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Company NameCORE16 Inc.
CEODavid Cho
Business Registration Number762-81-03235
Address83, Uisadang-daero, Yeongdeungpo-gu, Seoul, 07325, Republic of KOREA
Citigroup
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박재훈투영인
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4 months ago
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Warren Buffett Diverges from Market Trends: Berkshire Hathaway Continues Stock Sales (Feb 18, 2025)
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Neutral
Neutral
BRK.B
Berkshire Hathaway Class B
+1
user
박재훈투영인
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4 months ago
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Warren Buffett Diverges from Market Trends: Berkshire Hathaway Continues Stock Sales (Feb 18, 2025)
Despite the S&P 500 gaining 25% in 2024 and an additional 4% increase in 2025, Berkshire Hathaway remains a net seller in the market. Buffett, managing Berkshire’s $300 billion equity portfolio, has shown little enthusiasm for the soaring stock market.For Buffett to re-enter the market, a significant sell-off may be required, but few expect such a downturn in 2025. Buffett, now 94 years old, will turn 95 in August and mark his 60th anniversary as Berkshire’s CEO in 2025.Key Portfolio Changes & Market ImpactQ4 2024: Berkshire had $6 billion in net stock sales, slowing from $127 billion in net sales in the first three quarters of 2024.Major Stock Sales in 2024Apple: Sold $110 billion worth of shares, reducing its stake by two-thirds to 300 million shares ($73 billion value).Bank of America: Sold $14 billion in shares.Citigroup: Sold $3 billion, reducing its stake to $1 billion.Major Purchases in 2024Chubb: $7 billion investment.Occidental Petroleum: $13 billion, raising its stake to 30%.Constellation Brands (alcohol producer): $1 billion investment.Missed Market GainsApple sale price: ~$185/share → Current price: $244/share, leading to an estimated $35 billion in missed gains.Bank of America sale price: ~$40/share → Current price: $47/share.Strategic Positioning & Market SentimentDespite underperforming in short-term trades, Buffett has historically positioned Berkshire against market bubbles, including the 1990s dot-com boom, where he was ultimately proven right.Berkshire’s cash reserves hit $310 billion as of Q3 2024, likely higher by year-end due to continued stock sales.Berkshire Class A shares rose 6.5% YTD, outperforming the S&P 500 by 2 percentage points.While some criticize Buffett’s timing, long-term investors remain confident in his conservative approach, especially given Berkshire’s ability to deploy massive capital during market downturns.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
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Neutral
Neutral
BRK.B
Berkshire Hathaway Class B
+1
user
셀스마트 판다
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4 months ago
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Gold Prices Surge with Strong Outlook (Mar 18, 2025)
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Neutral
Neutral
411060
ACE KRX Physical Gold
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셀스마트 판다
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4 months ago
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Gold Prices Surge with Strong Outlook (Mar 18, 2025)
1. Gold Rally and Economic UncertaintyBank of America (BofA), Citigroup, and Macquarie Group have issued bullish forecasts on gold as it surpasses $3,000 per ounce. Central banks' large-scale purchases, combined with strong buying from China, have nearly doubled gold prices over two years. Rising demand for safe-haven assets has further increased investor interest.Economic instability driven by Donald Trump’s trade policies has led to a decline in consumer confidence and rising inflation, further fueling the rally. Macquarie has raised its gold price target to $3,500.2. Gold ETF Inflows SurgeAfter four years of net outflows, gold-backed ETFs have turned positive in 2024. February’s inflows into North American gold ETFs reached the highest level since July 2020.Citigroup attributes this shift to economic slowdown concerns, prompting U.S. households to diversify their portfolios with gold ETFs. While retail investor participation remains limited, further inflows could drive prices even higher.3. Stock Market Risks and Short-Term Volatility in GoldHistorically, gold rises during economic uncertainty. However, if equity markets crash, investors may sell gold holdings to cover losses, leading to short-term corrections.TD Securities warns that, similar to the 2008-09 financial crisis and 2020 pandemic, a sharp risk-off event could temporarily push gold prices lower. Nevertheless, BofA remains bullish, expecting gold to reach $3,500 in the long run.4. Rising Real Interest Rates Fail to Dampen Gold DemandTypically, rising real interest rates reduce gold demand. However, in this rally, gold prices have surged despite higher rates.Macquarie attributes this anomaly to growing government debt and fiscal deficits, which are boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against sovereign credit risks. Some investors are shifting funds from developed market bonds to gold, viewing it as a safer alternative.5. Central Bank Gold Buying ContinuesThe primary driver of gold’s 2024 rally has been central bank purchases. According to the World Gold Council, central banks added 18 tons of gold in January alone.China’s central bank has increased its holdings for four consecutive months, reaching 73.61 million ounces. Goldman Sachs expects strong central bank demand and rising investor inflows to push gold to $3,100 by year-end.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
