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셀스마트 SIK 프로필 사진셀스마트 SIK
Should I Sell Now? The Signals Are Sending a Hint
created At: 3/31/2025
Neutral
Neutral
This analysis was written from a neutral perspective. We advise you to always make careful and well-informed investment decisions.
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Fact
Market Strength Indicator: Measures market strength based on investors' unrealized profits/losses. Time Varying Parameter: Structural forecast combining market, macro, and sentiment indicators. Gold-Silver Ratio: Silver strength relative to gold often signals improved market sentiment. AAII Sentiment Survey: Reflects retail investor sentiment; higher optimism can be a contrarian sell signal. Real Rate Inversion: Short-term rates exceeding long-term rates may warn of recession risks. Fear and Greed Index: Tracks greed and fear extremes (buying signals often occur below 25, selling signals above 75).
Opinion
BUY Signals -Real Rate Inversion -Fear and Greed Index SELL Signals -Market Strength Indicator -Time Varying Parameter -Gold-Silver Ratio -AAII Sentiment Survey
Core Sell Point
Today's Signals — BUY: 2 | SELL: 4 | No Signal: 8 Change vs. Previous Day — BUY: - | SELL: - | No Signal: - Change vs. Previous Week — BUY: - | SELL: ↑1 | No Signal: ↓1 Change vs. Previous Month — BUY: ↓2 | SELL: ↑2 | No Signal: -

Market Strength Indicator (MSI) has issued a SELL signal.
The Market Strength Indicator analyzes the profit/loss ratio of investors based on market strength. It generates a BUY signal when the majority of investors are in profit, suggesting market recovery potential, and a SELL signal when most are in loss, indicating potential market downturn.

Time Varying Parameter (TVP) has issued a SELL signal.
The Time Varying Parameter model uses a Bayesian time-series approach, combining market data, macroeconomic indicators, and sentiment indices to structurally forecast stock market uptrends or downtrends.

Gold-Silver Ratio has issued a SELL signal.
The Gold-Silver Ratio measures changes in the relative value of gold versus silver to gauge market risk sentiment. A rising preference for gold signals heightened market anxiety.

American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey has issued a SELL signal.
The AAII sentiment index reflects the optimism or pessimism of U.S. retail investors based on survey results.

Real Rate Inversion has issued a BUY signal.
The Real Rate Inversion detects abnormal yield curve inversions when short-term real interest rates (1-year) exceed long-term real rates (10-year), often serving as a recession warning signal.

Fear and Greed Index has issued a BUY signal.
The Fear & Greed Index aggregates multiple market indicators to assess extremes in investor sentiment, with readings typically used to identify contrarian opportunities.

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