Stocks with Target Price Downgrade of More Than 10% Compared to 4 Weeks Ago:
Delta Air Lines (DAL-US)
BlackRock (BLK-US)
Teradyne (TER-US)
United Airlines Holdings (UAL-US)
General Motors (GM-US)
PayPal Holdings (PYPL-US)
Starbucks (SBUX-US)
Tesla (TSLA-US)
Largest downgrade: United Airlines Holdings (UAL-US) (~ -23.5%)
Opinion
The downward revisions in target prices appear to reflect a combination of structural challenges—weakened demand, rising costs, and intensifying competition—across major sectors such as airlines, finance, semiconductors, electric vehicles, and consumer goods.
-Delta Air Lines and United Airlines have been negatively impacted by delayed international travel recovery, overcapacity issues, and ongoing geopolitical risks.
-BlackRock is facing concerns over slowing asset inflows and declining profitability due to the prolonged high interest rate environment.
-Teradyne is affected by softening demand for semiconductors and automated test equipment, which remains a key risk.
-General Motors and Tesla have seen their target prices cut amid slowing electric vehicle market growth, heightened price competition, weakened demand in China, and fading excitement around new model launches.
-Starbucks is grappling with weakening U.S. consumer spending, underperformance in China, and rising labor costs.
-PayPal's downgrade reflects heightened competition in the fintech space and concerns about delayed profitability recovery.
Core Sell Point
Stocks that have seen significant target price downgrades over the past 4 weeks are likely to experience weakened investor sentiment and increased short-term volatility.
Over the past four weeks (from Apr 4 to May 2, 2025), analyst reports indicate that a number of S&P 500 companies have had their target prices downgraded by more than 10%.
This reflects a combination of changes in company fundamentals, macroeconomic variables, and shifts in industry competition. From a sell-side perspective, such target price downgrades can signal short-term downside pressure on stock prices, meaning investors should consider appropriate risk management or sell strategies.
Below is a summary of stocks whose target prices have been revised down by more than 10% compared to four weeks ago. For each company, the target prices as of Feb 28 and Mar 28, 2025 are provided along with the percentage decline.
1. Delta Air Lines (DAL-US)
Target Price (Mar 28, 2025): $ 56
Target Price (Feb 28, 2025): $ 70
Change: -20.0%
Key Issue: Rising fuel costs and ongoing labor negotiations are creating earnings pressure and investor uncertainty.
2. BlackRock (BLK-US)
Target Price (Mar 28, 2025): $ 1,034
Target Price (Feb 28, 2025): $ 1,157
Change: -10.6%
Key Issue: Weakening asset inflows and increased margin pressure from fee compression are dampening near-term growth expectations.
3. Teradyne (TER-US)
Target Price (Mar 28, 2025): $ 104
Target Price (Feb 28, 2025): $ 116
Change: -10.3%
Key Issue: Slowing demand and heightened competition in the semiconductor and automated test equipment markets are weighing on the company’s growth outlook.
4. United Airlines Holdings (UAL-US)
Target Price (Mar 28, 2025): $ 91
Target Price (Feb 28, 2025): $ 119
Change: -23.5%
Key Issue: Higher operating costs and potential overcapacity concerns are raising doubts about margin sustainability in the near term.
5. General Motors (GM-US)
Target Price (Mar 28, 2025): $ 54
Target Price (Feb 28, 2025): $ 61
Change: -11.5%
Key Issue: Slower-than-expected EV adoption and pricing pressure across key vehicle segments are impacting profit forecasts.
6. PayPal Holdings (PYPL-US)
Target Price (Mar 28, 2025): $ 82
Target Price (Feb 28, 2025): $ 93
Change: -11.8%
Key Issue: Increasing competition from fintech startups and sluggish user growth are limiting monetization opportunities.
7. Starbucks (SBUX-US)
Target Price (Mar 28, 2025): $ 93
Target Price (Feb 28, 2025): $ 107
Change: -13.1%
Key Issue: Slower same-store sales growth and rising labor costs are putting pressure on operating margins.
8. Tesla (TSLA-US)
Target Price (Mar 28, 2025): $ 283
Target Price (Feb 28, 2025): $ 316
Change: -10.4%
Key Issue: Intensifying global EV competition and uncertainties around future delivery volumes are weighing on valuation.
While the reasons and extent of target price downgrades vary by company, overall, these revisions reflect common macroeconomic risks, such as economic recession fears, supply chain uncertainties, rising costs, intensifying competition.
Additionally, some companies are affected by structural industry changes, such as fluctuations in EV battery demand and semiconductor industry trends.
From a sell-side perspective, stocks experiencing significant target price cuts could face short-term downside pressure. Investors should consider risk management strategies, including portfolio rebalancing, short positions, market-driven adjustments – Stay alert to upcoming earnings reports, interest rate changes, and key economic indicators, as these can significantly impact volatility.
By aligning investment decisions with broader market trends, investors can navigate these shifts with greater flexibility and strategic foresight.
[Compliance Note]
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Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.