Winners
The New Front in AI: Compute Gigafactories and the Infrastructure Behind the RacexAI’s Colossus, now under construction in Memphis, is more than just another data center. Dubbed a “gigafactory of compute,” the facility represents a turning point: the AI industry’s shift toward full-stack physical control.But xAI isn’t alone. Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Google, and Nvidia are all rapidly building their own AI supercomputing hubs. The reason? Winning in AI now depends less on having the best model—and more on owning the infrastructure to train it.Training frontier models like GPT-5 or Claude 3 requires not just GPUs, but vast arrays of stable power, advanced cooling, and high-throughput networking. Software alone no longer wins. Compute scale, speed, and control are becoming the true moat.Unexpected Winners: Servers and Power ProvidersThis infrastructure race is lifting companies that most AI investors overlook.Super Micro (SMCI) is emerging as the dominant builder of AI server systems. Already producing most H100 and B100-based configurations for Nvidia, it’s the go-to for large-scale, liquid-cooled GPU clusters. Projects like xAI’s Colossus and Saudi’s DataVolt have made it the de facto standard for AI server design.Arista Networks, Vertiv, Broadcom are also benefiting from exploding demand in networking switches, power equipment, and thermal management.But compute is meaningless without energy.NextEra Energy (NEE) is betting big on this. As the largest renewable energy provider in the U.S., it’s aggressively expanding AI-focused power purchase agreements (PPAs), backed by solar, wind, and nuclear. It already manages over 31GW and plans to add 36–46GW by 2030.Schneider Electric and Eaton are essential players behind the scenes, ensuring energy stability and power quality—critical in high-density AI compute environments. But There’s Friction AheadProjects like Colossus are drawing backlash over emissions and local impact. xAI’s use of temporary methane generators has already sparked environmental concern. As these facilities scale, resistance from regulators and communities will grow.That’s why infrastructure firms with green energy credentials and efficient cooling tech are becoming preferred partners in this new ecosystem. Conclusion: Big Tech’s Energy War Has BegunThe AI race is entering its next phase: compute dominance. This battle won’t be won by algorithms alone—but by those who can deliver power, cooling, and scale.In the next decade, the real winners of AI may not be chipmakers—but the companies that keep the chips running.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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NEE
NextEra Energy
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Economy & Strategy
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박재훈투영인
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3 months ago
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Should We Sell Tech Stocks Exposed to Tariffs? (Apr 4, 2025)
Since President Trump's tariff announcement on April 2, tech stocks have struggled to find their footing. But some companies are clearly in deeper trouble than others.In particular, hardware-focused tech firms with globally distributed supply chains are scrambling to assess the impact. While some tariffs may eventually be reduced through negotiation, the worst-case scenario would see elevated import duties remain in place — potentially triggering retaliatory tariffs from other countries.Current tariff rates include:China: 54% (including pre-existing 20%)Vietnam: 46%India: 26%Taiwan: 32%Malaysia: 24%These countries are key manufacturing hubs for smartphone components, according to Morningstar equity analyst Phelix Lee.Gil Luria, Head of Tech Research at D.A. Davidson, said:“This is the most significant shift in economic outlook since the onset of COVID-19.”As investors assess how tariffs could impact valuations, risk tolerance is becoming a decisive factor. Those unable to stomach volatility or navigate prolonged uncertainty may shy away from hardware-heavy tech names.For those choosing to stay in the game, it’s worth closely watching companies exposed to imported hardware.According to J.P. Morgan's April 3 report, PCs are expected to face the largest price hikes, followed by servers and networking equipment.While the administration says chips will be excluded from the latest tariffs, many semiconductors are embedded in finished goods like PCs and servers — meaning indirect exposure is still significant.J.P. Morgan analysts noted that many tech companies had already begun adjusting supply chains and fine-tuning pricing models in anticipation of tariffs. However, the unexpectedly steep increases may force firms to accelerate reshoring efforts, which come at a high cost. Executives must now weigh whether these tariffs are a negotiation tactic or a long-term policy.Luria observed:“There was a lot of knee-jerk selling — you could see that in real time. But there’s also paralysis. If I like a company like Apple for the long term — if I believe people will continue buying iPhones and using more services — then I still want to own it. I don’t believe this is permanent.”Pinpointing the exact impact is difficult, as it depends on a company’s sourcing geography — and that information isn’t always disclosed to the market.J.P. Morgan estimates that, for hardware-centric firms, the blended effective tariff rate is around 30%, which could cut gross margins by 10% unless prices are raised.Company-Specific Estimates:Apple Inc.~80% of revenue from hardwareWould need to raise prices 6% globally to offset the impactDell Technologies Inc.75% hardware revenueWould require a 11% global price hike to maintain marginsCisco Systems Inc.34% hardware exposureEstimated 6% price increase neededSuper Micro Computer Inc.100% hardware revenueNeeds just 4% global price hike due to supply chain structureHewlett Packard Enterprise Co.62% hardware revenueEstimated 6% price increaseQualcomm Inc.Only 3% of hardware revenue affectedNo price increase requiredBig tech firms building out massive data centers — like Microsoft, Meta, Google, and Amazon — may also scale back capex as hardware costs surge.Luria noted:“These companies were building AI infrastructure far ahead of demand, made possible by strong core businesses and healthy cash flow. In a weaker economy, with declining demand for goods and services, they’ll likely pull back on those investments.”[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Sell
AAPL
Apple
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user
박재훈투영인
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4 months ago
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Nasdaq 100 Index Overview (Feb 18, 2025)
History & EvolutionThe Nasdaq 100 Index, introduced in 1985, tracks the performance of the top 100 non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. As the first electronic stock market in 1971, Nasdaq became a hub for technological innovation, and the Nasdaq 100 has since served as a benchmark for large-cap growth companies.Technology Sector DominanceAs of 2025, the technology sector makes up 62.25% of the Nasdaq 100, led by Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA. Companies like Amazon and Tesla, though categorized in different sectors, operate technology-driven businesses, further solidifying Nasdaq’s tech-heavy nature. The ongoing AI and digital transformation boom continues to drive the index, making sector concentration risk and rebalancing impact key factors for investors.Nasdaq’s Competitive Edge in IPOsNasdaq has outperformed NYSE in IPO listings for six consecutive years through 2024. Over 160 companies raised $22 billion on Nasdaq in 11 months of 2024, reflecting growing preference among tech-driven firms. AI-related firms' rapid expansion has further fueled Nasdaq’s dominance in public listings.Inclusion & Exclusion CriteriaCompanies must be exclusively listed on the Nasdaq Global Select Market, maintain high liquidity, and have a minimum 3-month trading history.Financial firms & REITs are excluded.Annual index rebalancing adjusts the composition, removing underperforming stocks.In 2024, Super Micro Computer, Illumina, and Moderna were removed from the index.Nasdaq 100 vs. S&P 500QQQ ETF tracks Nasdaq 100, with a 62.25% tech weighting, making it more volatile.S&P 500 covers 500 companies, offering a more diversified portfolio with lower volatility.Market Performance & Growth TrendsNasdaq 100 experienced major events such as the dot-com bubble (2000), the financial crisis (2008), and AI-driven expansion (2024).After an 800% rise from 1995-2000, the dot-com crash led to a 76.81% decline.The index only recovered its 2000 peak in 2015, but today’s AI-driven rally differs due to companies' strong profitability & financial stability.Innovation & Economic ImpactNasdaq defines innovation as a driver of economic value, knowledge integration, and real-world impact. R&D spending and patent filings serve as key indicators, expanding beyond technology to include healthcare, consumer goods, and other industries.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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