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박재훈투영인 프로필 사진박재훈투영인
How to Select Stocks in a Volatile Market (Mar 14, 2025)
created At: 3/19/2025
Neutral
Neutral
This analysis was written from a neutral perspective. We advise you to always make careful and well-informed investment decisions.
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Fact
Rising stocks attract more buyers, driven by fundamental improvements or psychological factors. Short covering, investor sentiment, and technical triggers can fuel rallies. Falling stocks trigger forced selling and negative sentiment, leading to further declines.
Opinion
Stock prices are not solely driven by fundamentals—behavioral biases (FOMO, herd mentality, confirmation bias) play a major role. Investors must recognize irrational market movements and focus on long-term fundamentals rather than short-term volatility.
Core Sell Point
The key to investing in volatile markets is interpreting fundamentals objectively, without bias, and avoiding emotional reactions to price swings.

Market Behavior and Investor Psychology

  • Investors tend to buy more as prices rise, even though traditional economic theory suggests the opposite.

  • Price increases may reflect improving fundamentals or behavioral and technical factors driving momentum.

  • Short squeezes, emotional excitement, noise trading, and window dressing can further amplify price movements.

  • Conversely, falling stocks tend to fall further due to forced selling, ambiguity aversion, and herd behavior among bearish investors.

Understanding Overreaction vs. Fundamentals

Stocks can move sharply up or down due to a mix of real economic fundamentals and market psychology.

To determine if a stock’s movement is justified:

  • Imagine knowing the company's true fundamentals five years from now—would it confirm current market expectations?

  • If the answer is clear, investment decisions become easier.

[Compliance Note]

  • All posts by Sellsmart are for informational purposes only. Final investment decisions should be made with careful judgment and at the investor’s own risk.

  • The content of this post may be inaccurate, and any profits or losses resulting from trades are solely the responsibility of the investor.

  • Core16 may hold positions in the stocks mentioned in this post and may buy or sell them at any time.

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