article
Neutral
Neutral
411060
ACE KRX Physical Gold
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5 months ago
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Bleakonomics(March 30, 2008)
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Strong Sell
Strong Sell
133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
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5 months ago
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Bleakonomics(March 30, 2008)
Since the bank runs of the 1930s, federal protection of retail depositor institutions has been a hallmark of American capitalism. The Federal Reserve, in a sweeping extension, has now extended the privilege to gilt-edged investment firms.Its flurry of interventions has prompted a double dose of unease. The central bank offered a lifeline to Wall Street investors who, seemingly, deserved a worse fate. And it arguably interrupted the cycle of boom, bust and renewal that leads to a durable recovery.What is the true value of Bear Stearns? If the government-orchestrated takeover of Bear goes through as planned, we will never know. As with Bear, so with the billions of dollars of mortgage securities for which the central bank has suddenly become an eager customer. So, too, perhaps, with the nation’s stock of residential homes — the prices of which, instead of reverting to more realistic values, will get a boost from the Fed’s repeated rounds of interest rate-cutting.Government interventions always bring disruptions, but when Washington meddles in financial markets, the potential for the sort of distortion that obscures proper incentives is especially large, due to our markets’ complexities. Even Robert Rubin, the Citigroup executive and former Treasury secretary, has admitted he had never heard of a type of contract responsible for major problems at Citi.Bear is a far smaller company, and, it would seem, far simpler. But consider that as recently as three weeks ago, it was valued at $65 a share. Then, as it became clear that Bear faced the modern equivalent of a bank run,JPMorgan Chase negotiated a merger with the figure of $10 a share in mind. Alas, at the 11th hour, Morgan’s bankers realized they couldn’t get a handle on what Bear owned — or owed — and got cold feet. Under heavy pressure from the Fed and the Treasury, a deal was struck at the price of a subway ride — $2 a share.It is safe to say that neither Jamie Dimon, Morgan’s chief executive, nor Ben Bernanke, the Fed chairman who pushed for the deal, know what Bear is really worth. For the record, Bear’s book value per share is $84. As Meredith Whitney, who follows Wall Street for Oppenheimer, remarked, “It’s hard to get a linear progression from 84 to 2.”Capitalism isn’t supposed to work like this, and before the advent of modern finance, it usually didn’t. Market values fluctuate, but — in the absence of fraud — billion-dollar companies do not evaporate. Yet it’s worth noting that Lehman Brothers’ stock also fell by half and then recovered within a 24-hour span. Once, investors could get a read on financial firms’ assets and risks from their balance sheets; those days are history.Firms now do much of their business off the balance sheet. The swashbuckling Bear Stearns was a party to $2.5 trillion — no typo — of a derivative instrument known as a credit default swap. Such swaps are off-the-books agreements with third parties to exchange sums of cash according to a motley assortment of other credit indicators. In truth, no outsider could understand what Bear (or Citi, or Lehman) was committed to. The thought that Bear’s counterparties (the firms on the other side of that $2.5 trillion) would call in their chits — and then cancel their trades with Lehman, perhaps with Merrill Lynch and so forth — sent Wall Street into panic mode. Had Bear collapsed, or so asserted a veteran employee, “it would have been the end: pandemonium and global meltdown.”It is true that Bear’s shareholders have suffered steep losses. But the Fed went much further than in previous episodes to calm the waters. Notably, it announced it would accept mortgage securities as collateral for loans — enlarging its role as lender of last resort. (Wall Street jesters had it that the Fed would also be accepting “cereal box-tops.”) Then the Fed extended a backstop line of credit to JPMorgan to tide Bear over; finally, it agreed to absorb the ugliest $30 billion of Bear’s assets.Government rescues are as old as private enterprise itself, but we are well beyond the days of guaranteeing loans to stodgy manufacturers à la Chrysler and Lockheed. Those cases were contained; the borders of finance are more nebulous. However pure of motive, Bernanke & Co. are underwriting overleveraged markets whose linkages, even today, are dimly understood. The formula of laissez faire in advance and intervention in the aftermath has it exactly wrong. Better that the Fed, with Congress’s help if need be, ensures that regulators and markets have the tools to know what companies are worth before the trouble hits.
