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Company NameCORE16 Inc.

CEODavid Cho

Business Registration Number762-81-03235

Address83, Uisadang-daero, Yeongdeungpo-gu, Seoul, 07325, Republic of KOREA

Caterpillar

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셀스마트 대니

📉 S&P 500 Stocks with Over 10% Target Price Downgrade in the 4th Week of March (WSD, WST, CAT)

article

Strong Sell

CAT

Caterpillar

+2

셀스마트 대니

📉 S&P 500 Stocks with Over 10% Target Price Downgrade in the 4th Week of March (WSD, WST, CAT)

Over the past 8 weeks (from Jan 24 to Mar 21, 2025), analyst reports covering major S&P 500 companies revealed several stocks whose target prices were revised downward by more than 10%.This is interpreted as a reflection of changes in company fundamentals, macroeconomic factors, and shifts in industry competition. From a sell-side perspective, such target price cuts may indicate short-term downside pressure, suggesting that investors should consider proper risk management and exit strategies.Below are details of companies with target prices lowered by more than 10% compared to 8 weeks ago. Each company's target price as of Jan 24 and Mar 21, 2025, is provided, along with the percentage decrease.1. Western Digital (WDC-US)Target Price (Mar 21, 2025): $76Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $88Change: -13.6%Key Issue: Short-term demand weakness and falling prices in the memory semiconductor market are pressuring the company’s revenue and profitability.2. West Pharmaceutical Services (WST-US)Target Price (Mar 21, 2025): $281Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $377Change: -25.5%Key Issue: Rising raw material costs in the pharmaceutical and medical device sectors, combined with weakening competitiveness of its product portfolio, are weighing on the company’s earnings outlook.3. Caterpillar (CAT-US)Target Price (Mar 21, 2025): $195Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $390Change: -50.0%Key Issue: Mounting concerns over a global economic slowdown are significantly affecting demand in the construction and mining equipment sectors. Delays in infrastructure investment and supply chain uncertainties are major contributors to the substantial target price cut.While the reasons and extent of the target price downgrades vary by company, they broadly reflect macro-level risks such as recession concerns, supply chain issues, cost inflation, and intensifying industry competition. In some cases, structural changes in the respective industries (e.g., EV battery demand volatility, semiconductor market conditions) played a significant role.From a sell-side strategy perspective, these stocks are likely to face near-term downward momentum. Investors should consider adjusting their portfolio exposures or evaluating short-position strategies. Volatility could also increase depending on upcoming earnings announcements, interest rate movements, and macroeconomic indicators, so a flexible approach aligned with market trends is essential.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

article

Strong Sell

CAT

Caterpillar

+2

셀스마트 대니

📉 S&P 500 Stocks with Over 10% Target Price Downgrade in the 4th Week of March (HPE, MRNA, FSLR, CPB, NTAP, CAT)

article

Strong Sell

CAT

Caterpillar

+5

셀스마트 대니

📉 S&P 500 Stocks with Over 10% Target Price Downgrade in the 4th Week of March (HPE, MRNA, FSLR, CPB, NTAP, CAT)

