Over the past 10 years, VTRS (Viatris) has declined in all 10 September periods, underperforming the S&P 500 in 8 of those years. Meanwhile, AMT (American Tower) has declined in 9 out of the last 10 Septembers and underperformed the S&P 500 in all 10 years.
The CORE16 SellSmart® algorithm has issued a Sell recommendation for VTRS and a Buy recommendation for AMT.
In the 3% Loss Event analysis for VTRS, there were 3 sell signals and 2 buy signals, leading to a final Sell recommendation.
For AMT, the 6% Loss Event analysis identified 2 buy signals, 2 neutral signals, and 1 additional buy signal, resulting in a final Buy recommendation.
Opinion
The SellSmart® recommendations are based on historical performance and pattern analysis, providing a statistically backed investment judgment.
For VTRS, the negative September pattern has consistently repeated, suggesting a conservative approach. A sell strategy appears reasonable given its persistent underperformance.
In contrast, while AMT may experience short-term declines, SellSmart® analysis indicates long-term recovery potential, making it a viable buy opportunity.
However, since this analysis is based solely on historical data, it is essential to also consider current market conditions and additional factors before making investment decisions.
Core Sell Point
VTRS's consistent September decline pattern makes a sell strategy appropriate, while AMT's long-term recovery potential supports a buy recommendation.
Over the past 10 years, the September stock price patterns of VTRS (Viatris) and AMT (American Tower) have shown distinct movements and performances. VTRS declined in all 10 instances, underperforming the S&P 500 in 8 out of 10 years. In contrast, AMT declined in 9 instances, but SellSmart® analysis indicated stronger long-term buy signals.
VTRS: Persistent Downtrend and SellSmart®’s Sell Recommendation
VTRS has consistently shown weak performance in September based on historical data. The CORE16 SellSmart® algorithm, through its 3% Loss Event analysis, identified three sell signals and two buy signals, ultimately recommending a sell strategy. This suggests a high probability of decline for VTRS during September. Investors should consider a conservative approach to minimize risk.
AMT: Buy Signal Despite Potential Short-Term Decline
AMT has declined in 9 out of the past 10 September periods, but SellSmart® analysis indicates a stronger long-term buy signal. In particular, the 6% Loss Event analysis detected two buy signals and two neutral signals, leading to a buy recommendation. This suggests that despite the potential for short-term losses, AMT holds long-term recovery potential.
Investment Strategy Recommendation
Given its consistent September downtrend, a sell strategy for VTRS appears reasonable. In contrast, AMT presents a potential buying opportunity, considering its long-term recovery potential despite possible short-term declines. However, rather than relying solely on historical data, investors should also consider current market conditions, macroeconomic indicators, and company fundamentals for a well-rounded investment decision.
Key Takeaway
VTRS has exhibited a repetitive downward pattern in September, making a sell strategy advisable. Meanwhile, AMT’s long-term recovery potential suggests it could be an attractive buy opportunity. Investors should use SellSmart®’s recommendations as a reference, while also analyzing other market variables for informed decision-making.