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Strong Sell
Strong Sell
133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
Event
user
박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
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WorldCom's financial bomb(June 26, 2002)
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Sell
Sell
133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
+2
user
박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
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WorldCom's financial bomb(June 26, 2002)
NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Confidence in Corporate America hit new lows Wednesday as President Bush, Congress and other federal regulators vowed to investigate WorldCom while securities analysts forecast bankruptcy for the latest firm to fool investors with inflated profits. WorldCom, which will downwardly restate financial results in one of the biggest accounting scandals in history, joins Enron, Global Crossing and Tyco International among the tarnished success stories of the 1990s. graphic graphic Save a link to this article and return to it at www.savethis.comSave a link to this article and return to it at www.savethis.com Email a link to this articleEmail a link to this article Printer-friendly version of this articlePrinter-friendly version of this article View a list of the most popular articles on our siteView a list of the most popular articles on our site graphic graphic "No one blow is going to be terminal," said Pete Peterson, the chairman of Blackstone Group "But this is another very serious one. All this does is add to the increasing loss of confidence in our systems." Peterson leads a group of investors that includes the heads of TIAA-CREF, the big pension fund and Vanguard, the mutual fund company, that are drawing up corporate governance recommendations. Bush Wednesday promised a full investigation into WorldCom's accounting problems following word that the No 2 long-distance telephone provider improperly booked $3.8 billion over the past five quarters. The mis-accounting made earnings look better than they really were. "We will fully investigate and hold all people accountable for misleading not only shareholders but employees as well," said Bush, who called the news "outrageous." "Those entrusted with shareholders' money must strive for the highest of standards." Hours later, the SEC filed a civil lawsuit against WorldCom, charging the company with fraud. "We're seeking orders that will prevent any dissipation of assets or payouts to senior corporate officers past or present, and preventing any destruction of documents," SEC chairman Harvey Pitt said in New York. The Federal Communications Commission is also taking some steps in the scandal. FCC Chairman Michael Powell said Wednesday that he was "deeply concerned" by the WorldCom developments and their impact on the telecom industry. Powell said he will travel to New York on Friday and meet with a variety of telephone industry officials, analysts and debt-rating agencies to assess the challenges facing industry. "We are closely monitoring the situation and are doing everything possible to ensure and protect both the stability of the telecommunications network and the quality of service to consumers," Powell said in a statement. Investors Wednesday could not trade WorldCom shares, which were halted after falling more than 98 percent from their all-time high through Tuesday. But the overall stock market ended little changed, recovering from an earlier tumble. The Justice Department is also looking into WorldCom, a spokesman said at a midday briefing, joining a Congressional panel, which vowed an inquiry of its own. Memories of Enron The latest accounting misdeeds unnerved investors leery about the accuracy of corporate profits after the collapse of Enron Corp., which filed the biggest bankruptcy in the United States last December. Arthur Andersen LLP, found guilty earlier this month of obstructing justice in the Enron case, signed off on WorldCom's books. "Our senior management team is shocked by these discoveries," WorldCom CEO John Sidgmore, who was appointed in April, said in a statement. "We are committed to operating WorldCom in accordance with the highest ethical standards." The news late Tuesday from WorldCom prompted industry analysts to say the heavily indebted long-distance provider might file for bankruptcy protection from creditors. WorldCom is looking for about $4 billion in financing but some of its main bank lenders, including Bank of America, J.P. Morgan and Citigroup, are refusing to loan them any more, banking sources told CNN/Money. "They will have to file bankruptcy in a matter of days," a person familiar with the situation said. But other bankers close to the situation said it was too early to say whether WorldCom will file for bankruptcy soon. graphic Related stories The death of confidence The last straw Analysts punish telecoms In addition to describing improper accounting, WorldCom said it would cut 17,000 jobs, about a quarter of its work force, and fired Chief Financial Officer Scott Sullivan. David Myers, senior vice president and controller, resigned. The company, based in Clinton, Miss., said an internal audit showed that expenses of $3.1 billion for 2001 and nearly $800 million for the first quarter of 2002 were improperly accounted for. WorldCom said restating the expenses to account for their true costs would cut reported cash flow -- or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and