Over the past four weeks (from Feb 21 to Mar 21, 2025), analyst reports indicate that a number of S&P 500 companies have had their target prices downgraded by more than 10%.This reflects a combination of changes in company fundamentals, macroeconomic variables, and shifts in industry competition. From a sell-side perspective, such target price downgrades can signal short-term downside pressure on stock prices, meaning investors should consider appropriate risk management or sell strategies.Below is a summary of stocks whose target prices have been revised down by more than 10% compared to four weeks ago. For each company, the target prices as of Feb 21 and Mar 21, 2025 are provided along with the percentage decline.1. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE-US)Target Price (Mar 21, 2025): $20Target Price (Feb 21, 2025): $24Change: -16.7%Key Issue: Weakened demand for enterprise IT infrastructure and intensified competition in the cloud market are seen as weighing on the company’s growth outlook.2. Moderna (MRNA-US)Target Price (Mar 21, 2025): $52Target Price (Feb 21, 2025): $59Change: -11.9%Key Issue: Declining demand for COVID-19 vaccines and uncertainty surrounding new drug pipeline developments are affecting investor sentiment.3. First Solar (FSLR-US)Target Price (Mar 21, 2025): $242Target Price (Feb 21, 2025): $269Change: -10.0%Key Issue: Fluctuations in raw material prices within the solar industry and potential subsidy cuts are seen weakening the company's profitability outlook.4. The Campbell’s Company (CPB-US)Target Price (Mar 21, 2025): $48Target Price (Feb 21, 2025): $43Change: -10.4%Key Issue: Slowing consumer demand and rising food input costs are pressuring profitability, while intensifying competition is adding to margin compression.5. NetApp (NTAP-US)Target Price (Mar 21, 2025): $121Target Price (Feb 21, 2025): $137Change: -11.7%Key Issue: Growing competition in the data storage and cloud solutions market is seen as a key factor limiting growth prospects.6. Caterpillar (CAT-US)Target Price (Mar 21, 2025): $195Target Price (Feb 21, 2025): $386Change: -49.5%Key Issue: Concerns over a global economic slowdown are strongly reflected here. Delays in infrastructure investment and ongoing supply chain uncertainty are major reasons behind the substantial downgrade.While the reasons and extent of target price downgrades vary by company, overall, these revisions reflect common macroeconomic risks, such as economic recession fears, supply chain uncertainties, rising costs, intensifying competition.Additionally, some companies are affected by structural industry changes, such as fluctuations in EV battery demand and semiconductor industry trends.From a sell-side perspective, stocks experiencing significant target price cuts could face short-term downside pressure. Investors should consider risk management strategies, including portfolio rebalancing, short positions, market-driven adjustments – Stay alert to upcoming earnings reports, interest rate changes, and key economic indicators, as these can significantly impact volatility.By aligning investment decisions with broader market trends, investors can navigate these shifts with greater flexibility and strategic foresight.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

article

Strong Sell

CAT

Caterpillar

+5

박재훈투영인

Caterpillar’s Fortunes Are Tied to Those of the Global Economy(Oct 29, 2019)

article

Sell

CAT

Caterpillar

+2

박재훈투영인

Caterpillar’s Fortunes Are Tied to Those of the Global Economy(Oct 29, 2019)

