Dollar Index fell to 100.05, down –0.81%
First dip below 100 since April 2022
Driven by weakening trust in U.S. policy amid rising tariffs and trade tensions
Contrasts with historical dollar strength during global uncertainty
Opinion
The DXY’s breakdown underscores rising uncertainty in U.S. external policy and its weakening influence on global capital confidence. The dollar’s diminished status as a “risk-off” currency may signal broader instability across U.S. financial markets.
Core Sell Point
Sustained dollar weakness may reflect deepening skepticism toward U.S. assets, potentially accelerating foreign capital outflows. The currency's trajectory will be critical for gauging cross-asset market risk.
On April 11, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) plunged to 100.05, briefly breaking below the psychological threshold of 100 for the first time since April 2022. The index declined –0.81% intraday, marking a significant loss in momentum. The move reflects growing distrust toward U.S. assets and currency, amplified by ongoing trade disputes and geopolitical instability.
This is more than a typical FX adjustment—it signals a "crisis of confidence" in the dollar. Historically seen as a safe-haven asset, the greenback’s weakness amid rising global risk diverges from its traditional role. Markets are now seeing a reversal of the usual "flight to safety" behavior, with investors increasingly cautious about U.S.-driven geopolitical and trade risks.
If this trend persists, the weakened dollar could trigger broader risk-off sentiment in U.S. equity and bond markets. Conversely, a dollar rebound would suggest receding systemic risk, making the Dollar Index a critical leading indicator for global investor sentiment.
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