other items -- for last year and the first quarter of 2002. While CEO Sidgmore said the company remains "viable and committed to a long-term future,"Adam Quinton, who covers WorldCom for Merrill Lynch, said the developments bring the company closer to bankruptcy. "This only adds to investor wariness," said Quinton, who advises investors to sell shares. Nervous times WorldCom's revelations may deter already reluctant customers from buying communications services. And its access to existing lines of credit may also dry up as banks demand repayment. "The development brings into serious question the company's ability to close on a new bank deal and it raises the likelihood the company will file for Chapter 11 [bankruptcy protection]," Marc Crossman, who follows the company for J.P. Morgan, wrote in a note to clients Wednesday morning. But one banker close to the situation said that WorldCom has $2 billion in cash that they have yet to burn through, making bankruptcy unlikely. "This is vastly different from Enron," the person said. "The $2 billion will last them several months." The SEC said WorldCom had committed "accounting improprieties of unprecedented magnitude" -- proof, it said, of the need for reform in the regulation of corporate accounting. To finance that reform, the House voted overwhelmingly Wednesday to authorize a 77 percent boost in the SEC's budget, raising it to $776 million for the fiscal year beginning Oct. 1. Elsewhere, the chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee said he ordered a separate WorldCom probe. "Clearly, it was an orchestrated effort to mislead investors and regulators, and I am determined to get to the bottom of it," said committee chairman Billy Tauzin, R-La. The accounting mishap comes during a tough time for WorldCom, which could face Nasdaq delisting if its share price remains below $1. The company's market value had tumbled to $2.7 billion at the close of trading Tuesday, from about $125 billion in mid-1999. Salomon Smith Barney Telecom Analyst Jack Grubman -- who had been perhaps the most bullish analyst on WorldCom -- cut his rating to "underperform" just a day before the company's announcement Tuesday. WorldCom said it asked its new auditors, KPMG LLP, to undertake a comprehensive audit of the company's financial statements for 2001 and 2002. The company will reissue unaudited financial statements for 2001 and for the first quarter of 2002 as soon as it can. John Hodulik, who covers WorldCom for UBS Warburg, said the restatement should reduce WorldCom Inc.'s reported 2001 "cash flow" by 32.5 percent to $6.3 billion and first quarter results by 36.9 percent to $797 million. "We are unable to provide a realistic price target until we have reliable financials," said Hodulik, who rates the company's stock a "hold." Click here for a look at what other analysts are saying about WorldCom. Selling assets In addition to the 17,000 job cuts, the company said it is selling a series of non-core businesses, part of a plan to save $2 billion. WorldCom stock began falling in late 1999 as businesses slashed spending on telecom services and equipment. A series of debt downgrades this year have raised borrowing costs for WorldCom, which is struggling with about $32 billion in debt. WorldCom said it has no debt maturing during the next two quarters. Former WorldCom CEO Bernie Ebbers resigned in April amid questions about $366 million in personal loans from the company and a federal probe of its accounting practices. WorldCom, whose shares once traded near $64 in 1999, tumbled to 21 cents in before-hours trading, down from Tuesday's regular-hours close of 83 cents. 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article
Sell
Sell
133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
+2
Economy & Strategy
user
셀스마트 자민
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4 months ago
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Citigroup Raises Copper Price Forecast Amid U.S. Tariff Speculation (Mar 13, 2025)
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Neutral
Neutral
160580
Mirae Asset TIGER Physical Copper ETF
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셀스마트 자민
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4 months ago
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Citigroup Raises Copper Price Forecast Amid U.S. Tariff Speculation (Mar 13, 2025)
Copper prices are surging amid growing concerns over potential U.S. import tariffs. Following President Donald Trump’s recent move to initiate an investigation under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, investors are increasingly worried about prolonged global supply shortages.In response to the tariff review announcement, Citigroup has revised its Q2 copper price forecast upward. Initially, the bank had projected copper prices at $8,500 per tonne for Q2. However, in a recent report, Citi analysts indicated that tightening global supply conditions could push prices above $10,000 per tonne in the short term until the U.S. finalizes its tariff decision. Similarly, Morgan Stanley has also forecasted continued price increases driven by potential U.S. tariffs.The global copper market is already under supply pressure. Major commodity traders are rushing to ship copper to the U.S. before the tariffs take effect, further fueling price spikes. On the London Metal Exchange (LME), copper prices have reached an all-time high, trading at approximately $10,071 per tonne ($4.87 per pound).[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.