In Caterpillar’s 3Q 2019 earnings call, the company announced a 6% year-over-year drop in sales and revenues for the third quarter, the first quarterly decline in nearly three years. CEO Jim Umpleby attributed the decline to a sharp reduction in dealer inventories in anticipation of lower end-user demand. The company also cut its forecasts for 2019 annual results based on an assumption of continued reductions in dealer inventories and flat customer demand through the fourth quarter.Umpleby cited “uncertainty in the global economic environment” as the primary reason for the increased caution exhibited by both dealers and end-users. Caterpillar breaks down its revenue into four regions: North America, Latin America, EAME, and Asia Pacific. In the third quarter, only Latin America saw an increase in sales and revenues; however, this region accounts for less than 10% of CAT’s total revenues. Sales in the Asia Pacific region shrank by 14% during the quarter, which includes a 29% plummet in sales to construction industries. Umpleby noted that the weakness in the Asia Pacific is outside of their main markets in China and Japan.Caterpillar’s results confirm the most recent global analysis from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The IMF’s October World Economic Outlook shows global GDP growth slowing from 3.6% in 2018 to 3.0% in 2019 and 3.4% in 2020; these projections are significantly lower than the organization’s July’s interim projections. A 3.0% growth rate would be the slowest global growth since the 2008-2009 global economic slowdown. According to the IMF, risks to the global growth outlook skew to the downside as trade barriers and heightened geopolitical tensions disrupt global supply chains and hamper confidence, investment, and growth. This is a negative sign for Caterpillar and other global companies.Persistent alarmist news about tariffs and potential trade wars over the last two years has hurt CAT’s stock. After peaking in early 2018, we have seen a general downward movement in Caterpillar’s stock price (CAT), characterized by dramatic swings in response to news events including the imposition of tariffs on steel and aluminum imports as well as the ups and downs of the U.S.-China trade war. CAT is one of the 30 companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and every time it moves, it brings the entire index with it. As of October 28, CAT is down 18% from its January 22, 2019 peak ($170.89).In 2018, foreign sales accounted for 58.5% of CAT’s total revenue, but this statistic only gives you part of the story. In Q3 2019, 21% of Caterpillar’s revenue was generated in the Asia Pacific region; in fact, FactSet estimates that 5.1% of total revenue is from China. After the United States and Canada, China is the company’s third-biggest market.We can take this global analysis even further. By extracting relationship disclosures from thousands of companies worldwide, FactSet has identified 159 suppliers, 65 customers, and 27 partners that do business with Caterpillar, representing 38 countries around the world. Digging deeper into these numbers, 60.4% of suppliers, 62.5% of customers, and 66.7% of partners are located outside of the United States. Caterpillar has developed a truly global supply chain.In addition, the company employs thousands of people around the world. According to Caterpillar, the company serves 193 countries through its dealer network. The company’s 2018 annual report states that, “we employed about 104,000 full-time persons of whom approximately 59,400 were located outside the United States.”Will Caterpillar Be Able to Weather This Storm?For a company selling large, expensive industrial machinery both domestically and abroad, a global slowdown in industrial activity is a concern. However, Caterpillar and its leadership are well-known for their ability to successfully navigate through troubled economic conditions. Despite the weak third quarter performance and downgrade to the outlook, Caterpillar saw a 1.2% increase in its stock price when it released 3Q earnings on October 23. Analysts appear to have been reassured by the company’s continued strong margins and focus on its cost structure. Undoubtedly, this global powerhouse will find a way to persevere despite growing business obstacles, but the next couple of years are likely to be challenging.

article

Sell

CAT

Caterpillar

+2

박재훈투영인

Outlook for US corporate profits dims as trade war bites(Aug 28, 2019)

article

Sell

박재훈투영인

Outlook for US corporate profits dims as trade war bites(Aug 28, 2019)

Analysts have pared profit expectations for US companies by the most in three years as the trade war with China and a dimming economic outlook weigh on earnings and expansion plans. Companies in the S&P 500 index will increase profits 2.4 per cent on a per-share basis this year, down from the 7.7 per cent growth expected at the start of the year, according to FactSet data. The 5.3 percentage-point drop in full-year earnings expectations marks the largest decline on a year-to-date basis since 2016. “The corporate sector is displaying worrisome symptoms,” Lydia Boussour, senior economist for Oxford Economics, wrote in a note to clients last week. “With global growth slowing sharply, and domestic activity cooling, further profit weakness represents a risk for business investment and hiring — a key support to consumer spending.” Second-quarter profits for companies in the S&P 500 are down 0.4 per cent on a per-share basis with 96 per cent of companies having reported. A contraction would mark an “earnings recession” of two consecutive quarters of negative earnings growth after profits slipped 0.2 per cent in the first quarter, according to FactSet data. Companies that have scaled back profit guidance in the second quarter include Macy’s, Home Depot, Caterpillar and, on Tuesday, pet food company JM Smucker.Please use the sharing tools found via the share button at the top or side of articles. Copying articles to share with others is a breach of FT.com T&Cs and Copyright Policy. Email licensing@ft.com to buy additional rights. Subscribers may share up to 10 or 20 articles per month using the gift article service. More information can be found here. https://www.ft.com/content/aef9b1e2-c90e-11e9-a1f4-3669401ba76fTrade tensions between the US and China escalated last week when Beijing said it was preparing to slap tariffs on $75bn of US imports, and President Donald Trump responded with a plan to increase levies on Chinese goods and what he called an order for US companies to “immediately” find alternatives to China. Shifting US operations out of China would increase costs for companies, said Alicia Levine, chief market strategist for BNY Mellon Investment Management. “Changing supply chains will impact margins,” she said. “Given where the global economy is and the pain points, I expect [corporate profit estimates] will come down.” The lower profit outlook follows anaemic growth in US capital spending this year after a surge in 2018 when lower corporate taxes came into force.

article

Sell

Event

셀스마트 대니

S&P 500 Stocks with Over 10% Target Price Downgrade 📉 (3rd Week of Feb 2025)

article

Strong Sell

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices

+10

셀스마트 대니

S&P 500 Stocks with Over 10% Target Price Downgrade 📉 (3rd Week of Feb 2025)

Over the past four weeks (Jan 24, 2025 – Feb 18, 2025), several major S&P 500 companies have seen their target prices cut by more than 10% in analyst reports.This reflects a combination of fundamental shifts in these companies, macroeconomic factors, and changes in industry competition. From a sell-side perspective, such target price downgrades can signal short-term downward pressure on stock prices, requiring investors to consider appropriate risk management and sell strategies.Below is a list of stocks whose target prices have been cut by more than 10% compared to four weeks ago. For each stock, we provide the target price as of January 24, 2025, and February 18, 2025, along with the percentage decrease.1. Albemarle (ALB-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $292Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $322Decline: -10.7%Key Issue: Concerns over the volatility of the lithium market, a key material for EV batteries, and macroeconomic slowdown have led to a downward revision in sales growth expectations.2. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $148Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $171Decline: -13.5%Key Issue: Weak demand in the PC and data center markets, as well as increased competition and macroeconomic uncertainties, have raised concerns about short-term earnings momentum.3. Biogen (BIIB-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $299Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $342Decline: -12.6%Key Issue: Uncertainty surrounding the clinical results of key drugs and increased competition have led to lower revenue projections. Regulatory risks also remain a concern.4. Caterpillar (CAT-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $195Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $390Decline: -50.0%Key Issue: Concerns over a global economic slowdown affecting the construction and mining equipment market. Delayed infrastructure investments and supply chain uncertainties have been major factors in the target price cut.5. FMC (FMC-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $94Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $123Decline: -23.6%Key Issue: Uncertain demand for agricultural chemicals, rising costs, and intensifying competition have pressured earnings estimates.6. Kraft Heinz (KHC-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $67Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $89Decline: -25.1%Key Issue: Rising raw material costs and shifting consumer spending habits continue to impact the consumer goods sector. While brand strength remains a priority, short-term profitability concerns persist.7. Microchip Technology (MCHP-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $88Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $102Decline: -13.7%Key Issue: While semiconductor industry conditions are expected to improve in the second half of the year, short-term inventory adjustments and reduced capital expenditures have led to a target price downgrade.8. Mondelez International (MDLZ-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $62Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $71Decline: -12.7%Key Issue: Slower growth in global consumer markets and rising input costs are putting pressure on margins. With high exposure to emerging markets, currency fluctuations also pose risks.9. ON Semiconductor (ON-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $77Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $89Decline: -13.5%Key Issue: Despite strong demand for automotive semiconductors, concerns over a potential global economic slowdown and weak IT & consumer electronics demand have led to a downward revision in forecasts.10. Skyworks Solutions (SWKS-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $100Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $120Decline: -16.7%Key Issue: Weakening 5G-related component demand and increasing competition in the smartphone market pose significant risks. There are also concerns about a lack of differentiation compared to competitors.11. West Pharmaceutical (WST-US)Target Price (Feb 18, 2025): $301Target Price (Jan 24, 2025): $377Decline: -20.2%Key Issue: Concerns about raw material supply issues and competitive pressures in the pharmaceutical and medical device industries. Additionally, with the decline of COVID-19-driven demand, revenue growth is expected to slow.While the reasons and extent of target price downgrades vary by company, overall, these revisions reflect common macroeconomic risks, such as economic recession fears, supply chain uncertainties, rising costs, intensifying competition.Additionally, some companies are affected by structural industry changes, such as fluctuations in EV battery demand and semiconductor industry trends.From a sell-side perspective, stocks experiencing significant target price cuts could face short-term downside pressure. Investors should consider risk management strategies, including portfolio rebalancing, short positions, market-driven adjustments – Stay alert to upcoming earnings reports, interest rate changes, and key economic indicators, as these can significantly impact volatility.By aligning investment decisions with broader market trends, investors can navigate these shifts with greater flexibility and strategic foresight.

article

Strong Sell

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices

+10

Economy & Strategy

셀스마트 앤지

Trump’s Tariff Shock: Who's Paying the Price?

article

Neutral

NVDA

NVIDIA

+1

셀스마트 앤지

Trump’s Tariff Shock: Who's Paying the Price?