article
Neutral
Neutral
160580
Mirae Asset TIGER Physical Copper ETF
user
박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
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Nasdaq plummets. Index posts 7th largest point loss; strong retail sales data fuels rate hike fears(Dec 14, 1997)
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Strong Sell
Strong Sell
133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
+3
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박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
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Nasdaq plummets. Index posts 7th largest point loss; strong retail sales data fuels rate hike fears(Dec 14, 1997)
U.S. stocks ended lower Tuesday, with the Nasdaq composite plunging late in the session. The index, along with the broader market, languished in negative territory throughout the day after a stronger-than-expected retail sales report ignited interest rate fears.    In addition, sharp losses in the bond market weighed on stocks.    "When the bond market sold off, it caused a drastic reaction in the tech sector and the Nasdaq. There is no company news to account for the big drop,� said Alan Skrainka, chief market strategist at Edward Jones.    The Nasdaq composite index tumbled 86.51 points, or 2.36 percent, to 3,571.66. The drop was the seventh largest point loss in the history of the index.    The Dow Jones industrial average fell 32.42 to 11,160.17, and the S&P 500 index retreated 12.05 to 1,403.17.    Breadth was negative on the New York Stock Exchange with losers widely beating gainers 2,024 to 1,069. Trading volume reached a heavy 1 billion shares.    Treasury prices plunged following the retail sales report, with the benchmark 30-year bond losing more than a point, raising its yield to 6.29 percent from 6.19 percent late Monday.    In currency markets, the dollar rose against both the yen and the euro.    Investors digest key economic news    Market participants digested conflicting data on the U.S. economy. The strong retail sales report sparked some interest-rate worries despite a separate report pointing to tame inflation.    Analysts said inflation was holding steady following the Consumer Price Index release. The CPI, a measure of inflation at the retail level, rose 0.1 percent in November, the Labor Department said. The number was less than analysts� expectations of a 0.2 percent gain. The core rate, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2 percent, in line with expectations.    But retail sales data were more troublesome. Retail sales advanced at a 0.9 percent pace in November, well above economists� expectations of a 0.5 percent increase, fueling some concerns about rate hikes.    Gary Schlossberg, senior economist at Wells Capital Management, said retail sales were the real surprise. "The retail sales number implies consumer spending is running well above its long-term average,� he said.    The two reports are significant, analysts noted, since they are the last key economic releases that Federal Reserve policy makers will have to consider in determining interest rates at their Dec. 21 meeting.    The economic news particularly weighed on financial stocks. The sector is highly sensitive to interest rates due to the stronger probability of borrowers defaulting on their loans when interest rates rise, therefore hurting corporate earnings.    Among the Dow components, American Express (AXP) fell 5-13/16 to 160-1/2, Citigroup (C) retreated 1-13/16 to 53-1/2 and J.P. Morgan (JPM) declined 3-5/16 to 131-1/4.    Nasdaq tumbles    In a late selloff, the Nasdaq plunged after languishing in negative territory throughout the session. Analysts noted a lack of leadership weighed on the market, particularly in the usually strong technology sector.    "All the sizzling hot stocks are taking a breather. Investors are reluctant to look elsewhere when the hot stocks are down,� said Charles Payne, head analyst at Wall Street Strategies.    The weakness in technology followed the Nasdaq�s 52nd record close of the year Monday. Analysts said many participants were willing to stay on the sidelines.    However, many strategists were unconcerned by Tuesday�s market performance. Michael Carty, stock market strategist at New Millennium Advisors, a New York investment firm, said the losses would not be long lasting.    "The economy is very strong and interest rates are likely to remain stable. There are many stocks out there with strong potential earnings,� he said.    Among the top Nasdaq gainers, 3Com Corp. (COMS), the world's second-largest maker of computer networking products, surged 5-13/16, or nearly 13 percent, to 50-5/8 after the company filed an initial public offering for its Palm Computing unit. Palm makes the No. 1 electronic organizer.    But 3Com rivals suffered. Cisco Systems (CSCO) retreated 3-1/4 to 97-15/16, and Lucent Technologies (LU) dipped 2-1/2 to 77-1/4.    Internet issues were in the red despite reports of some potential partnerships with major retailers. Yahoo! (YHOO) and the nation�s No. 3 retailer Kmart (KM) are expected to unveil an alliance to offer co-branded Internet access, according to the Wall Street Journal. Yahoo! fell 17-15/16 to 333-1/8, while Kmart rose 9/16 to 12-1/16.    The report follows speculation of a potential marketing alliance between America Online (AOL) and Wal-Mart Stores (WMT), the world's No. 1 retailer. AOL slumped 5-3/4 to 88-1/4 and Wal-Mart, a component of the Dow industrials, inched down 15/16 to 67-1/16.    The blue chips benefited from gains to Dow component Microsoft (MSFT). Its stock advanced 2-1/16 to 98-11/16 amid rumors that the world's No. 1 software company may be near a settlement of the U.S. government�s landmark antitrust case. However, a Justice Department spokeswoman told CNNfn the rumors were unfounded.���
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Strong Sell
Strong Sell
133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
+3
user
박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
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The World Economy Risks Turning Too Hot to Handle(2018년 3월 16일)
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133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
+1
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박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
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The World Economy Risks Turning Too Hot to Handle(2018년 3월 16일)
The world economy risks growing too fast for its own good.Group of 20 finance ministers and central bankers meet next week in Argentina amid the broadest and strongest economic upswing since 2011, with President Donald Trump’s tax cuts adding a dose of accelerant. They convene days after the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development raised its forecasts to show global growth of 3.9 percent this year and next.For policy makers and investors, the key questions are how much faster can the world grow -- and do they even want it to if overheating means an inflationary boom is followed by another bust.Global growth has only matched or bettered 3.9 percent 8 times since 1990 and HSBC Holdings Plc notes every synchronized upswing since then presaged an abrupt shock. The peak of 5.6 percent in 2007 was followed by the financial crisis a year later.“When lots of countries are growing strongly, the global economy is at its most vulnerable, thanks to heightened interest rate and financial risks,” said Stephen King, senior economic adviser at HSBC.In a study of 50 economies published last month, King observed that the credit-crunch recession hit the U.S. in 1990 after a period of robust global demand and then bond markets collapsed in 1994 following another growth spurt. The next boom in 1997 came before the Asia crisis and then the world was buoyant from 2004 to 2007 until the worst recession since the Great Depression.Signs are already appearing that activity is now looking toppish as the Federal Reserve and other central banks tighten monetary policy, China curbs borrowing and Trump implements tariffs. Citigroup Inc. calculates data in major economies are currently undershooting forecasts by the most since September and measures of manufacturing confidence appear to be cresting, albeit at lofty levels.“Even though the sun still shines in the global economy, there are more clouds on the horizon,” International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said in a blog post addressed to G-20 policy makers. “Think of the growing concerns over trade tensions, the recent spike in volatility in financial markets, and more uncertain geopolitics.”The fear of a trade war will be high on the agenda in Buenos Aires, with Bloomberg Economics estimating such an event could wipe $470 billion off the world economy by 2020.Read more on the risks associated with a global trade warInvestors seem placated for now. Global stocks were roiled in January amid concern a pickup in U.S. inflation would force central banks to react, yet subsequent data showed price pressures remain muted even as companies keep hiring.“Overheating -- in the form of a sharp pick-up in inflation -- is still a good way into the future,” Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance, said of the U.S.In a report to clients on Thursday, Nomura Holdings Inc. economist Andrew Cates wrote that there is “plenty of scope for this cycle to mature” because tightening labor markets and stronger demand should prompt companies to invest and productivity to advance, allowing the global expansion to continue.There could still be trouble ahead.In the U.S., tax cuts and government spending are stoking demand but could end up provoking the Fed into raising interest rates more aggressively than policy makers now plan, risking another fallout in financial markets. Unemployment is already at 4.1 percent and could fall further.Fitch Ratings said on Thursday that “booming” global conditions will trigger central banks to raise interest rates.“The Fed will need to move rates materially higher over the next few years to head off overheating risk two to three years out,” said Krishna Guha, vice chairman at Evercore ISI in Washington.Still, incoming White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow urged the Fed not to “overdo it” in raising interest rates: “Growth is not inflationary. Just let it rip, for heaven’s sake,” he told CNBC in an interview.