Trump's tariff headlines have dominated the news cycle and shaken asset markets, but which stocks are taking the biggest hit?Historically, NVIDIA (NVDA) has performed well during rate-cut cycles. Since 2001, NVDA's average 20-day return following a Fed rate cut has been +6.2%. However, despite entering another rate-cutting phase in early 2025, NVDA has underperformed significantly. The key reason? Each time Trump announced or hinted at new tariff measures, NVDA's stock price dropped sharply.Importantly, the ISM Manufacturing Index remains above 50, signaling that the economy is still in expansion—not contraction—territory. This makes it clear that NVDA's recent underperformance is not driven by recession fears, but rather by the negative impact of tariff uncertainty on its stock.Caterpillar (CAT), another stock closely tied to global trade, also showed repeated sell-offs during Trump’s first-term tariff announcements in 2018. However, CAT’s historical sensitivity to interest rates (-6.2% average return after rate hikes in 2018) complicates the interpretation. CAT's decline could be partially explained by monetary policy, while NVDA's recent performance points directly to the tariffs.In short, NVDA's price action defies its usual rate-cut rally pattern, strongly suggesting that tariffs have become the dominant driver behind its recent weakness. Investors should take note that tariff risks may continue to weigh heavily on NVDA and similar trade-sensitive stocks.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

article

Neutral

NVDA

NVIDIA

+1

박재훈투영인

Bad news for the economy can also be bad news for the stock market (Aug 1, 2025)

article

Neutral

NONE

No Relevant Stock

박재훈투영인

Bad news for the economy can also be bad news for the stock market (Aug 1, 2025)

This year, the stock market has shown a paradoxical trend. As economic indicators worsen, a perverse view emerged that bad news could be good news for the market, since it might prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. This idea made some sense when inflation—after a long period—had become the primary market bogeyman amid a slowing economy. However, after the Fed recently decided to keep its short-term rate at the highest level in 20 years, investors are now expressing anxiety over a series of disappointing economic data points.July U.S. Manufacturing Activity: The ISM index dropped 1.7 percentage points from June to 46.8%, signaling an economic contraction (readings below 50% indicate contraction).Unemployment Insurance Claims: First-time filings surged to 249,000 last week—14,000 above estimates and the highest level since August 2023.Layoffs: Announced layoffs in July reached a 20-year high, intensifying concerns about a weakening labor market.10-Year Treasury Yield: Fell below 4% for the first time since February.Stock Market Reaction: Despite the lower yields, fears of a recession have driven the Dow Jones Industrial Average sharply lower, with cyclical stocks like JPMorgan Chase and Caterpillar taking significant hits.Expert Insights:Chris Rupkey, FWDBONDS Chief Economist, stated,“The manufacturing and unemployment data are clearly indicating a downturn, if not a recession, this morning. The market is unsure whether to laugh or cry because, despite the potential for three Fed rate cuts this year and 10-year yields falling below 4%, the winds of recession are blowing hard according to manufacturing purchasing managers.”Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge added,“The ISM shortfall is the latest sign of cooling domestic growth, and it further suggests that the Fed should have begun its easing cycle yesterday instead of waiting until September.”Looking ahead, the upcoming July jobs report is expected to be a crucial indicator of the economic slowdown. Dow Jones estimates predict that job gains will slow from 206,000 in the previous month to 185,000. Depending on how future economic data influences the Fed’s policy decisions, market volatility could increase even further.[Compliance Note]All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

article

Neutral

NONE

No Relevant Stock