article
Sell
Sell
133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
+1
user
박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
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Morgan Stanley in Talks With Wachovia, Others(Sept. 18, 2008)
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Strong Sell
Strong Sell
133690
Mirae Asset TIGER NASDAQ100 ETF
user
박재훈투영인
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5 months ago
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Morgan Stanley in Talks With Wachovia, Others(Sept. 18, 2008)
Morgan Stanley sought shelter from the growing financial storm Wednesday, entering preliminary merger talks with Wachovia Corp. and other banks as a seventh straight decline in the company's share price sent the stock to its lowest level since 1998.After a harrowing day, Morgan Stanley's shares finished down $6.95, or 24%, to $21.75. Goldman Sachs Group, the largest U.S. investment bank by market value, also fell $18.51, or 14%, to $114.50.While the situation is more acute at Morgan Stanley, the two Wall Street banks are both battling extraordinary market pressures that have already pushed stable franchises such as Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co. into bankruptcy protection or hasty merger deals. At Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, two of the oldest and most successful investment banks, market confidence withered in the past 24 hours for firms that were once trusted and envied.As employees stared at their trading screens and television sets, a sense of disbelief hung over people who had thought themselves largely insulated from credit-market fears. "I've lost more than half my net worth in a month," said one Goldman employee.The perception hurting investment-bank shares is that they can no longer rely on jittery global markets to replenish the cash necessary to fund their trading and lending businesses. That has forced the companies' borrowing costs higher, which means, ultimately, it will likely become prohibitively expensive for them to fund their businesses.Commercial banks such as Wachovia are perceived as more stable, creating strong incentive for investment banks to link up with them, as Merrill Lynch did earlier this week with Bank of America Corp. But even some retail banks are under attack, such as the large savings-and-loan Washington Mutual Inc., which was exploring its own deal Wednesday with several other banks. WaMu has received expressions of interest from Wells Fargo & Co., Citigroup Inc. and other large banks, including one based outside the U.S., according to people familiar with the situation.Inside Morgan Stanley there was a growing feeling that the firm's chief executive, John Mack, would have to explore a merger or outside investment. Just 10 days ago Mr. Mack said in a Fortune magazine interview that he was "not thinking about selling the firm."But markets have moved with such force that yesterday Mr. Mack fielded a call from Wachovia CEO Robert Steel about a potential tie-up. Messrs. Mack and Steel both attended Duke University and have been on its board of trustees for more than a decade. Mr. Mack grew up in Mooresville, N.C., about 30 miles from Charlotte, N.C., where Wachovia is based.A spokeswoman for Morgan Stanley said that the firm is "focused on solutions" to address the falling stock price. Wachovia declined to comment.As much as Morgan Stanley is suffering, Wachovia faces its own uncertain future. Saddled with a mountain of troubled adjustable-rate mortgages inherited through its 2006 takeover of Golden West Financial Corp., Wachovia has seen its financial condition weaken and its stock price plunge. After the disastrous Golden West acquisition, few Wachovia shareholders are likely to relish the idea of another huge deal, particularly one with another battered financial institution.Morgan Stanley is also exploring preliminary tie-ups with a range of other banks around the globe, say people familiar with the matter. Morgan Stanley may well remain independent, but if a deal were struck it could come with the likes of HSBC Holdings PLC of the U.K., Banco Santander SA of Spain, Japan's Nomura Holdings Inc., a Chinese financial institution or a domestic partner such as Bank of New York Mellon Corp., say the people familiar with the matter.Mr. Mack also took another tack Wednesday. He dialed U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Christopher Cox, as well as Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein, to discuss how to stop the rapid decline in the two firms' share price. The two firms didn't discuss a merger but focused instead on how to stop short sellers betting on a decline in Goldman and Morgan shares, people familiar with the matter said.Mr. Mack entertained the idea of a lockup with Merrill Lynch last weekend as banking executives met at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to discuss the future of Lehman Brothers, but Merrill wanted to move too quickly for Mr. Mack, according to people familiar with the matter.Goldman Sachs has publicly toed a much more independent line in recent weeks. Its share price hasn't fallen as much as Morgan Stanley's, but its latest quarterly earnings report was its worst since 2005. The company says it has managed risk better than many commercial banks. Goldman officials add that commercial banks use the same funding markets as Goldman and Morgan Stanley do for large parts of their businesses.Mr. Mack and his fellow executives had hoped that their stock price would react better to the company's earnings announcement this week. The company's profits and net revenue topped even Goldman Sachs, which has avoided the blowups suffered by many peers.But after the earnings announcement late Tuesday afternoon caused initial enthusiasm among investors, Morgan Stanley shares resumed their downward march Wednesday. They continued lower even after the SEC announced that new restrictions would be placed on investors who bet on declines in share prices.
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Italy debt concerns plague world markets(July 11, 2011)
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Italy debt concerns plague world markets(July 11, 2011)
World markets slumped Monday, as fears about debt crises plagued both Europe and the United States.Italy in particular, was shoved into the spotlight. Public sparring last week between Italy's prime minister, Silvio Berlusconi, and finance minister Giulio Tremonti heightened fears that the debt crisis in Greece and Portugal was spreading to the continent's third-largest economy."Beware." Tremonti was quoted as saying by Italian newspapers, in response to rumors that he might resign. "If I fall, then Italy falls. If Italy falls, then so falls the euro. It is a chain."Global investors are concerned that Tremonti -- credited with saving Italy from the worst of the euro zone's debt crisis -- will be forced out of the government, after his push for steep spending cuts was met with resistance from the prime minister and other cabinet members.That raises fears that Italy's government is not as committed to enacting necessary austerity measures, as Greece or other debt-stricken euro zone countries."What we need to see in Italy is some concrete and clear demonstration that they're not going to be backsliding on austerity -- and that Tremonti will not lose his job," said Peter Westaway, chief European economist with Nomura.Check world marketsIn what Italian media dubbed "Black Friday," Italian stocks and bond yields plummeted at the end of last week, and trading was suspended for some Italian bank stocks following sharp sell-offs."What we're seeing over the last few days in Italy is investors are already starting to speculate against Italy," Westaway said. "I don't think policymakers can sit on their hands any longer and just hope contagion doesn't happen."The selling continued Monday amid fears that those banks won't be able to pass euro zone stress tests -- the results of which will be published Friday. Of the 91 European banks that will undergo the stress tests, about 15 are expected to fail.Shares of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) fell more than 5%, while shares of Bank of Ireland (IRE), Barclays (BCS) and Deutsche Bank (DB) all slumped more than 4%.Jitters about the debt crisis spilled over to Europe's major stock indexes, sending Britain's FTSE 100 (UKX) down 1%, Germany's DAX (DAX) falling 2.3% and France's CAC 40 (CAC40) tumbling 2.7%.The European Council called an emergency meeting Monday to discuss the continent's debt crisis, ahead of an already scheduled meeting of the eurozone's 17 finance ministers.Why a problematic Portugal mattersMoody's Investors Service downgraded Portugal's debt last week, and two weeks ago, Greece agreed to implement painful austerity measures in exchange for another round of bailout funding.U.S. markets: American investors got little comfort from lawmakers, who failed to strike a deal on raising the government's debt ceiling.Ratings agencies have warned, If the ceiling isn't raised by Aug. 2, the country's pristine credit rating could fall, potentially sending shock waves rippling through the world economy.In midday trading, the Dow Jones industrial average (INDU), the S&P 500 (SPX) and the Nasdaq (COMP) were all down more than 1%, with shares of JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) and Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) all down roughly 3%.Asian markets: Stocks ended the day mostly lower in Asia, as investors mulled over reports on China's inflation rate and trade balance.The Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong tumbled 1.7% and Japan's Nikkei 225 (NKY) fell 0.7%. But the Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) in China inched up 0.2%. 
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